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Zogby Poll: Equilibrium in the POTUS Race! [McCain/Palin 47%, Obama/Biden 45%]
Zogby ^ | 8/30/08

Posted on 08/30/2008 8:02:20 PM PDT by charles m

Brash McCain pick of AK Gov. Palin neutralizes historic Obama speech, stunts the Dems' convention bounce

UTICA, New York - Republican John McCain's surprise announcement Friday of Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin as his running mate - some 16 hours after Democrat Barack Obama's historic speech accepting his party’s presidential nomination - has possibly stunted any Obama convention bump, the latest Zogby Interactive flash poll of the race shows. Data from this poll is available here

The latest nationwide survey, begun Friday afternoon after the McCain announcement of Palin as running mate and completed mid-afternoon today, shows McCain/Palin at 47%, compared to 45% support for Obama/Biden.

In other words, the race is a dead heat.

The interactive online Zogby survey shows that both Obama and McCain have solidified the support among their own parties - Obama won 86% support of Democrats and McCain 89% of Republicans in a two-way head-to-head poll question not including the running mates. When Biden and Palin are added to the mix, Obama's Democratic support remains at 86%, while McCain's increases to 92%.

After the McCain "Veep" announcement on Friday, Palin was almost immediately hailed as a strong conservative, and those voters have rallied to the GOP ticket, the survey shows. Republicans gather in St. Paul, Minnesota this week to officially nominate McCain and Palin as their presidential ticket.

(Excerpt) Read more at zogby.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; alreadyposted; electionpresident; mccain; obama; palin; trysearch; zogby
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To: TornadoAlley3

Actually, PA-10.


41 posted on 08/30/2008 9:35:09 PM PDT by ll_t
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To: Salvation
I just finished a Zogby poll. I don't know how he picked up my name but he has an interesting poll and I answer every question.

The question I like the best is,” are you a conservative, ultra conservative etc?, I always answer “ultra”
He asks one's age, address, nationality,and many questions about my preference on different subjects.

At the end there is a place to comment about the poll.I wish I knew how to let some of you know how to get on his list.

My answers were not included in the results just posted because if I read it right it was up to noon today.

I am that 85 years old widow, born again Christian, ultra conservative and a political junkie since I was 17. Couldn't even vote for 4 years. I am still hanging in there and am anxious to vote this Nov.

42 posted on 08/30/2008 9:50:51 PM PDT by frannie (Fear not tomorrow, God is already there.)
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To: krb
Thank you, I knew he had not won by a million.

As a matter of fact I emailed both Hannity and Rush that Gore won by that amount in two Cities and I wanted someone to ask “Which City elected him?”

Some times we make statements without looking up the facts.

43 posted on 08/30/2008 9:58:11 PM PDT by frannie (Fear not tomorrow, God is already there.)
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To: devere; NYC Republican

Lighten up, the AOL map posted was an obvious joke.


44 posted on 08/30/2008 10:19:19 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: ll_t

McCain is down by 10 points in PA?
How sad.


45 posted on 08/30/2008 10:21:08 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: snarkytart

“McCain is down by 10 points in PA? How sad.”

The people I know from PA think McCain will carry the state. If so, he will surely be elected President.


46 posted on 08/30/2008 10:33:24 PM PDT by devere
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To: devere

“The people I know from PA think McCain will carry the state. If so, he will surely be elected President.”

I’m worried about the Philly vote machine.
BTW..who do you know in PA, regular people or are you talking about campaign workers?


47 posted on 08/30/2008 10:38:16 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: SeekAndFind

Seek and Find...Are you a troll? I do the same “divide and conquer” over at DU. Try to sound like one thing but really trying to quietly dishearten the base...I am on to you!


48 posted on 08/30/2008 10:45:02 PM PDT by nckerr (www.myspace.com/ArmyKerrFamily)
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To: SeekAndFind
On the other hand, the American electorate is homogeneous across state lines enough that 2000 appears to be the ONLY election since 1888 when the popular vote didn't jive with the electoral college vote. This makes sense, mathematically, because the electors are allocated based primarily on the population of the state.

Putting aside the question of the reliability of polls, it's always better to be up rather than down.

