Posted on 09/12/2007 9:00:07 AM PDT by Austin Willard Wright
New Hampshire is the state we expect Ron Paul to shine, not Iowa. They are largely anti-war -- the last Iraq war poll had approval ratings as low as 14% suggesting a large majority of Republicans are disenfranchised with the war. Indpendents can vote for candidates in either party at the New Hampshire primary. So no pollster is going to be able to correctly quantify which candidate will get a boost but if the Independents are anti-war, I think it is safe to say that Ron Paul would be the candidate to benefit.
(Excerpt) Read more at usaelectionpolls.com ...
Your talking point is a straw man. All that Paul said amounted to "foreign policy has repercussions," including ours, and the entire diplomatic corps would agree with that assessment.
I think you're just terrified that Paul's ideas might have some traction. By way of allaying your fears not one little bit, I will tell you this:
Whether Paul wins or loses, whether he remains in politics or leaves the public arena, candidates like Paul are only a symptom. It's Ron Paul now, and if it's not Ron Paul tomorrow it'll be someone else just as frightening to you and yours. This symptom will not go away until the underlying cause...conservative discontent with the Republican party...is laid to rest.
You may hate Ron Paul and every Freeper who supports him with a virulent and unending hate, but we're not the problem. We are a symptom. Conservative disaffection is real, and must be dealt with, for the good of the country.
NH has a long tradition of being for small government republicans, with more liberal social beliefs. What some refer to as RINOs.
After the 06 protest election, our two Representatives went M (”Moonbat”), while our two senators are both R.
The gov is D, and the legislature swung D as well.
We have no income or sales tax (but do have a tax on so-called unearned income above I believe a $5k threshold). The D’s have crafted a budget which will make a sales or income tax inevitable, though, IMO.
NH is still a swing state, however, and as a registered independent, I can vote in either primary. I’m going to work on my primary voting strategy over the next few months: The only thing for sure now is that my vote will NOT be for Julie Annie.
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I think the spinmeisters call that "staying on point." It's a technique. You're pretty good at it.
Does RuPaul have full-time bloggers on FR?
LOL, I did no such thing tattletale.
Good summary. Based on election results from the two congressional districts, I believe the 06 vote was a protest vote against Iraq war.
Both Republican incumbents lost a huge number of votes from the 04 election (Bradley and Bass lost almost 50% of their voters), while the D-moonbats each picked up only a handful more, meaning that much of the R base simply stayed home.
I suspect you are correct; I don’t agree with Ron Paul’s antiwar stance, but on most everything eles; he’s great.
That’s why I support Tancredo, unfortunately he has the exact same problem with the elites they don’t like him because He truly is Conservative, and won’t go with the program and support their P.C. culture..!
Yes. The Free State Project it was called. But the effort failed.
The first sentence is completely true. The second is not: we are trending that way, for sure, but there is plenty of buyer's remorse at the way the moonbats are behaving. The next election is crucial. We will see.
>> And yet we’re discussing him. Funny, isn’t it?
The fact that a person or subject gets discussed on FR does not necessarily mean that he, she or it is not entirely irrelevant politically. This is a site trafficked primarily by political-junkies and activists who generally pride themselves on knowing the minutae of American and International Politics.
However, what may be relevant, interesting or amusing (it is my contention that Ron Paul is the latter) on this site, may, in fact, be an irrelevancy to the population at large. Political relevancy is not determined by policy wonks, news junkies or activists ... it is determined by everyday American voters - to many of whom Ron Paul is either completely irrelevant, or entirely unknown.
1% in national polling does not bode well for the relevancy of Ron Paul - nor does the fact that his supporters are about to throw a ticker-tape parade because he broke 5% in New Hampshire.
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Well, if a Goldwater-style Republican were running, I would immediately support him. Paul is not that candidate. Goldwater believed in national defense and security. Paul doesn’t even see a threat to the US from the terrorists.
Roughly one third of people in the Granite state are Republicans.
5% of those people favor Ron Paul.
Is there a coincidence in the fact that 1.67% of people in the Live-Freeze-and-Die state are insane?
LOL. And, though I am not a Ron Paul supporter, the Gipper would support many of Paul’s beliefs regarding limited central government, which Bush clearly does not adhere to.
The only poll I'm really concerned about is the primary. I predict that he'll do considerably better than 1 percent in the primaries, because his people are motivated.
There might be lots of people out there who, when polled, report that they favor Giuliani or McCain...God help us...or whoever, but when it comes time to actually vote in the primary, you know the Paul supporters are going to make it to the polls.
I beg to differ. Paul advocates securing the borders, which
A) will shut out the lion's share of terrorist attacks, and
B) the current leadership is unwilling to do.
Why are we still talking about this clown. I like his domestic ideas, but his foriegn ideas scare me.
No offense, but here in NH we are probably more conservative than whatever State you’re posting from.
The top candidate in NH is polling in the 20+% range.
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