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Hurricane Ike Live Thread IV
NOAA/NHC ^ | 14 September 2008 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 09/12/2008 11:29:13 PM PDT by NautiNurse

The eyewall of Hurricane Ike crossed Galveston Island in the early hours of Saturday morning. Reports indicate as many as 20,000 residents of Galveston Island chose not to evacuate as storm surge engulfed the island. The Freeport Chief of Police reported as many as 2000 residents did not evacuate as flood waters swamped coastal communities. There are widespread reports of power outages and coastal flooding throughout the Texas/Louisiana region. The U.S. Coast Guard received hundreds of calls Friday afternoon to rescue people stranded by flood waters along the barrier islands and Galveston Bay communities.

Multiple fires broke out in the Greater Houston area fueled by strong winds. Fire fighting efforts were hampered by flood waters. Brennan's Restaurant, a landmark in Houston, burned to the ground. A 584-foot freighter crippled in the Gulf of Mexico and its crew of 22 survived the storm after The U.S. Coast Guard was forced to abort rescue efforts Friday afternoon due to foul weather

Gulf Coast wholesale gasoline prices jumped to nearly $5 a gallon over fears that water and wind damage could keep the facilities closed for days or longer. Oil companies had shut down 97.5 percent of production in the Gulf of Mexico by Friday morning and were battening down refineries and petrochemical plants in an area that accounts for one-fifth of U.S. refining capacity.

Exxon Mobil reported evacuating workers from its Gulf Coast offshore platforms and onshore facilities in the anticipated path of Ike, shutting down daily production of about 36,000 barrels of oil and 270 million cubic feet of gas..

Public Advisory Updated every 3 hours

Discussion Updated every 6 hours

Buoy data: Western Gulf of Mexico

Forecast Models

Houston/Galveston Long Range Radar
Corpus Christi Long Range Radar
Brownsville Long Range Radar
Lake Charles Long Range Radar

Ike
Single Image Image Loop
Lat/Lon No Lat/Lon Short Long
Visible Visible Visible Visible
Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave
Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor
Infrared Channel 4 Enhancements
None None None None
AVN AVN AVN AVN
Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak
JSL JSL JSL JSL
RGB RGB RGB RGB
Funktop Funktop Funktop Funktop
Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow

Additional Resources:

Navy Tropical Cyclone
Storm Pulse Very cool site

KHOU Houston
ABC 13 News Houston
FOX News Houston


KPLC Lake Charles
KFDM 6 Beaumont/Port Arthur
KKBMT 12 Beaumont
KRIS-TV Corpus Christi
KZTV Corpus Christi

Brazoria County Emergency Management
Galveston County Emergency Management
Chambers Country Emergency Management
Liberty County Emergency Management

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Ike Live Thread III
Hurricane Ike Live Thread II
Hurricane Ike Live Thread I
TS Hanna, Hurricane Ike & TS Josephine [Other than that, the tropics are calm]
Tropical Storms Hanna, Ike and Josephine, TD Gustav (Other than that, the tropics are calm)


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; US: Louisiana; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: hurricane; hurricaneike; ike; iketexas; louisiana; spartansixdelta; weather
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To: NautiNurse

Any news on the Galvez hotel. I haven’t been to Galveston in many years, but I think it’s still there.


961 posted on 09/13/2008 10:26:34 AM PDT by luckystarmom
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To: AlaninSA; hoagy62

From http://www.star-telegram.com/state_news/story/906481.html

The morning after

In Galveston, city officials and first responders had their first look at the damage wreaked by Ike at daybreak. Hundreds of calls for rescue to 911 had to be ignored Friday night because conditions were too dangerous for emergency personnel to venture out.

Game wardens are attempting to reach Galveston to help with high-water rescues.

“We’re just now getting to leave toward the island,” said Capt. Eddie Tanuz of the Texas Parks and Wildlife Department. “The storm has been too strong.”

Alicia Cahill, Galveston’s public information officer, checked in from the San Luis Family Resort, an old war bunker, where city officials and media are in shelter.

“Seawall is here ... No confirmed deaths .... City has not been able to leave and make assessment ... We are not deploying emergency personnel yet ... Conditions still unsafe ... Surf is receding ... Bay is rising,” she reported.

Cahill said all inside the San Luis, along the seawall, are safe. Some windows on the upper floors blew out, but the structure is intact as far as they know.

An unidentified 64-year-old woman called a Houston television station and said she had stayed in Galveston because she didn’t think the storm would be too bad. She is a widow, she said, and is frightened. The station’s meteorologists tried to calm her and tell her what to expect next.

Eva-Marie Ayala and Aman Batheja in Houston contributed to this story


962 posted on 09/13/2008 10:27:20 AM PDT by lainie
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To: DollyCali
I am glad the khou coverage has very few commercials

cant recall many at all in over 12 hours watching it I've been watching since about 2:00 yesterday...save time to commute home and time to sleep...and I can only remember a few commercials...and then only early on yesterday afternoon.

963 posted on 09/13/2008 10:27:34 AM PDT by AlaninSA (In tabulario donationem feci.)
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To: DollyCali
I am glad the khou coverage has very few commercials

cant recall many at all in over 12 hours watching it I've been watching since about 2:00 yesterday...save time to commute home and time to sleep...and I can only remember a few commercials...and then only early on yesterday afternoon.

964 posted on 09/13/2008 10:27:43 AM PDT by AlaninSA (In tabulario donationem feci.)
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To: lainie

One thing you don’t see in those images, big piles of debris.

