Posted on 04/05/2007 8:14:01 AM PDT by Unmarked Package
Latest New Hampshire telephone poll shows Romney's support nearly doubles to 25% to tie McCain; Giuliani trails at 19%
Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney has rocketed to the top of the field of contenders for the New Hampshire Republican presidential primary crown, running dead even with Arizona Sen. John McCain at 25% each, a new Zogby International telephone poll shows. With Romney’s ascension, the GOP presidential race looks just like the Democratic contest – a three–way battle!
While McCain has held mostly steady at the top of the Republican field in New Hampshire, losing just one point since January, Romney has made the big move up from 13% two months ago. Rudy Giuliani, the former mayor of New York who is the toast of Republican primary voters nationally, finds himself in third place in the Granite State at 19% support, falling slightly from 20% in January to 19% this week.
Fred Thompson, the actor and former senator from Tennessee won 6% support in this latest survey of 502 likely New Hampshire Republican primary voters, which was conducted April 2-3, 2007, and contains a margin of error of +/- 4.5 percentage points.
Pollster John Zogby: “Score this as a big week for Mitt Romney. These poll numbers, together with the small increase in Iowa and a huge fund–raising effort, puts him into the top tier and makes him a major player in the race for the GOP nomination. John McCain’s support stays steady and makes him a contender and gives him a boost in an otherwise lackluster week. Move over, Rudy. You’ve got a real race on your hands!”
Romney has a slight edge over McCain among men – 27% support Romney while 25% favor McCain. Giuliani gets 19% support among men. McCain wins support from 25% of women, followed by Romney (23%) and Giuliani (18%).
McCain is the favored candidate among younger respondents – nearly half (48%) of those 18-29 said they would vote for the former war hero–turned senator. There is also strong support for Romney among this age group, as 37% said they would support the former Massachusetts governor. Giuliani gets the most support from those age 30 to 49 at (28%) and leads the field over all other candidates among this age group.
Asked about the strength of support for their candidate, McCain shows a slight edge over the other top candidates – 88% of McCain supporters said their backing was strong, compared to 86% of Romney supporters and 85% of those supporting Giuliani.
|
Republicans in New Hampshire – 2007 |
Apr. 3 |
Jan. 18 |
|
|
|
|
|
Romney |
25% |
13% |
|
McCain |
25% |
26% |
|
Giuliani |
19% |
20% |
|
Hagel |
1% |
3% |
|
Huckabee |
1% |
1% |
|
Hunter |
1% |
1% |
|
Paul |
2% |
1% |
|
Brownback |
<1% |
<1% |
|
Tancredo |
1% |
3% |
|
Fred Thompson |
6% |
-- |
|
Tommy Thompson |
<1% |
-- |
|
Not sure |
17% |
15% |
More than half of respondents (54%) said they were more likely to vote for a candidate who is generally more conservative, while 37% said they would favor a more moderate candidate. Romney is the top choice of those who identify themselves as “conservative” and “very conservative”.
The vast majority respondents (85%) said they would be more likely to vote for a candidate who stands up for what they believe in, regardless if they can win the general election. Younger respondents (age 18 to 29) were more likely than older respondents to favor a candidate who will stand by his or her beliefs – 96% in this age group feel this way, compared to 79% of those age 65 and older. Women (89%) are also more likely than men (82%) to say they would vote for the candidate who puts their beliefs first. Overall, 11% said they would rather have a candidate who can win.
Are you cuttign and pasting this response to UP as you did to mine?
“like a record, baby
Right round round round”
Unfortunately, staying with Duncan Hines is suicide.
Weird that McCain and Romney are tied here. Romney’s a next-door neighbor, but the McCain part is puzzling. Also Fred Thompson is doing respectably at 6% but it hasn’t come from Romney, Rudy, or McCain.
Romney has been polling mid-teens to low-twenties in New Hampshire for months. This poll is not a huge shocker. It is nice to see him tied for the lead. I know Zogby is currently the most favorable pollster, but let’s assume that this poll is close to an outlier of reality and let’s apply the total margin of error. That would put Mitt at 19 tied with Rudy. So the worse case for Mitt is that he is running tied for 2nd.
Just like they did in the last election?!?!! Your "true conservatives" just sent Pelosi to Syria and is taking the funding from our troops. Keep up the good work!
Get over it, Mass. Just like Romney, Rudy, and McCain, Fred does great in some states, not as well in others. He beats Romney in a lot of polls and is even steven with McCain in one.
You owe me a new keyboard for that one!
Well, it’s a duplicate thread so why not?
Romney’s the real deal. He will win the nomination in a walk....Fred or no Fred.
Who do the Muzzie terrorists fear the most?
(Zogby’s brother works for CAIR)
Who told several Muzzies long ago to stuff it?
(When was Zogby last correct in Presidential election polling?)
Not if the poll is meaningless, no.
The duplication was my bad because UP beat me under the wire. What’s your reason?
Oh, good, we agree!!!!! : )
LOL! I’ll not go there. That guy was too weird! LOL!
I told you my reason, you guys have a duplicate thread going.
Admit it, you and Unmarked planned to post duplicates, thinking that it would look better for your CINO Mitt.
In the next few months, they'll be spinning like tops. We'll have to make sure they don't spin FR off the net.
Yes, we had a secret plot to post the same thing 4 posts apart so casual browsers would see them both and become indoctrinated.
Ya got me.
Though I personally like him and think he would be fine on the WOT Guiliani is a liberal.
McCain has lost the respect of all conservatives.
Of the “Big Three” running right now Romney is the choice by default.
I’m a Fred Thompson supporter but he has to enter the race in order to win it. I know all the signs point that way but it is stating the obvious to say that Fred is not in the race until he’s in the race.
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