Posted on 10/21/2006 3:13:37 PM PDT by West Coast Conservative
JUBILANT DEMOCRATS SHOULD RECONSIDER their order for confetti and noisemakers, BARRON's claims in their next edition. The Democrats, as widely reported, are expecting GOP-weary voters to flock to the polls in two weeks and hand them control of the House for the first time in 12 years -- and perhaps the Senate, as well. Even some Republicans privately confess that they are anticipating the election-day equivalent of Little Big Horn. Pardon our hubris, but we just don't see it.
Our analysis -- based on a race-by-race examination of campaign-finance data -- suggests that the GOP will hang on to both chambers, at least nominally. We expect the Republican majority in the House to fall by eight seats, to 224 of the chamber's 435. At the very worst, our analysis suggests, the party's loss could be as large as 14 seats, leaving a one-seat majority. But that is still a far cry from the 20-seat loss some are predicting. In the Senate, with 100 seats, we see the GOP winding up with 52, down three.
Developing...
NICE!
I never doubted all along. And I think we might do even a little bit better than that -- it's not time for Evil to even come close to prevailing ...
The side with the most money to spend wins.
I trust Barrons more than I do the "pundits" from Zogby, etc. Santorum WILL win PA. If Casey does, good Lord-
LOL! Real Americans don't show their frustration... by handing their country over to communists.
When you live inside the Beltway, it must be harder to ignore all the bad news, like the "generic" polls that the over-sampled Democrats almost always "win".
The dims have sure whipped themselves into a frenzy and the MSM has already created a reality that doesn't yet exist. I hope these folks all have parachutes.
Don't get too excited with this!!!
Clearly the GOP voter suppression drive isn't working - this article indicates a change in democrat strategy. It's like reverse-psychology; make the GOPer's think there's nothing to worry about so perhaps more will stay home thinking everything is okay. DO NOT FALL FOR THIS TRAP!!
End Warning
what's their track record using this methodology?
Please God, let Chaffee be one of the ones down!
Can I stay home on voting day then?
I know they predicted Kerry would lose.
GOOD on you.
The only 'shock' is to the MSM and the Euro-Weenies and Al Qaeda members who have been listening to and believing everything they hear on CNN Intl and BBC.
Normally, 9 times out of 10, the party in power loses some seats in the midterm.
That did not happen in 2002, because the Dems screwed up and Bush was popular. The pro-life vote and the Evangelicals, in particular, were a major factor.
This time it's less clear. Bush has not done a whole lot the past two years, compared to his first term, except for the major accomplishment of two strong SCOTUS appointments. It was a big mistake to come out of the gate with Social Security as his lead item, because he lost a ton of momentum on that.
However, it would be delusional to think that Republicans will vote for the Democrats because of Iraq or Foley. Far from it. Republicans who vote regularly will certainly get out and vote Republican. There may be some possible loss among Evangelicals, who in the past often didn't vote, because they were more focused on the next world and not too excited about either party. But I now doubt that, too.
The Dems and the media have done a lot to anger the conservative voters this past month. And they have offered very little in the way of a program to their base. Nothing but Bush hatred, in fact.
It is certainly key to get out and vote, and bring any friends with you that you can.
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