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Hurricane Ike Live Thread IV
NOAA/NHC ^ | 14 September 2008 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 09/12/2008 11:29:13 PM PDT by NautiNurse

The eyewall of Hurricane Ike crossed Galveston Island in the early hours of Saturday morning. Reports indicate as many as 20,000 residents of Galveston Island chose not to evacuate as storm surge engulfed the island. The Freeport Chief of Police reported as many as 2000 residents did not evacuate as flood waters swamped coastal communities. There are widespread reports of power outages and coastal flooding throughout the Texas/Louisiana region. The U.S. Coast Guard received hundreds of calls Friday afternoon to rescue people stranded by flood waters along the barrier islands and Galveston Bay communities.

Multiple fires broke out in the Greater Houston area fueled by strong winds. Fire fighting efforts were hampered by flood waters. Brennan's Restaurant, a landmark in Houston, burned to the ground. A 584-foot freighter crippled in the Gulf of Mexico and its crew of 22 survived the storm after The U.S. Coast Guard was forced to abort rescue efforts Friday afternoon due to foul weather

Gulf Coast wholesale gasoline prices jumped to nearly $5 a gallon over fears that water and wind damage could keep the facilities closed for days or longer. Oil companies had shut down 97.5 percent of production in the Gulf of Mexico by Friday morning and were battening down refineries and petrochemical plants in an area that accounts for one-fifth of U.S. refining capacity.

Exxon Mobil reported evacuating workers from its Gulf Coast offshore platforms and onshore facilities in the anticipated path of Ike, shutting down daily production of about 36,000 barrels of oil and 270 million cubic feet of gas..

Public Advisory Updated every 3 hours

Discussion Updated every 6 hours

Buoy data: Western Gulf of Mexico

Forecast Models

Houston/Galveston Long Range Radar
Corpus Christi Long Range Radar
Brownsville Long Range Radar
Lake Charles Long Range Radar

Ike
Single Image Image Loop
Lat/Lon No Lat/Lon Short Long
Visible Visible Visible Visible
Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave
Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor
Infrared Channel 4 Enhancements
None None None None
AVN AVN AVN AVN
Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak
JSL JSL JSL JSL
RGB RGB RGB RGB
Funktop Funktop Funktop Funktop
Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow

Additional Resources:

Navy Tropical Cyclone
Storm Pulse Very cool site

KHOU Houston
ABC 13 News Houston
FOX News Houston


KPLC Lake Charles
KFDM 6 Beaumont/Port Arthur
KKBMT 12 Beaumont
KRIS-TV Corpus Christi
KZTV Corpus Christi

Brazoria County Emergency Management
Galveston County Emergency Management
Chambers Country Emergency Management
Liberty County Emergency Management

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Ike Live Thread III
Hurricane Ike Live Thread II
Hurricane Ike Live Thread I
TS Hanna, Hurricane Ike & TS Josephine [Other than that, the tropics are calm]
Tropical Storms Hanna, Ike and Josephine, TD Gustav (Other than that, the tropics are calm)


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; US: Louisiana; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: hurricane; hurricaneike; ike; iketexas; louisiana; spartansixdelta; weather
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Live report from Texas City: 2:00 am CDT, 13 Sep - Calm

The hotel apparently has pretty serious damage, because the side of the building that lost its roof has serious flooding down to the first floor— the water has gone all the way down to the ground floor and made a mess. A Fox 7 News was interviewing traumatized guests in the lobby.

The wind and rain continued to pound away in streaks, and I saw (and shot) a restaurant next to the hotel losing roof shingles by the cartloads. The weather seemed to peak around 1:20 or 1:30 am or so, and I had a panicky moment when— parked in a totally exposed location— heavy rain and wind reduced visibility to almost zero and the car really shook badly.

But now the wind has really calmed down— the howling has stopped. Quiet... I’ve opened my window and can barely hear the trees rustling... Warm air is coming into the room— very warm. Guests are walking around in front of the hotel, chatting. Calm...

I presume we’re in the eye?


81 posted on 09/13/2008 12:09:04 AM PDT by kingu (Party for rent - conservative opinions not required.)
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To: lainie

kerosene fired cooking? grill in garage with “wind blown sparks”?
cigarette thrown /blown into area where greasy rags are?

My friend wasn’t that bright. Just spread gas & lit. Figured the storm winds & rain would destroy evidence. He unfortunately did NOT keep his little plot to himself & “a friend” contacted the insurance company & received a tip/reward.


82 posted on 09/13/2008 12:09:06 AM PDT by DollyCali (Don't tell GOD how big your storm is -- Tell the storm how B-I-G your God is!)
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To: lainie
What would legitimately cause a fire there tonight?

Winds knock down power lines and transformers. Sparks fly. Wind whips up the flames. Fires are not uncommon.

83 posted on 09/13/2008 12:09:21 AM PDT by myprecious
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To: Allegra; NautiNurse; All

Perhaps not as entertaining as Geraldo, but Weather Channel reporting “6 feet of water in downtown Galveston”....


84 posted on 09/13/2008 12:09:28 AM PDT by Uncle Ike (Sometimes I sets and thinks, and sometimes I jus' sets.........)
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To: eyedigress
I’m old school and hope everyone can get back on their feet but if they blame this crap on Washington.......

Texans are fighters. Only the Democrats among us would think of doing such a cowardly thing. And we don't claim them anyway.

