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To: AFPhys; NautiNurse

http://www.oe.energy.gov/news_room_and_events/events.htm

From there I eventually get to this report of today’s situation:
Situation Report for September 17, 2008, 10AM
http://www.oe.netl.doe.gov/docs/2008_SitRep_7_Ike_091708_10AM.pdf

My approximate summary (& diff from y’day) is:
- 1.9 (-.3M) Million “customers” (not people) are dark now in TX, 0.8M (-.2M)in OH, 0.3M (-.2M) LA & AR & KY
- Oil/gas starting to come back online slowly, but much is still off line. About 60% of the platforms operating in the area remain evacuated.
- It appears that about 30 of the 3,800 offshore production platforms were destroyed.
- Natural gas pipelines seem to be OK. No major infrastructure damage reported. Slowly coming back up. Need for electric. Some repairs. Not much difference there, it seems.
- A little under 90% of gas/oil wells in the GOM are not producing due to preemptive shutdowns- slowly recovering.
- Nat Gas Damage assessments under way. Flooding. Lack of power. Some may take several weeks to cleanup & repair.
- Minor damage to some off-shore facilities. Too early for detailed repair estimates, but probably not more than a few weeks.

The largest affected distribution company, CenterPoint, reports has gone from 3/4 down to about 2/3 of their customers dark. Facilities still out of service include 21 (was 90 y’day) transmission facilities, 936 (was 1348) distribution circuits. It sounds like they are doing a great job of getting this done, but of course the stuff remaining will be increasingly difficult. They haven’t changed their estimates of time it will take.

Someone specifically asked about Entergy yesterday. It is only about 1/4 the size of CenterPoint, and MUCH harder hit. Almost 85% of their customers are dark, and my glance indicates their facilities seem to be really devastated compared to CenterPoint’s. Though they are much smaller, they report having even more people working there. Still, they’re expecting about the same recovery time, and there is a list of areas and times in the report.

On balance, world wide investors are looking at Ike as a non-event for anything other than short-term production of Oil/Gas since prices are down substantially over the last couple days. Distribution situations will cause price action in local areas. In my area, gasoline is up only $0.04, so it’s been a nothing.

[IF you look at the pdf above, I caution you that the 90%+ of oil facilities out is meaningless as far as anything having to do with damage. That simply means certain facilities are not producing as of this report.]

[This is linked to the previous summary I made]


3,453 posted on 09/17/2008 11:08:53 AM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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To: AFPhys

Here in NE Harris county the tree removal guys showed up today to clear the power lines. They came from Detroit, Nelson Tree Service. I took them some BBQ Spare ribs for lunch. They realy appreciated it too. Maybe we will get power back on by the first of the week.


3,465 posted on 09/17/2008 1:21:04 PM PDT by eastforker (Dems Holler for your Dollars/Palin Hollers to Save you Dollars, OOOOH SARAHCUDA)
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To: AFPhys
Valero's Refineries Update (plus some other energy news)
3,477 posted on 09/17/2008 1:38:31 PM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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