Going out on a limb here, it’s early, but anecdotal evidence is building...

Galveston and Houston dodged a bullet.

Think we’ll see some pretty sobering sights before it’s all said and done, there’s probably going to be some...missing blocks...from LA to Freeport, but not block after block after block, massive catastrophe. Exceptions will be the coastal towns right on the beach, north and east of Galveston.

Still, it looks like the big cities made it out with heavy cosmetic and /or localized damage, but not catastrophic structural losses.


965 posted on 09/13/2008 10:28:44 AM PDT by jeffers
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To: All
Rising waters leave one man missing
966 posted on 09/13/2008 10:29:28 AM PDT by LA Woman3 (Sarahcuda!)
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To: CindyDawg

Oh gosh, I hope so!


967 posted on 09/13/2008 10:29:46 AM PDT by lainie
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To: jeffers

Yeah I’ll go with you on that assessment. The big thing is we’re not hearing about people dying on the island last night. So it’s all fixable wood & concrete and restorable power, without that tragic news.


968 posted on 09/13/2008 10:31:27 AM PDT by lainie
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To: Gondring

First, consider why people instinctively prefer to live on margin.

Lion comes, run in the water. Shark? Run for land.

Note that in EVERY culture, waterfront property is the most valuable.

Some lessons are so deeply part of us, we don’t know why we like it, we just do - and that like is reflected in prices.

Next, consider that the margin is always dangerous - so, now what?

Build for cat 5, and damn the torpedoes.

;)

On the other hand...one could assess the opimum use of land, and decide that all hosing should be in the desert.

You choose. ;)


969 posted on 09/13/2008 10:32:33 AM PDT by patton (cuiquam in sua arte credendum)
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To: mewzilla

WOW - that IS a major story.

If it pans out, it will merely confirm what speculators and investors were believing on Thurs & Friday...

Let’s hope so - they were driving gas & oil prices lower, not higher.


970 posted on 09/13/2008 10:33:20 AM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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To: Arrowhead1952
A friend of mine walked down a street like that when he was a kid. He almost got got sucked into an open manhole. The grate got forced off of it earlier by upwelling water pressure.
971 posted on 09/13/2008 10:33:25 AM PDT by Barnacle (Obama or Pistol Pack'n Momma? You decide 2008.)
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To: LA Woman3

Sorry I was away painting for a while. My neighborhood continues to have flickering lights now and then. Wonder if it’s from something way down the line because we are only getting gentle rain and light winds.


972 posted on 09/13/2008 10:33:57 AM PDT by McLynnan
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From http://blogs.usatoday.com/ondeadline/2008/09/galveston-condi.html

"The Galveston Fire Department received more than 100 calls after emergency personnel had ceased rescue operations at around 7 p.m. Friday night," the Houston Chronicle reported from fire chief Michael A. Varela Sr. Callers were told to stay patient and safe until operations could resume, he said.

Varela, speaking to reporters in the San Luis Hotel, where the city's mayor and emergency personnel are staying, said they would respond to needs on the west end of the island first, since it was hardest hit.

At least eight to 10 feet of water was on the streets when they ceased operations, and the second half of the storm, which came after that point, was far worse than the first, he said.

But the San Luis has its issues as well. CNN's Anderson Cooper 360 blog just posted the following: "At our hotel - The San Luis Resort - officials were going room to room to evacuate people to a safer spot due to glass blowing out."

Posted by Patrick Cooper at 08:27 AM/ET, September 13, 2008

973 posted on 09/13/2008 10:34:17 AM PDT by lainie
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To: Allegra

I am so glad your friend is okay. This is one of those times when your imagination can run wild.


974 posted on 09/13/2008 10:34:32 AM PDT by McLynnan
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To: LUV W

I think all the weather reporters are pretty darn brave! Geraldo included. I know I wanted to know what was happening since I have a young grandson in Houston and another in Houma, LA.


975 posted on 09/13/2008 10:36:23 AM PDT by varina davis (Life is not a dress rehearsal)
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To: jeffers

Seems to me the storm was so big, and from the way the water levels rose throughout the Gulf, that what happened was that the kinetic energy of the storm was well-dispersed instead of being focused mainly at the point around the landfall. So while the speculation was that Galveston would get a Cat 4 surge because of the tremendous kinetic energy of the storm, it turns out that wasn’t the case.


976 posted on 09/13/2008 10:37:07 AM PDT by dfwgator ( Go OSU, beat USC!)
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To: lainie

What worries me now are localized pockets of very heavy damage, with attendant casualties. West end of Galveston, potential breaching, west coast of the Bay, up past Port Arthur over to Lake Charles, Orange especially has some serious reports and the water is still rising...

No massive widespread catastrophe, but the potential for tens of casualties in one location remains.

That beats the predictions of thousands dead we were hearing last night, by a long long way.


977 posted on 09/13/2008 10:39:10 AM PDT by jeffers
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To: lainie

thanks for posting this great story


978 posted on 09/13/2008 10:39:46 AM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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To: dfwgator

Agreed, but I wasn’t willing to make that call last night. Could have been a wall of water around the eye, or a wide dome as you state. We got lucky...so far anyway...


979 posted on 09/13/2008 10:41:01 AM PDT by jeffers
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To: mewzilla
"Gulf Coast refineries appear to have escaped serious damage 10:41 AM Sat, Sep 13, 2008 "

Thanks. That's very good news.

980 posted on 09/13/2008 10:41:28 AM PDT by blam
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