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Posted on 08/30/2006 6:30:12 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Ernesto is poised to emerge into Atlantic waters after feebly creeping along the Florida peninsula. Media pundits with tremulous cameras dotted Florida's extensive coastline for the past 24 hours, showing video of children playing in the sand, dark skies, and occasional rain.
Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect from Sebastian Inlet Florida to Cape Lookout North Carolina, as Ernesto moves north at 15mph. The storm's intensity and forecast track has puzzled forecasters for several days.
N.C. Governor Mike Easley and S.C. Governor Mark Sanford activated the National Guard today in their respective states, as the forecast track indicated Ernesto may regain tropical storm force winds, and make landfall again along the Carolinas coastline.
Public Advisories Updated every three hours.
Tropical Storm Discussion Updated every six hours
Ernesto Storm Track Archive Nice animated progression of 3 & 5 day forecast tracks
Buoy Data Florida & Eastern GOM
Buoy Data Southeast U.S.
Radar
Jacksonville, FL
Charleston SC
Wilmington NC
RDU NC
Satellite Images
Additional Resources:
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Previous Threads:
Tropical Storm Ernesto
Hurricane Ernesto
TS/Hurricane/TS Ernesto
TS/Hurricane/TS/TD Ernesto
I think you're right. It will be interesting to see if the pressure begins to drop.
I definitely saw the eye forming on the radar a little while ago.
The wind speeds might not be there yet though. The 5:00 update should be interesting. Have to rely on recon before you can call it a cane.
Yes, and eye looks tacking a due north path?
My parents are in Ventnor and aren't coming back to Philly until Mon. They live 1/4 block off of the beach but are behind a motel so I hope that blocks off some of the wind.
The easterly component should be coming to an end soon. The trough axis to the west is mostly north/south now.
The "eye" we are seeing is probably not evident at the surface yet (as the beam is shooting into the midlevels of the system), but it's the beginning of something.
Actually, it looks to me like it's moving NE.
Not wrong at all.......she's got this thing about people who oppose her.......and I have a thing about people who lie to me (especially politicians)
Our renters are there till monday.I feel bad for everyone.Did you see the tornado from that storm the other night?
I saw it. Seems like we're getting more and more tornados in this area. I'm in a heavily populated area and if one ever hit Philly where I am I can't imagine the destruction it would do.
It seems like the circulation near the center also seems to be elongating a bit W to E.
Philly's part of a mini-tornado alley that stretches from York eastward. I've been around more tornados living up here for 18 years than I did living in Texas, Missouri and Oklahoma. However, most of the tornadoes here are dinkers - a F3 is pretty rare. Usually they are no worse than an F1.
I know where you are.I use to live in Philly.I saw a twister coming down the driveway at our thrift store in Bensalem.We stood at the door with our mouths open because it formed that fast and was small but coming towards us.It turned and hit a couple of places on Street Rd.Never saw anything like it.
I've heard of at least another south of there in the DC area (particularly since you had two tornadoes go through or near La Plata, MD). Do you have a source for that?
I saw a national tornado frequency map a few years back and you could see that there were was an uptick east of the Appalacians in the mid-Atlantic. I'll see if I can find it again.
Hope you don't get saturated. You are not too far from the coast.
Winds were 3mph, gusting to 7.
Myrtle Beach (near projected landfall): Winds of 17mph, gusts to 28.
Looks like a lot of the stronger winds are out from the center in that large band, ahead and to the right of the center.
Is it a personal weather station? There are plenty of those in the wunderground network that aren't very accurate.
Charleston had 20mph sustained 30 min ago.
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