Posted on 07/21/2008 5:08:20 PM PDT by Kleebo151
A new poll shows 43 percent of Michigan voters back Democrat Barack Obama and 41 percent support GOP rival John McCain
(Excerpt) Read more at rockymountainnews.com ...
if it’s THIS close in Michigan, I doubt the 300+ EV predictions for bambi.
ping
There’s a PPP poll today showing Obama with an 8% lead in Ohio, which is ridiculous. PPP is perhaps only after Zogby, the most historically pro-Obama poll.
Can anybody say “Bradley effect”?
What McCain needs to carry this key State, is Governor Haley Barbour of Mississippi, or Governor Sanford of South Carolina. Likewise, Michiganders are so enthused about their pulchritudinous female Governor, the equally good looking and female Governor Palin of Alaska might help.
They're desperately trying to cover up the badly sputtering Obama. He'll flame out in mid Sept to early Oct and be crushed in the election.
Michigan is somewhat of an interesting case in 2008. There is a majority block that is disgusted with Granholm’s failures and Kwame’s corruption in the City of Detroit. On the other hand, many of these same people are frustrated and place blame Bush for the recession that has been going on in the state for several years LONGER than the rest of the country. All incumbents are dead meat in this state in the next election. I give McCain a 50-50 shot in Michigan.
Rev. Wright and Kwame are examples of how what used to work isn't any more.
I look at Obamba as the inner city's last gasps.
If it’s really that close in Michigan, then I’d hazard a guess that McCain might actually be leading in much of the state. Detroit, with its Democratic political machine, large African-American population, and heavy union presence has to be heavily in favor of Obama.
Just a guess, though.
PPP = Democrat polls.
We are seeing state after state showing Mccain and Obama
both at or around 44%. Same thing occured in Primaries
that Clinton won , she and Obama polled at around 44%.
Exit polls on election day showed it too close to call.
Hillary would end at night end 45 - 55 % or so.
This was in the last 10 primaries after Rev Wright stories
broke ...
Bradley Effect
And Romney jumps for joy at the news.
Just a guess, though.
Good guess. From the Detroit News:
The telephone survey of 600 likely voters, conducted July 13-16, shows the Michigan electorate views both McCain and Obama favorably. But each candidate has areas of policy, demographic and geographic strength -- and each has significant weaknesses.
• Obama, buoyed by near-universal support from African-Americans, is well ahead in Detroit. He holds a big lead with young voters, and a smaller edge among those who name the economy as their primary concern, and gets better marks as the candidate most likely to bring change.
• McCain leads among white voters, but not by a large enough margin to counter Obama's lead with African-Americans. He is ahead across the state outside of Metro Detroit, especially in northern and western Michigan. McCain gets higher marks as a candidate voters trust, and to handle terrorism and homeland security.
Each candidate gets support from about four of every five voters from his own party -- leaving the race in the hands of the roughly 16 percent of Michigan voters who say they are independents. McCain holds a slender, 4-point lead among them -- but that's down from a double-digit lead in EPIC-MRA's late May survey.
EPIC-MRA showed GWB slightly ahead in MI the week before the 2004 election, as I recall. Their record is not great. Still this is good news for McCain. Anything showing him within striking distance in that state will help. It is hard to believe though that if the race is close in MI that McCain wouldn’t be far ahead in IN, ND, and MT. Yet all those state supposedly are close too. Something is out of whack somewhere.
It’s actually easy to figure out. Even more than the media wants Obams as next president, they want a horserace. It’s all about ratings and money. A close presidential race is crucial for news/political shows ratings. Polls are just manipulated to achieve this result.
I'm still pulling for him, but he needs to get intense professional communication help if he wants to be a viable entity on the national stage. The clip I saw makes W sound like Winston Churchill by comparison!
It looks like Mitt’s brother Scott can put Mich. into play.
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