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Hurricane Ike Live Thread III
NOAA/NHC ^ | 12 September 2008 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 09/12/2008 5:12:09 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Large and dangerous Hurricane Ike approaching the Upper Texas coast. Mandatory evacuations began in earnest Thursday as an estimated one million coastal residents headed inland. There were widespread reports of gas stations running out of fuel.

The National Weather Service posted dire storm surge predictions of 20-25 ft storm surge along the coast and bay heads. Hurricane warnings covered a 400 mile swath of the Gulf of Mexico.

Wholesale gasoline prices spiked 30 percent Thursday, or nearly $1 a gallon, out of fear of what Ike might do.

Public Advisory Updated every 3 hours

Discussion Updated every 6 hours

Buoy data: Western Gulf of Mexico

Forecast Models

Houston/Galveston Long Range Radar
Corpus Christi Long Range Radar
Brownsville Long Range Radar
Lake Charles Long Range Radar

Ike
Single Image Image Loop
Lat/Lon No Lat/Lon Short Long
Visible Visible Visible Visible
Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave
Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor
Infrared Channel 4 Enhancements
None None None None
AVN AVN AVN AVN
Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak
JSL JSL JSL JSL
RGB RGB RGB RGB
Funktop Funktop Funktop Funktop
Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow

Additional Resources:

Navy Tropical Cyclone
Storm Pulse Very cool site

KHOU Houston
ABC 13 News Houston
FOX News Houston

KPLC Lake Charles
KFDM 6 Beaumont/Port Arthur
KKBMT 12 Beaumont
KRIS-TV Corpus Christi
KZTV Corpus Christi

Brazoria County Emergency Management
Galveston County Emergency Management
Chambers Country Emergency Management
Liberty County Emergency Management

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Ike Live Thread II
Hurricane Ike Live Thread I
TS Hanna, Hurricane Ike & TS Josephine [Other than that, the tropics are calm]
Tropical Storms Hanna, Ike and Josephine, TD Gustav (Other than that, the tropics are calm)


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Arkansas; US: Louisiana; US: Oklahoma; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: arkansas; california; crude; desiel; drill; flordia; florida; galveston; gasoline; gulf; hurricane; ike; louisiana; offshore; oil; oklahoma; prices; refineries; rigs; storm; texas; weather
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To: penelopesire

Fox is KILLING any credibility they might have by letting Gerry ramble on about himself (and Chuck Norris) like this.


2,501 posted on 09/12/2008 9:32:34 PM PDT by Fundamentally Fair (If given a choice between a POW and a POS, I'll take the POW.)
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To: Palladin

I’ve been trying to figure out if his hair is thin on top, or those are grey roots ??


2,502 posted on 09/12/2008 9:32:38 PM PDT by Shortstop7
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To: Strategerist

The eyewall looks like it will have completed rebuilding itself by the time it hits the coast. The eye diameter looks like it is down to 20 miles or so now. But I don’t see how the eye can come in SW of Galveston now. That is seriously good news for Clear Lake, Texas City and other areas to the west of Galveston Bay, along with 2/3rds of the Houston metro area. But it means Galveston itself is going to take a direct hit from the eyewall very soon.


2,503 posted on 09/12/2008 9:32:50 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: WSGilcrest

I think Nobama should be there to stop the waters from rising.


2,504 posted on 09/12/2008 9:33:03 PM PDT by conservative cat ("In politics if you want anything said, ask a man. If you want anything done, ask a woman. " -MT)
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To: fatima

He’s about to get washed away by that first big one, nightime is no time to be there.


2,505 posted on 09/12/2008 9:33:03 PM PDT by eyedigress
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To: dirtboy

I’m watching ABC-13 Houston online. They just said that half a million are without power.


2,506 posted on 09/12/2008 9:33:28 PM PDT by rdl6989 (What isn't above Obama's pay grade?)
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To: mware

NFW!


2,507 posted on 09/12/2008 9:33:30 PM PDT by txhurl (Denali/Bolton)
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To: Fundamentally Fair

I think we lost that when Geraldo started not converting the wind speeds from Km to miles.


2,508 posted on 09/12/2008 9:33:58 PM PDT by Toki
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To: TheMom

We lost power for about an hour. No internet, no FR. Aaaaakkkkk.

I was surprised it came back on. I only missed about 300 posts.


