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Posted on 08/20/2007 8:12:21 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Extremely dangerous Hurricane Dean is steaming toward the Yucatan Peninsula today, packing winds over 150 mph. The Hurricane Hunter aircraft aborted its mission Monday morning due to equipment problems. The storm is expected to attain catastrophic Category 5 status today. The Cayman Islands have been spared the brunt of the storm's winds as Dean passed 125 miles south of Grand Cayman.
Jamaica continues to assess damage to its infrastructure after Dean uprooted trees, knocked down power lines, stripped off roofs, and dumped up to 20 inches of rain, causing mudslides in the mountains. The government of Jamaica has declared a month-long state of emergency. Haiti has reported four fatalities. The Dominican Republic reported a 20ft storm surge. Martinique lost its banana crops. Additional details are scarce at this point due to extensive power outages.
Alcoa suspended aluminum production in Jamaica. Mexico evacuated thousands of workers from oil platforms. Texas mobilized the National Guard, opened emergency operations centers and moved inmates inland from three prisons in advance of the storm.
Space shuttle Endeavour is returning home Tuesday, a day early due to Hurricane Dean.
In other storm news, the remnants of Tropical Storm Erin caused massive rains and flooding in Oklahoma Sunday. Two people have drowned, and three are reported missing at this time.
Public Advisories Updated every three hours.
Tropical Storm Discussion Updated every six hours
Storm Track Archive Nice animated progression of 5 day forecast tracks
Buoy Data Western Gulf of Mexico
Buoy Data West Caribbean
Storm Surge graphic
Satellite Images
Cancun Radar Caution- very prone to overload with high traffic
Additional Resources:
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Cayman One Radio Nice music mix, and hourly news
Hurricane Dean Thread II
Hurricane Dean Thread I
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
No I prefer just the facts. But they hype it up so, talking about a CAT 5 when it actually was already down to a CAT 4, CAT 5 hurricanes rarely hit land. Andrew and Gilbert were the last two. When’s the last time you heard that on the news?
I don’t like hype, getting people all scared unnecessarily. Facts should be reported, not wishes.
Fox is all about Dean hitting Texas, but if you read up on it you will see that the odds of that are very low.
They made a big deal on last nights news that a Red Cross group out of Seattle is preparing to fly to Texas to be there when this thing hits. I hope they remember to bring their golf clubs, swim trunks and flippers and a “things to do on South Padre Island” brochure, because they are going to be there awhile.
Thanks , So Much for all your hard work you do with your Hurricane Threads ! I Really Appreciate the help & you do for all Freepers :)
“Next landfall winds will be around 110 mph”
Where did you see that? The forecast I’m seeing is that it will strengthen to cat 5 before hitting Yucatan and will remain hurricane strength all the way across the peninsula.
Correction : I Really Appreciate the help that YOU Do for your fellow Freepers reading these threads :)
i can’t watch anything cause mom doesn’t have cable! internet is my soul info source.
Hurricane Dean Public Advisory Number 30 A1
Statement as of 11:45 am EDT on August 20, 2007
...Dean could become a category five hurricane later today...
At 11 am EDT...1500 UTC...the government of Mexico has blamed George Bush and issued a Hurricane Warning for the West Coast of the Yucatan Peninsula from south of Progresso southward to ciudad del Carmen.
Placing the blame on George Bush means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours and it is all his fault. Preparations to loot and pillage property should be rushed to completion.
At 11 am EDT...the government of Belize has blamed Bush and extended the Hurricane Warning southward from Belize City to the border with Guatemala. A Hurricane Warning is now in effect for all of Belize. Belize and other third world countries will see reparations from the United States because of failed environmental policies. Newsweek said so.
At 11 am EDT...the government of Mexico has issued that the country will be chocolate by the end of the day.
At 11 am EDT...the government of Jamaica has replaced the Hurricane
Warning for Jamaica with a Tropical Storm Warning. The Tropical
Storm Warning will likely be lowered early this afternoon. No thanks to George Bush.
A Hurricane Warning remains in effect for the East Coast of the
Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico from the border with Belize northward
to Cancun. Anti-American protest are sure to result.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for portions of eastern
Cuba...Cindy Sheman and Michael Moore will provide free health care because the United State hates Cubans and blacks. MTV said so, it must be true.
Sorry, I was answering a question regarding second Mexico land fall. Not the Yucatan...Cat 5
Second, they want another disaster to blame on Global Warming, and also blame Bush for not doing enough like they did with Katrina.
And third, the Democratic candidates could use a disaster to show how compassionate and concerned they are with a stump speech followed by photo-op in hip boots.
I was just watching a reporter from TWC, who is on SPI. She seemed a little bored and stated the chances were low but then started talking about what could happen if the island hit and only one road in/ out. (I don't think she knows about the backup ferry). Is this bad though? It tells people to stay on guard and don't wait until the last minute to try to get out.
So, prairiecane Erin so far has been more deadly than Dean was to Jamaica?
Well, since Stephanie Abrams doesn’t get out much anymore, somebody had to take the bubble buxom bleach blonde role.
That’s how it looks at this point. News has been rather slow from Jamaica though.
It makes one want to grab your queasy stomach much like hitting the top of the roller coaster just before you head straight down.
ROFL
“Down” to a cat 4? Boy that’s a relief. No problem then. /s
When did I last see the news? All I know is the Hurricane Center is still calling for it to hit cat 5 strength today before it reaches the Yucatan. Maybe it won’t be 5 when it goes on shore, but 4 seems to be a good bet.
I seriously don’t think Dean will hit Texas, but hurricanes are nothing if not unpredictable. When it’s that close, you’d better pay attention and be cautious. If you don’t and you live near the coast, you’re an idiot.
“Andrew and Gilbert were the last two. When’s the last time you heard that on the news?”
I don’t think I’ve heard that on the news at all because the only cat 5s to hit U.S. soil in the 20th century were the Labor Day hurricane, Camille, and Andrew. Two others, including Gilbert, made landfall in Mexico as cat 5.
“Sorry, I was answering a question regarding second Mexico land fall. Not the Yucatan...Cat 5”
OK. Didn’t see that.
They're just salivating for another disaster
.
Waves at 7.2 feet, up from 3 ft yesterday.
The buoy is north of the expected track.
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