49 posted on 08/30/2008 10:59:53 PM PDT by mbraynard (You are the Republican Party. See you at the precinct meeting.)
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To: charles m

Yeah, mostly because of the Obama part.


50 posted on 08/30/2008 11:00:33 PM PDT by mbraynard (You are the Republican Party. See you at the precinct meeting.)
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To: charles m

51 posted on 08/30/2008 11:09:37 PM PDT by newzjunkey (McCain-Palin. YES on CA PROP 4. (Family notification for underage abortions))
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To: snarkytart

No - uh - he’s up 9 in PA’s 10th congressional district. I was correcting a previous poster, who was claiming a congressional district poll showed John McCain up by 9 in the entire state. He was just up by 9 in the 10th congressional district.


52 posted on 08/30/2008 11:27:08 PM PDT by ll_t
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To: charles m
Mac is going to go up a point every time Sarah speaks.

Wait till the debates - she'll annihilate Biden, and Mac will whip uh-O like a nappy headed step child.

53 posted on 08/30/2008 11:32:12 PM PDT by 4woodenboats ( MEJA is FUBAR DefendOurMarines.org DefendOurTroops.org)
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To: ll_t

Watch Montgomery, Delaware, and Bucks Counties this time. It will take an OVERWHELMING win in Philadelphia County to even come close to negating the vote in said counties. I do believe Barry the Mulatto Messiah will win Allegheny, but not by more than 5%, a small margin for such a heavily Democratic county.


54 posted on 08/30/2008 11:32:47 PM PDT by Clemenza (Barack Obama: Black and White and RED all Over)
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To: ll_t

Uh..you’re post wasn’t clear, but..uh..thanks for the clarification.


55 posted on 08/30/2008 11:55:11 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: 14erClimb

Except our side shouldn’t be in Bolshevik red.

That’s ok. That just means Republicans are the lifeline of the USA. Rather than the blue, aka Blue Bloods.


56 posted on 08/31/2008 3:21:18 AM PDT by Gator_that_eats_Dems
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To: krb; SeekAndFind

I have always wondered about the popular vote count in the 2000 Election.

The screams of “stolen election” and “selected not elected” from the Left served to cover up the probability of massive problems with inaccurate counting IN FAVOR OF GORE.

In my analysis, anyway, and I have heard and read others that are similar.

In a number of states maybe all, for that matter, they throw away large numbers of mail-in ballots because they say it wouldn’t tip the state the other way, so forget them. Think how many military ballots are never counted, and all the people who vote early.

Dems in cities such as Philadelphia and many others are notorious for vote fraud. They can turn out more people than are actually available to vote. They have been doing it for years in tight elections.

Then there’s all the Republicans who didn’t vote in the FL Panhandle because they heard Gore had already won FL.

And all the voters out West who heard the same and decided not to vote because they’d been told that Bush could not win if he lost FL’s electoral votes.

I have never accepted that in an honest, well-run election, Bush would’ve lost the popular vote.


57 posted on 08/31/2008 6:06:50 AM PDT by txrangerette (Just say "no" to the Obama Cult.)
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To: nckerr
Seek and Find...Are you a troll? I do the same “divide and conquer” over at DU. Try to sound like one thing but really trying to quietly dishearten the base...I am on to you!

No I am not. However if you don't believe me, all you have to do is look at a history of my posts to see if I am.

Look, there is no rule in this forum that says you should not put a dose of reality in your posts. Ask yourself the question --- is it the popular vote that counts ? or is it the electoral college ?

I wish McCain/Palin were ahead in the electoral college count. But we gotta face reality, at this point in time, he isn't. So the hard work is still ahead of us.

Unless of course you can show that momentum is on his side via the polls...
58 posted on 08/31/2008 7:01:56 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: devere

Why is the AOL poll in favor of the Republicans? Aren’t the Democrats more active online?


59 posted on 08/31/2008 7:57:24 AM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: MinorityRepublican

“Why is the AOL poll in favor of the Republicans?”

I suspect it’s because AOL is an older dial-up service, perhaps used primarily by people outside of major metropolitan areas, and older people. But I am just guessing.


60 posted on 08/31/2008 8:10:03 AM PDT by devere
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