2,509 posted on 09/12/2008 9:34:26 PM PDT by Jaded ("Eloquence is no substitute for experience" -Joe Lieberman)
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To: All

Geraldo is so full of S*^*! He reported 2 hours ago about wind speed of over 100MPH!!! No other station reported nothing close, hardly over 50MPH at the time!! Why dramatize things!! I hate to say it, but cable news has gone to the dogs!! I understand the reasons(Money)! Be durn, please tell the truth!!


2,510 posted on 09/12/2008 9:34:31 PM PDT by mrsalty
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To: rdl6989

And the main body of the metropolitan area has not seen the worst of things yet - nowhere close.


2,511 posted on 09/12/2008 9:34:41 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: WSGilcrest

That was unfair and uncalled for.


2,512 posted on 09/12/2008 9:34:43 PM PDT by MHGinTN (Believing they cannot be deceived, they cannot be convinced when they are deceived.)
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To: Truthsearcher
It’ll be less than 100. People are better at survival than you give them credit for.

If the water gets above the seawall, on the average, with much larger waves, all the survival skills in the world aren't going to help you much. It would be like being on the deck of submarine that has submerged to the point where the deck is under water, but the conning tower is still above water, and the hatches on it are open.

2,513 posted on 09/12/2008 9:34:46 PM PDT by El Gato ("The Second Amendment is the RESET button of the United States Constitution." -- Doug McKay)
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To: WSGilcrest

:) Last shot of him was holding onto a Palm tree spitting out water.Geraldo is a classic-heheheee


2,514 posted on 09/12/2008 9:34:53 PM PDT by fatima (Put your lipstick on girls and go vote.)
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To: tcrlaf

Reporter on KHOU stated a squall line came through a bit ago and “peeled a 60 to 90ft section of a brick wall on the Holiday Inn on Galveston Island.” He said they are completely underwater. Isn’t that where Cantore is?


2,515 posted on 09/12/2008 9:34:56 PM PDT by PleaseNoMore
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To: dirtboy

Yeah...but anything that makes the chance higher for the Port Arthur-Beaumont area to flood would be just horrible. Massive devastation of an area that got blasted already so hard with Rita.

My brother stayed in Nederland hoping he was on high enough ground...we got out being slightly in Port Arthur...we’re in North Dallas holed up at a Quality Inn.

I wish they would mention on TV what’s going on down by us. Having trouble getting info with a VERY slow DSL connection here at the hotel. Are there no weather people down there anymore because it’s not doing much? That would be a good thing...

I think the surge is not over the seawall yet, but we are nervous. :/


2,516 posted on 09/12/2008 9:35:03 PM PDT by gab1279 (*~*Prayers UP for our troops*~*)
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To: eyedigress

I like Geraldo too.

He knows how to build up dramatic theatrics during a storm.

He makes you laugh at him and worry about him slipping and being pulled out to sea all at the same time.


2,517 posted on 09/12/2008 9:35:39 PM PDT by modest proposal (2008: the year we realized about half of america has lost it)
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To: texasredtop
... hope the wind grabs a jellyfish out of the water and slings it in his face. :

That's just cruel to do to a jellyfish.....

Too bad they didn't send Alan Combs along to keep him company - the two of them seem to have so much in common.......

Seriously, prayers up for those in charge of keeping people safe (like the media and those who should have evacuated long ago) who remain in Ike's path while risking their own lives in the process.

2,518 posted on 09/12/2008 9:35:42 PM PDT by MamaDearest
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To: NautiNurse; All

OH - have not read back through all the thread - but the Weather Channel people reported a few minutes ago about how the Mayor of Houston took 3 buses down to an area where many people were reported to be unable to get out from that area earlier today - and despite language barriers - managed to get all those people on those buses and get them out to safety.

They said it was a really heroic act - and that the area where those people had been is now under water.

Did you all hear that and discuss already today? If so, what was the area - I do not remember its name.

Kudos to the Mayor of Houston for this courageous and successful act!


2,519 posted on 09/12/2008 9:35:45 PM PDT by Freedom'sWorthIt (DEFUND NPR - National Propaganda Radio for the Leftists/Communists/Socialists)
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To: dirtboy

I hope you’re right.


2,520 posted on 09/12/2008 9:35:58 PM PDT by pax_et_bonum (God bless all in Ike's path.)
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