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Locked on 08/19/2007 5:43:08 AM PDT by Lead Moderator, reason:
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Posted on 08/16/2007 4:43:17 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane warnings have been issued for Dominica and St. Lucia as Hurricane Dean races westward into the Caribbean Sea at 24mph. This motion should bring the center of Dean near the Lesser Antilles on Friday. The increased forward speed of the storm has lessened preparation time for Caribbean Islands in its path. Hurricane Dean has favorable conditions to develop into a major hurricane over the next several days.
Public Advisories Updated every three hours.
Tropical Storm Discussion Updated every six hours
Storm Track Archive Nice animated progression of 5 day forecast tracks
Buoy Data East Caribbean
Buoy Data West Caribbean
Storm Surge graphic
Satellite Images
Additional Resources:
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Prayers up for all you have to do!
Video here (link in top post) of Hurr Dean on Nevis:
http://www.stormcarib.com/reports/current/nevis.shtml
One of our local reporters is on-scene in Jamaica and says Montego Bay may start feeling winds and seeing high seas this evening.
My current puter doesn’t play audio, so I can’t double-check this link, but it’s the Jamaican radio station online that was so great to listen to during Ivan - for anyone interested. Let me know if you like it!
The little bouy that could.
Way to hang in there 42059.
Still Watching. (Bump)
bttt
Tropical Storm Public Advisory
Statement as of 8:00 am AST on August 18, 2007
...Core of Hurricane Dean passes well south of Puerto Rico...
a Hurricane Warning remains in effect for the South Coast of the
Dominican Republic from Barahona westward to the Haiti-Dominican
Republic border...and for the southwestern peninsula of Haiti from
the Haiti-Dominican Republic border to Port-au Prince. A Hurricane
Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the
warning area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect
life and property should be rushed to completion.
A Hurricane Watch remains in effect for Jamaica. A Hurricane
Warning will likely be required for Jamaica later this morning.
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area...generally within 36 hours.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for the British Virgin
Islands....U.S. Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. These warnings
will likely be discontinued on Saturday morning. A Tropical Storm
Warning is in effect along the South Coast of the Dominican
Republic from Cabo engano westward to Barahona...and for coast of
Haiti north of Port-au-Prince to the northern Haiti-Dominican
Republic border. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical
storm conditions are expected within the warning area within the
next 24 hours.
A tropical storm watch is in effect for portions of Cuba...from the
province of Camaguey eastward to the province of Guantanamo. A
tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area...generally within 36 hours.
Interests elsewhere in the central and western Caribbean...including
western Cuba...the Cayman Islands...and the Yucatan Peninsula of
Mexico...should closely monitor the progress of Dean.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.
At 800 am AST...1200z...the center of Hurricane Dean was located
near latitude 15.4 north...longitude 67.9 west or about 615 miles...
990 km...east-southeast of Kingston Jamaica and about 250 miles...
400 km...south-southeast of Santo Domingo in the Dominican Republic.
Dean is moving toward the west near 17 mph...28 km/hr. A general
west to west-northwest motion is expected during the next 24 hours.
On this track...the core of the hurricane will be moving south of
the Dominican Republic later today and south of Haiti tonight.
Maximum sustained winds are near 150 mph...240 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Satellite images suggest that Dean could have weakened a
little during the past few hours...but remains as a dangerous
category four hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. An Air Force
Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft is currently approaching the
hurricane and will determine the intensity. Some fluctuations in
intensity are likely during the next 24 hours.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles...95 km...from
the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205
miles...335 km. NOAA buoy 42059 recently reported a 1-minute
average wind of 65 mph...105 km/hr and a wind gust of 76 mph....122
km/hr as Dean moved nearby.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 930 mb...27.46 inches.
Storm total rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches can be expected from
Dean over Puerto Rico...the Dominican Republic and Haiti with
maximum amounts up to 5 inches possible. These rains could cause
life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.
Repeating the 800 am AST position...15.4 N...67.9 W. Movement
toward...west near 17 mph. Maximum sustained winds...150 mph.
Minimum central pressure...930 mb.
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at
1100 am AST.
$$
Forecaster Avila
Me too
My brother moved from Mobile to San Angelo, Texas about six months ago. He called last night and said he was right in the middle of a TD, lol...another on the way.
Two words: Hurricane Magnet.
On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->
Timex :-)
What's up with The Gold track?..........
000 URNT12 KNHC 181212 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL042007 A. 18/11:51:20Z B. 15 deg 23 min N 067 deg 52 min W C. 700 mb 2437 m D. 121 kt E. 5 deg 008 nm F. 137 deg 145 kt G. 050 deg 008 nm H. 926 mb I. 11 C/ 3049 m J. 23 C/ 3041 m K. 11 C/ NA L. CLOSED M. C12 N. 12345/ 7 O. 0.02 / 2 nm P. AF304 0604A DEAN OB 03 MAX FL WIND 145 KT NE QUAD 11:48:40 Z SMALL HAIL INBOUND NE QUAD RADAR PRESENTATION EXCELLENT
000
URNT12 KNHC 181212
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL042007
A. 18/11:51:20Z
B. 15 deg 23 min N
067 deg 52 min W
C. 700 mb 2437 m
D. 121 kt
E. 5 deg 008 nm
F. 137 deg 145 kt
G. 050 deg 008 nm
H. 926 mb
I. 11 C/ 3049 m
J. 23 C/ 3041 m
K. 11 C/ NA
L. CLOSED
M. C12
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF304 0604A DEAN OB 03
MAX FL WIND 145 KT NE QUAD 11:48:40 Z
SMALL HAIL INBOUND NE QUAD
RADAR PRESENTATION EXCELLENT
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