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Rasmussen Poll: Three way tie
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 1-18-07 | Rasmussen Reports

Posted on 01/18/2008 8:06:19 AM PST by dangus

Huckabee, 22% McCain, 21% Romney, 19% Thompson, 12% Giuliani, 10% Ron Paul, 3% Some other Republican (named Duncan Hunter), ?%

My own notes Please note that any Republican is likely to do better in the electoral college than in the general election. Ohio is much more solidly Republican, after they've tasted Democrats running the state; Michigan is sick of their own female, liberal chief executive. And I predict Hillary "beats the spread" in very conservative states (leaving them comfortably Republican), and wastefully piles on the victory margins in very liberal states (NY, etc.), but underperforms in the purplish industrial states like Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and the aforementioned Michigan and Ohio.

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: elections; romney
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To: Always Right

McCain is collapsing in SC.


41 posted on 01/18/2008 8:33:46 AM PST by dangus
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To: Izzy Dunne
Did you notice that there's a place for your own comments when posting?

Should have the mod change it.

42 posted on 01/18/2008 8:34:12 AM PST by org.whodat (What's the difference between a Democrat and a republican????)
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To: dangus

Ohio is much more solidly Republican, after they’ve tasted Democrats running the state”

Can you elaborate on that, with specifics???

If true, that is great...because at the end of the day, Ohio is the only state that really matters.


43 posted on 01/18/2008 8:35:42 AM PST by ConservativeDude
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To: dangus

I hope. Why would Republicans support John McCain?


44 posted on 01/18/2008 8:35:53 AM PST by apocalypto
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To: apocalypto

Because the liberal MSM tells them he can win.


45 posted on 01/18/2008 8:43:49 AM PST by rightinthemiddle (Guess what? I'm voting for the Conservative. Fred Thompson.)
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To: pepperhead
So we should just vote for who is polling the best even if we disagree with them?

Generally people vote for the best candidate among those they think have a shot to win. That is why I'm not writing in "Ann Coulter".

If Fred still seems to have a shot when it gets to Super Tuesday, I will vote for him. If he seems to have no chance, I will vote for the least lousy of those that have a chance. Maybe Romney.

46 posted on 01/18/2008 8:46:08 AM PST by AndyTheBear (Disastrous social experimentation is the opiate of elitist snobs.)
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To: apocalypto
Wow! Ultra liberal McCain and silly Huckabee leading! I used to think better of SC. Could it be that once again the polls are way off?

Naw, what it means is SC, like the majority of the rest of the USA, has lost it's freaking mind and is voting for socialism and free stuff.

47 posted on 01/18/2008 8:48:31 AM PST by RetiredArmy (Rome burned to the ground. America is slowly burning to the ground. Socialism is killing it.)
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To: apocalypto

The bus we’re in is looking to make a hard left turn, dumping us off at the curb.


48 posted on 01/18/2008 8:48:37 AM PST by Rational Thought
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To: Doogle
FRed is coming on strong!

Man, how do you see that? Fred needs to win in SC to stay alive. Squeaking into third spells the end of him.

49 posted on 01/18/2008 8:49:12 AM PST by outofstyle (My Ride's Here)
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To: dangus

The Friends reported that Fred is campaigning in Florida today and Molly H. said he’s surging in SC.


50 posted on 01/18/2008 8:49:15 AM PST by Miss Didi ("Good heavens, woman, this is a war not a garden party!" Dr. Meade, Gone with the Wind)
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To: Always Right; All

...thats it, me and always right have to sit in the corner the rest of the day *smiles*


51 posted on 01/18/2008 8:51:34 AM PST by Doogle (USAF.68-73..8th TFW Ubon Thailand..never store a threat you should have eliminated))
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To: outofstyle

see#51


52 posted on 01/18/2008 8:52:57 AM PST by Doogle (USAF.68-73..8th TFW Ubon Thailand..never store a threat you should have eliminated))
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To: Miss Didi

Also he’s charding.


53 posted on 01/18/2008 8:55:28 AM PST by CharlesWayneCT
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To: CharlesWayneCT

Huh? I’m just reporting what I heard.


54 posted on 01/18/2008 9:02:16 AM PST by Miss Didi ("Good heavens, woman, this is a war not a garden party!" Dr. Meade, Gone with the Wind)
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To: AndyTheBear
And what if you don't think Mitt can win? What if you don't like or trust him? Then what?


55 posted on 01/18/2008 9:08:46 AM PST by pepperhead (Kennedy's float, Mary Jo's don't!)
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To: dangus

And I didn’t think these polls could get more confusing! lol


56 posted on 01/18/2008 9:13:36 AM PST by sweet_diane (I am voting substance over style...deal with it! Enough with the "I like Fred, but" crapola.)
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To: apocalypto

McAmnesty has been campaigning in SC for eight years and has excellent name recognition. South Carolinians respect his military service and sacrifice.

Huckabee wears his religious beliefs on his sleeve which
appeals to the evangelical base in SC. Also the evangelical base seems tired of giving support to so called conservatives in past elections only to see their hot button issues being ignored along with fiscal and defense conservatism. They see ‘ liberal light ‘ policy stances among all of the candidates, so this time they are gravitating to the candidate who espouses his religious beliefs.

Thompson has only really campaigned in the state for two
weeks and 12 to 17 percent in the polls is not bad given his late start. Thompson has started a media campaign but he is still being drowned out over the airways by the other candidates including Paul, at least in the Upstate.

South Carolina is conservative only on the Pro Life issue.
Except for Jim DeMint, the rest of the GOP in SC are really
Democrats dressed up as Republicans. Just my opinion.


57 posted on 01/18/2008 9:14:47 AM PST by buckalfa
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To: All

It is a difficult thing for FR to accept, but it is largely true and slowly it is being understood.

South Carolina is not important. It is going to define nothing this year. This is 2008, not 2000.

Its only chance to be significant was if Thompson outright won it, and that looks extremely unlikely at this point. It may now have a different significance . . . as where Thompson either drops out or becomes a Hunter or Keyes, i.e., completely irrelevant to the contest. Even hard core supporters can read neon tea leaves and the money will dry up.

Michigan has proven to be this year’s equivalent to 2000’s South Carolina. Do not think the states will not figure this out. If the GOP loses the presidency this year, you can bet there will be a mad rush of states to be The Big One After New Hampshire in 2012.

For this year, Nevada looks like a big Romney win tomorrow. He’ll place third in SC without trying particularly hard and probably pick up a delegate or two to go with the 25+ he’ll get in Nevada. The only question will be now if he heads to Louisiana before they caucus on Tuesday or goes straight to Florida, where they are already voting.


58 posted on 01/18/2008 9:22:31 AM PST by Owen
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To: dangus; All

Heads up, folks...Rush about to talk about polling indicating a Fred surge!


59 posted on 01/18/2008 9:26:04 AM PST by Miss Didi ("Good heavens, woman, this is a war not a garden party!" Dr. Meade, Gone with the Wind)
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To: pgkdan
South Carolina stats:

Survey of 895 Likely GOP Voters
January 16, 2007

Election 2008: South Carolina GOP Primary

John McCain

24%

Mike Huckabee

24%

Mitt Romney

18%

Fred Thompson

16%

Ron Paul

5%

Rudy Giuliani

3%


60 posted on 01/18/2008 9:27:19 AM PST by Gil4 ("There is no room in this country for hyphenated Americanism" - Teddy Roosevelt)
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