Posted on 08/20/2008 4:48:47 AM PDT by safetysign
In a sharp turnaround, Republican John McCain has opened a 5-point lead on Democrat Barack Obama in the U.S. presidential race and is seen as a stronger manager of the economy, according to a Reuters/Zogby poll released on Wednesday.
McCain leads Obama among likely U.S. voters by 46 percent to 41 percent, wiping out Obama's solid 7-point advantage in July and taking his first lead in the monthly Reuters/Zogby poll.
(Excerpt) Read more at reuters.com ...
They will do their best to help him out and spin things his way. But the Obama campaign seems to have ruptured. They have lost a lot of ground to McCain over the last few weeks.
If so, then this bump could be due, at leasty partially, to the Russia/Georgia situation. Obama ended up sounding like a fool after that started, and with Russia again acting like the bully on the block, the last thing a majority of Americans want is some commie appeaser in the WH.
I bet if you add in the Russia/Georgia bump with the Saddleback bump, McCain's lead would be even bigger.
“I remember back in ‘04 there came a time when people realized what it would really be like to have Kerry as a president.....”
Yes!.....Obama can’t pass the reality check. He does real well in a liberal bubble world, otherwise....
Agree. We are talking a major fracture of the Dems. Bring her in as veep? Possibly, but as Rush said, Obama would need someone tasting his food and starting his cars.
No they won’t. If hillary managed to get the nomination she wouldn’t get hardly any of the black vote. The clintons understand they cannot take the nomination from Obama.
What the clintons want to accomplish is for the nearly everyone in the Democratic party to understand that if they had nominated Hillary insteand of Obama, HIllary would be president. Instead Democrats listened to the media and gave the nomination to Obama.
The Clinton object will be to appear to be working hard for Obama while stabbing him in the back. That way they can get the black votes in 2012 and the white working class vote that Obama can’t get.
This latest live operator telephone survey was conducted Aug. 14-16, 2008
Obama Support
Democrats 83% July 74% August
Women 50% July 42% August
Catholics 47% July 36% Auguest
Ages <35 59% July 47% August
College Grads 51% July 40% August
Live in Cities 54% July 43% August
Income <$50,000 53% July 46% August
Southerners 46% July 35% August
ROFLMAO!
That's only if they won the election. That would have to happen first and I don't see Obama winning, regardless of his VP pick.
Now with the polls going up for McCain, and the House Republicans demanding a vote on OIL DRILLING, do you think we could see more house GOP members getting elected??? I sure hope so!!
[I do wonder what their real internals say. This is crazy for the dim not to have a double digit lead right now]
Obama has changed his strategy since coming back from Hawaii. He has began aggressively attacking McCain. Based on this, I’d say his internals also show him losing big. A candidate doesn’t change their strategy (not to mention their positions) when they are winning.
Who do you want? I would love to see Michael Steele as VP.
That’s why I said pre-Saddleback.
I am loving the D’s pain today. I know the election is not over, far from it in fact...But I am sure loving these polls today!
One more time. About polls:
They come in 2 flavors. Constant party mix. Variable party mix.
Rasmussen has a constant party mix. His telephone robots are looking for XX Dems, YY GOP and ZZ Independents. They keep calling until they get that mix. When they do, the results are what they are. When you see movement in Rasmussen, it’s a real trend. People are indeed changing their minds.
Most other pollsters call randomly and ask the respondent what their party affiliation is. If they get 70% Dems, 20% GOP and 10% Independent, too bad. That’s what they report. The next week it might be 20% Dem, 70% GOP and 10% Independent. Randomness can do that. It’s much harder to spot trends in this style poll.
The problem with the constant mix variety is that the target mix may not be right (usually it’s whoever showed up last election). Party affiliation is a VERY powerful determinant of candidate preference. So the mix picked will determine the poll’s results. The numbers reported may be wrong, but a trend is REAL.
The problem with variable mix is that poll to poll you may see huge variation of party mix and this cannot reflect national opinion — because people just don’t change their party affiliation that frequently.
Poll was taken Thur to Saturday. It is pre Saddleback.
I'm less sure of who I want than of who I don't want. Hopefully McCain's gotten the message about choosing Lieberman or Ridge.
Michael Steele would be a good choice. I'd like to see him pick Palin.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.