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Hurricane Dean Live Thread Part II
NOAA/NHC ^ | August 19, 2007 | NOAA/NWS

Posted on 08/19/2007 3:52:51 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Extremely dangerous Hurricane Dean is moving west-northwest through the Caribbean Sea. The current NHC forecast track indicates Dean's powerful center core will pass just south of the southwestern peninsula of Haiti, and should skirt Jamaica's southern shoreline. The storm maintained strong Category 4 wind status through the night during an eyewall replacement cycle. However, the minimum pressure supports Category 5, and additional strengthening of winds is likely.

Tourists in Jamaica crowded airports Saturday to leave the island nation. Jamaican Prime Minister Portia Simpson Miller addressed the Jamaican people, asking that everyone put aside their political differences and work together in advance of the imminent storm preceding Jamaica's general election scheduled for August 27. PM Miller announced that the Jamaican power grid and water would likely be shut down early Sunday morning in advance of the storm, and strongly urged citizens to seek shelter.

The United States and Barbados have pledged hurricane relief supplies and support to Jamaica as needed. No word yet from the United Nations...

Public Advisories Updated every three hours.

Tropical Storm Discussion Updated every six hours

Three Day Tracking Map

Storm Track Archive Nice animated progression of 5 day forecast tracks

Buoy Data East Caribbean

Buoy Data West Caribbean

Storm Model Tracks

Storm Surge graphic

Satellite Images/Radar

Visible Satellite Still Image

IR Image

WV Image

Jamaica Radar

Additional Resources:

StormCarib Island locals post their observations

Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City


TOPICS: Mexico; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: caribbean; dean; hurricane; hurricanedean; jamaica; tropical
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To: No Blue States; antivenom

You beat me (and got the link right too).


141 posted on 08/19/2007 7:01:40 AM PDT by steveegg (I am John Doe, and a monthly donor)
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To: All; dufekin
Check out the "remnants" of TS Erin exploding over Oklahoma. NWS is calling it "the equivalent of a tropical storm." They are getting pounded with rainfall, some totals exceeding 9", and 40+ mph winds.

Enhanced IR

OKC radar

Hat tip to dufekin for the heads up.

142 posted on 08/19/2007 7:02:21 AM PDT by NautiNurse (McClatchy News report: Half the nation's families earn below the median family income)
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To: SouthTexas

Anyone who is still alive should remember Carla. Our families were in Houston but we were living in Virginia and it was the first time that I remember any event being broadcast over live TV 24/7. I was glued to the TV and never expected to see my family again.


143 posted on 08/19/2007 7:02:49 AM PDT by Ditter
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To: ExSES

The Cantarell field is in the Bahia Campeche just off the coast at Ciudad del Carmen. The wells are about even latitudinally with the northern part of Belize, around 19N.

The track of the eye is projected to move a bit to the north of there, but there will be some wind and convection from the storm because it’s so large.

The wells most likely have been evacuated of personnel, for safety’s sake, would be my guess.


144 posted on 08/19/2007 7:04:08 AM PDT by Rte66
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To: NautiNurse

That’s definitely something you don’t see every day.


145 posted on 08/19/2007 7:06:24 AM PDT by steveegg (I am John Doe, and a monthly donor)
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To: Ditter
first time that I remember any event being broadcast over live TV 24/7

On all three channels! LOL

146 posted on 08/19/2007 7:06:34 AM PDT by SouthTexas
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To: steveegg

Remind me of this the next time somebody crabs about folks living in coastal areas.


147 posted on 08/19/2007 7:09:16 AM PDT by NautiNurse (McClatchy News report: Half the nation's families earn below the median family income)
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To: SouthTexas
Since we had a shot of Dean from the ISS upthread, I think we deserve a bit of a break from Dean-mania. Head on to Blog Idaho for some good shots of the ISS taking on the Big Dipper.
148 posted on 08/19/2007 7:10:43 AM PDT by steveegg (I am John Doe, and a monthly donor)
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To: SouthTexas

Yes! LOL!


149 posted on 08/19/2007 7:13:47 AM PDT by Ditter
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To: CindyDawg

I was in the 6th grade, but true to my vow as a Houston anti-hurricane charm, I had moved to Oklahoma, where I always rode out SE TX canes, lol.

A cousin in my birthplace of Corpus kept promising me a little Sunfish sailboat if I would come visit and it apparently - at my very scaredy-cat mother’s urging - “drowned” and was “lost at sea” in Carla.

(I don’t think it ever existed, at least not as intended for *me* but for my cousins.)


150 posted on 08/19/2007 7:14:02 AM PDT by Rte66
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To: steveegg
The space station broke the handle so now the Big Dipper is spilling out all over Oklahoma!

Great shots!

151 posted on 08/19/2007 7:14:56 AM PDT by SouthTexas
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To: SouthTexas

Oklahoma, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Wisconsin, northern Illinois. Guess I’m no longer in a mild drought ;-)


152 posted on 08/19/2007 7:17:14 AM PDT by steveegg (I am John Doe, and a monthly donor)
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To: CindyDawg

Were you in Alvin for Claudette?


153 posted on 08/19/2007 7:17:43 AM PDT by Rte66
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To: NautiNurse

Will try.


154 posted on 08/19/2007 7:18:11 AM PDT by steveegg (I am John Doe, and a monthly donor)
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To: antivenom; DoughtyOne

>the dial ups don’t know what right click means either

LOL! Reminds me of when they put that little “go” arrow up there by the address bar.

What, they didn’t know to press “ENTER?” LOL!


155 posted on 08/19/2007 7:18:11 AM PDT by bill1952 ("All that we do is done with an eye towards something else.")
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To: PGalt

Your welcome.

Check out the time lapse video of an Oklahoma supercell:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RLrJADfkd1I

“Jamaican officials closed the airports late Saturday, and at 6 p.m. ordered all businesses shuttered until Tuesday to prevent the looting that occurred during Hurricane Ivan in 2004.”


156 posted on 08/19/2007 7:19:08 AM PDT by No Blue States
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To: SouthTexas

That was Dan Rather’s “big break,” wasn’t it? LOL!!


157 posted on 08/19/2007 7:20:53 AM PDT by Rte66
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To: NautiNurse

40+ mph winds? Don’t let ‘em kid you - it blows 25-30mph all day long, every day, on the Lake Hefner Golf Course in OKC with *frequent* gusts to 40 and above, lol!


158 posted on 08/19/2007 7:25:17 AM PDT by Rte66
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To: eastforker

Of course, if it hits just barely south, that actually is the worst in terms of wind.

However, Jamaica is a bit further north since it is on the east edge of the island that is not quite as far south, so unless it actually hits JUST barely south, Kingston will be spared the worst. IT sure looks to me like it is going more WNW than W and will not miss by much, probably even less than 30 miles to the S.


159 posted on 08/19/2007 7:28:32 AM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Dick Cheney should have gone hunting with Hillary." -- Yakov Smirnoff)
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To: steveegg

And there’s Rove, just sitting there on Meet the Press, big as you please, acting like he doesn’t have the Dean Machine remote control “carried and concealed” on his person!


160 posted on 08/19/2007 7:28:49 AM PDT by Rte66
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