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Supposedly "Vulnerable" GOP Cong. Districts
Mailer from J.D. Hayworth | 5/12/06 | LS

Posted on 05/12/2006 1:19:33 PM PDT by LS

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To: BlackRazor
Yeah, I know all about standard deviations and all that jazz. That's still no reason to trust polls. My experience has been that even those that supposedly are "accurate" are wrong for MOST of the election cycle, then do some hasty adjustments at the end to be "correct." But that is ignoring their real purpose, which is, I think, to SHAPE public opinion rather than report it. See a book called "Mobocracy" about the abuses of polls.

I have taken several polls, including, in 2004, a Mason-Dixon poll. Even MD, a very accurate poll, asked loaded questions. It had me rank issues in order of how important I thought they were, and "Iraq" and "War on Terror" were separate. Well, when I saw the results of this, predictably, "the economy" or something else was the "top issue," but if you COMBINED "Iraq" and "War on Terror" as I thought more realistic, by far it was the most important issue. But this allowed the Dems to say that their platform on the economy was what "people were interested in."

101 posted on 05/13/2006 10:30:40 AM PDT by LS
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To: LS

Tom Latham is very safe.


102 posted on 05/13/2006 10:42:13 AM PDT by iowamark
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To: FreedomPoster

I don't think Andrew Horne has a lock on the Dem nomination. John Yarmuth has been running more ads for a longer period of time.


103 posted on 05/13/2006 1:28:43 PM PDT by Republican Wildcat
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To: WOSG

You can believe what you like, but THIS conservative is not GIVING his vote to anyone that is a RINOcrat, just as bad as a democrat in my opinion. But, maybe even WORSE in that they try to hide in the conservative movement with their liberal views.


104 posted on 05/14/2006 8:49:51 AM PDT by RetiredArmy (Politicians and the U.S. Government are liars, cheats and thieves, in it for their own gain.)
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To: LS

We shall see in November I guess.


105 posted on 05/14/2006 8:50:32 AM PDT by RetiredArmy (Politicians and the U.S. Government are liars, cheats and thieves, in it for their own gain.)
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To: RetiredArmy

"You can believe what you like"

It was not a matter of opinion, I was just citing the many conservative things that HAVE been accomplished by the Republicans in Congress.

"THIS conservative is not GIVING his vote to anyone that is a RINOcrat"

The Republicans I will be voting for in November, Congressman Lamar Smith, Gov Rick Perry, Sen Kay Bailey Hutchison, have conservative records and deseve Republican support for sure.

I dont live in Maine or Rhode Island or in other RINO habitat, so I dont have that dilemma that some have.

Your mileage may vary.


106 posted on 05/14/2006 9:51:44 AM PDT by WOSG (Do your duty, be a patriot, support our Troops - VOTE!)
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To: WOSG
I was just citing the many conservative things that HAVE been accomplished by the Republicans in Congress.

We are obviously not talking about the SAME Congress. You must be watching old CSPAN from about 1776 or something. Let's see, pork road and farms bills, pork prescription drugs bill, pork, pork, pork, spending, spending, spending MORE THAN ANY LIBERAL DEMOCRAT EVER HAS SPENT. Nope, we OBVIOUSLY are not watching the same Congress in action.

107 posted on 05/15/2006 7:55:13 AM PDT by RetiredArmy
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To: LS
BTW, Here is the Washington Post graphic referred to in your email:

WP 4/13/06 “Democratic Contenders”

I am not sure why they call IA4 a “swing district.” Tom Latham has been in congress since 1994. He was re-elected in 2004 with 64% of the vote.

108 posted on 05/15/2006 5:46:17 PM PDT by iowamark
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To: LS

Unless Hayworth has made a major mistake in the last year, which I doubt, he has no fear from Mitchell. His district includes Mormon strongholds in Mesa. He has only grown more popular since he was elected and is a staunch Republican and a great campaigner. I'm sure his war-chest is stocked, too, in a state where Dems have a hard time raising money. They only won the governorship with a small plurality in a three-way race back in 2002, due to a Rino challenger to Matt Salmon running on "Clean Elections" law money.


109 posted on 05/26/2006 1:38:01 PM PDT by TenthAmendmentChampion (In memory of Terri Schindler (not Schiavo!))
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To: Always Right
"Beating a sherriff will be a bigger task."

Ours (Dave Reichert, the sheriff who caught the Green River Killer,) is about to be beaten. The Dems told us he was a Dem, before he ran the first time, but he ran as a Republican so we voted for him. One term told us we should have listened. The guy's a Dem in sheriff's clothing. He's about to be a one-termer.

110 posted on 05/26/2006 8:57:52 PM PDT by holyscroller (A wise man's heart directs him toward the right, but the foolish man's heart directs him to the left)
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To: holyscroller
The problem is this guy is the sheriff where many of the GOP votes come from and he is fairly popular. This distric swings with just a shift of a few hundred votes. Hostettler is in real danger, unfortunately. John tends to be a real Constitutionalists and sometimes is one of only 5 or 6 people to vote against something on those principles, and that type of perspective will be missed if he loses.
111 posted on 05/27/2006 5:03:02 AM PDT by Always Right
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