Posted on 09/11/2008 3:08:30 PM PDT by jerry557
September 11, 2008 - Palin Boosts McCain In Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll Finds; But Obama Leads In Two Of Three Battlegrounds --- FLORIDA: McCain 50 - Obama 43; OHIO: Obama 49 - McCain 44; PENNSYLVANIA: Obama 48 - McCain 45
(Excerpt) Read more at quinnipiac.edu ...
Pat Buchanan was on a local talk show (Howie Carr) today and he said that the signs point to an Obama win and right now he would put the odds at 60%. He mentioned Virginia, Colorado, New Hampshire and Ohio as the swing states. He did say that there will be a backlash against Dems in 2010.
With all due respect to Pat, he’s clueless.
Things are trending TO McCain, and from all the polls I’ve seen, Ohio is in McCain’s corner.
I don’t think Quinnipiac is very reliable....at all.
If I had a penny for every time Buchanan was wrong...
Rasmussen uses voter identification weighting that has a 90-day lag. He "re-weights" the actual poll results to reflect how voters identify their party affiliation in a separate poll.
"Like all polling firms, Rasmussen Reports weights its data to reflect the population at large. Among other targets, Rasmussen Reports weights data by political party affiliation using a dynamic weighting process. Our baseline targets are established based upon survey interviews with a sample of adults nationwide completed during the preceding three months (a total of 45,000 interviews). For September, the targets are 39.7% Democrat, 32.1% Republican, and 28.2% unaffiliated (see party trends and analysis). For the month of August, the targets were 40.6% Democrat, 31.6% Republican, and 27.8% unaffiliated."
In the last two weeks the unaffiliated has dropped by 12 points, with R adding 8 of the 12.
Draw your own conclusions.
you're slow in the head.
Not that there's anything wrong with that.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.