85 posted on 09/13/2008 12:09:33 AM PDT by Allegra (Prayers up for all in Ike's path. Please be safe...my hometown.)
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To: Allegra

It’s still a Cat 2, eye closing up in fact. 100 MPH wind on surface, NHC still showing 110 MPH.


86 posted on 09/13/2008 12:10:11 AM PDT by ejonesie22 (Finally a Conservative on the RNC ticket....)
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To: Allegra

As of 20 minutes ago, 100+ mph surface winds were reported - it is still a cat 2 hurricane - just ignore that poster.


87 posted on 09/13/2008 12:10:31 AM PDT by kingu (Party for rent - conservative opinions not required.)
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To: lainie

Are there any damage reports for Galveston yet?


88 posted on 09/13/2008 12:10:59 AM PDT by fightinJAG (Rush was right when he said: "You NEVER win by losing.")
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To: mylife

1,300,000 without power, long restoration process.


89 posted on 09/13/2008 12:11:45 AM PDT by eyedigress
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To: mylife

It may be a CAT 1 or a CAT 2 hurricane, but that doesn’t take into account that it may be carrying a CAT 4 storm surge.

Katrina was a CAT 3 when she hit Mississippi, but she carried a CAT 5 storm surge.


90 posted on 09/13/2008 12:12:35 AM PDT by dixiechick2000 (Sarah'cuda Rocks)
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To: NautiNurse

Thanks, NautiNurse.
Prayers for all in harm’s way.


91 posted on 09/13/2008 12:13:47 AM PDT by MEG33 (God Bless Our Military)
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To: NautiNurse; Xenalyte

The winds are up big time. My 40 ft. pine trees in the front yard are dangerouly bending. I hope we don’t lose them. So far, we have electricity.

Xenalyte, how are you doing???


92 posted on 09/13/2008 12:13:54 AM PDT by BlueAngel (Katy, Tx)
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To: Allegra

Yes its a cat 2 and dying.

Here is the problem:

“Although still of Category 2 strength, Ike remains larger and more powerful than Category 5 Katrina or Category 5 Rita. As I discussed in yesterday’s blog entry, a good measure of the storm surge potential is Integrated Kinetic Energy (IKE). Ike’s Integrated Kinetic Energy has fallen from 149 Terajoules this morning to 124”

This means that some beach homes could be busted up from relentless waves over a long period. But the storm is already dying.

No one is gonna get killed unless they stayed on the beach


93 posted on 09/13/2008 12:14:09 AM PDT by mylife (The Roar Of the Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: Allegra

I know that. Texas is my sister state and tough!


94 posted on 09/13/2008 12:14:16 AM PDT by eyedigress
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To: annie laurie; conservative cat
Thanks for the explanation annie.. I didn't know either. Learning a lot during this storm. Prayers continue for Texas as the storm will shortly REALLY hit the area.

BTW ...Nice to know more organized is not good. I am never organized!

95 posted on 09/13/2008 12:14:26 AM PDT by DollyCali (Don't tell GOD how big your storm is -- Tell the storm how B-I-G your God is!)
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To: fightinJAG
Piers destroyed, bay flooding almost all the way to the seawall, basement of convention center presently filing with water, several fires reported across the area, masonry walls have been knocked over by the winds and shattered. Several hotels report the loss of roof integrity, emergency mangers are not planning on meeting until noon today to even begin to assess the damage. All of the emergency vehicles are presently stored in the convention center floor and will likely not be leaving until daybreak at the soonest - the back half of the eyewall should be impacting Galveston in about an hour and a half, maybe a bit sooner, as the radar profiles indicate a northward motion right now - which could keep Galveston in high winds far longer than expected.

Further flooding from the bay is expected as the backhalf of the eyewall impacts them, likely resulting in as much damage as the high winds that are expected.

96 posted on 09/13/2008 12:14:28 AM PDT by kingu (Party for rent - conservative opinions not required.)
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To: NautiNurse

Post Office St on Galveston Island 7 feet under water per Twitter.


97 posted on 09/13/2008 12:14:40 AM PDT by BurbankKarl
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To: Ingtar

Let me share a little here. Actually the levees in Texas City don’t have to HOLD.

They have built around the entire city a huge wall, wide enough for a 2-lane sheet running on top of it. And there is nothing to HOLD. It will keep water out up to a 20-foot tide. Of course, if there is a 25-foot surge or tide, then some water will spill over the wall.

They have build pumping stations every so many miles which will pump OUT any water which comes over the wall.

It is nothing like the levels holding the water back from New Orleans, that is, if it is breached in one place, then the whole thing is breached.

BTW, here in southwest Houston at 2:12 a.m. it is the strongest wind yet. I’d say about 80 mph gusts.

We’ve lost electricity twice, but it came back on within minutes.

Wish us well. I sure don’t want to lose power.

GOod luck, all.


98 posted on 09/13/2008 12:14:57 AM PDT by i_dont_chat (The elephant is dancing for the lady from Alaska)
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To: kingu

I’d say ‘Yes!”

Duck and cover, FRiend!

Don’t go outside...you don’t know when the backside of the hurricane will hit you.


99 posted on 09/13/2008 12:15:19 AM PDT by dixiechick2000 (Sarah'cuda Rocks)
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To: dixiechick2000

Love you to hon


100 posted on 09/13/2008 12:17:19 AM PDT by mylife (The Roar Of the Masses Could Be Farts)
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