Posted on 11/07/2006 2:59:53 PM PST by proud_yank
Nov. 7, 2006— Will it rain on the Democrats' parade?
Although most experts predict heavy voter turnout in today's midterm elections, some of the most hotly contested races in Montana, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee and New Jersey could be affected by bad weather. And some experts say that, based on history, Republicans should pray for rain.
Brad Gomez, an assistant professor at the University of Georgia, examined weather data and its impact on elections in a study titled "The Effect of Bad Weather on Voter Turnout and Partisan Vote Share in U.S. Presidential Elections, 1948-2000."
Gomez concluded that when it rains, it pours at the polls for Democrats. Gomez found that "rain significantly reduces voter participation at the polls by a rate just under 1 percent per inch," and that every inch of rain cuts the Democratic vote by 2.5 percentage points.
As one example, election officials in Massachusetts recorded one of the lowest voter turnouts (64.7 percent) in recent history on a day in 1974 when rain poured down through the morning and afternoon.
But an exception to the weather theory is a nonpresidential election like today's: In the 1994 midterm elections, mild weather failed to dampen the prospects for Republican candidates, who swept both houses of Congress.
Here's a rundown of the weather forecast for some of today's most-heated races:
In Montana, where Democratic candidate Jon Tester is locked in a tight race with incumbent Republican Sen. Conrad Burns, heavy rain is expected throughout most of the state.
In Ohio, the bellwether of recent elections, rain is expected in Cincinnati, Toledo and Cleveland, with more severe showers in the more rural southeastern part of the state.
In Pennsylvania, where Democrat Bob Casey is trying to unseat Republican incumbent Sen. Rick Santorum, showers are expected throughout the state this afternoon.
(Excerpt) Read more at abcnews.go.com ...
"If the Dems lose they will make all kind of excuses, John Kerry, Rain(Karl Rove's weather machine) everything but their message."
Of course they will, that's what they do, and that's why they keep losing elections. Including this one.
Well, they have 7,000 lawyers on call, so at least 7,000 (or maybe 70,000!). ;-)
so they can blame us when it floods! LOL~
Their cocaine does.....
we all know their playbook, and don't forget we will be hearing about fraud, corruption voter suppression... Diebold.. blah blah..
That started a few days ago, with screams of 'our election is being stolen from under us', and 'voting machine problems' were being reported on pretty heavily.
Their entitlement mentality also extends to elections, AMAZING!
Bunch of morons, they thought "chads" in Florida actually had a mind of their own and wanted to voted for W.... Amazing..
Whenever I get discouraged today I pull up the national radar map and snicker. It's almost too good. The flooding in Washington state is sad, but the pelting the eastern seaboard is getting is too funny. The Carl Rove Weather Machine is getting more precise every year.
LOL
They also interpreted 'ballots must be counted within seven days after election day' to mean 'must be counted within 19 days'.
The man Deserves for you to spell his name Correctly... It's "Karl". :)
If it rains don't worry vote wednesday.
Too funny! They'll never stop their crying, I just wish it wasn't so loud.
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