Posted on 01/30/2008 5:05:17 AM PST by Nextrush
I'm angry about how things are going, I won't mince my words.
To watch the Establishment shove McCain into us disgusts me.
Lets look at how to win next Tuesday with tactical voting for Romney in key states with Huck being the only option down South.
For starters, Romney is a winner in Massachusetts. He's ahead 20 points in last week's polling, at least. I expect a win for Mitt in Utah, plus polling shows a big Romney lead in Colorado for the caucuses there next Tuesday.
Romney has three states in his bag.
Now he has to get some others. I hope Illinois is one of them, plus Missouri. Missouri is 58 WINNER TAKE ALL DELEGATES.
I think the South is a lost cause with Huck in there now getting organized pro-life support. The state affiliates of National Right To Life want pro-life voters parked with Huck next Tuesday for whatever reason.
That will firmly prevent any Romney chance in those states which either Huckabee or McCain will win.
Down south West Virginia, Tennessee, Georgia, Alabama, Arkansas and Oklahoma, its a vote for Huckabee to beat McCain in those states.
I expect McCain to win some of them unfortunately.
Now out west Montana looks like a state for Romney to try for.
In the East McCain will sweep New York (101 WINNER TAKE ALL DELEGATES), New Jersey and I'm certain of Connecticut.
Delaware is also a McCain win, along with Arizona, although Mitt will get a substantial vote there from his fellow Mormons.
Alaska is a wild card. I wouldn't be surprised to see Ron Paul do well there. Maybe the vote will mix there to a Huck win.
Minnesota is voting as well and I don't know what to expect there. Maybe Mitt could do something there or in North Dakota. But I suspect McCain wins in both.
That brings us to the big prize. California. 173 delegates.
This is the one state that would give Mitt any bragging rights next Tuesday and so he must win there.
It will take an all out conservative effort with amnesty being a key issue.
Take the gloves off and pound McCain. Hold him to Kennedy-McCain, McCain-Kennedy, etc.
Is Tom McClintock in on Mitt's side?
Right now Ahnold is uncommitted. He may be held back to endorse McCain at the last minute for what its worth.
California is the key to Romney's survival and viability.
If he loses there McCain will have it for sure.
If he is the nominee and perform like last night debate, he will negate the extreme unlikability, meanness, and arrogance of Hillary Clinton.
Romney’s not buying TV....even in the sates you mention that he has to win. So it’s over.
I never insulted California and I never said my State was great or better than yours. I know plenty about American History, I don’t need a lesson from you. I was born before Reagan was President, so lay off the insults.
I hope when I am as old and wise as you, I have a better disposition and more manners than you.
Which brings us back to FRed.
I haven't heard many complaints (from any quarter) about FRed's positions; only about his "lack of fire in the belly" or "laziness" or "timing."
He'd be the perfect compromise candidate.
Cheers!
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