Does anyone know how this seat will play in November? Is it definitely ours or are we at risk?
It isn't a lock.
These earlier polls also showed that Huffman would have a very close race with the dem. If Huffman had won the primary, it is unlikely that the far right would have turned out in the general election to vote for him over the dem.
It is entirely possible that who won the republican primary is irrelevant.
Political analyst on F&F this a.m. said its a Rat gain in November, Huffman was the moderate who could bring over moderate Rats, blah, blah, blah.
It's Gaby's to lose. Tucson (which is most of AZ8) is the liberal enclave of AZ, the only reason Kolbe kept winning is because he caucuses left so often the dems love him. There's still the possibility Graf's message will carry in the section of AZ8 that are outside of Tucson (especially closer to the border) to make the race interesting and possibly even pull the upset, but for now the odds have to go to Gaby.