Posted on 09/09/2008 3:47:30 PM PDT by Zakeet
Oh no! The polls! They suddenly don't look good for Barack Obama! But does it really matter at this point? Should the campaign—and its supporters—start to panic? We checked in with two Democratic strategists who have different opinions on the situation. Here's the case for pessimism.
The jobless rate is up, home sales are down, and the Democrats have an appealing, history-making nominee. So that rash of McCain red, spreading like measles over the RealClearPolitics.com polling chart, is nothing to worry about—a temporary Republican sugar high, right?
Not so fast. Yes, this year's trends should favor the Democrats, with a poor economy and an unpopular Republican president. But we can't ignore how much the underlying landscape always favors the Republicans.
Sunday night, USA Today released a shocking poll that puts McCain four healthy points above 50%, leading Obama by 54%-44%, with only 2% undecided. Six other polls have McCain narrowly ahead or tied; none has Obama leading—a sharp reversal from last week.
If you hide behind electoral maps or statistical projections at your favorite number-crunching site, and ignore the national polls because "it's 50 state elections," you'll be lulled by projections based on weeks-old data, often conducted by middling polling operations. And you'll miss what's happened.
This election just flipped.
(Excerpt) Read more at radaronline.com ...
So far, the RAT response seems to be to try to drive up Palin's negatives. The only problem with that, is that while their rabid base will eat it up, the voters in the red states that Obama needs are likely to be turned off by it.
Quite an interesting predicament they are in. Lets hope McCain keeps the pressure on them and doesn't give them a chance to regain their footing.
What are you talking about?
The Toricwlli Option?? For that they’d need to name Jimmy Carter or George McGovern to play the role of Frank Lautenberg
Not to worry. The 'other' seven states are pulling for the big 0.
Why would she take the spot?
If BO wins with her on the ticket, she defers her next run at the presidency until 2016--that's a long way off and she's no spring chicken. Even worse, she makes it more likely that BO will win by being his VP. Not in her interest for him to win.
OTOH, if BO loses with her on the ticket, it takes away her luster as the Palin killer. That's the only reason to put her on the ticket and she failed. That makes it less likely she gets the nod against Palin in 2012 or 2016.
We can only hope Obama will drop Biden for someone lame like Sibelius. That will tank his campaign completely because she is so obviously a token added out of panic.
Maybe he'll add a senior statesman of the party like Franklin Roosevelt as his VP.
Obama will never let Hillary on the ticket - he would fear for his life.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.