Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

What Will Europe Really Do?
Real Clear Politics ^ | February 14, 2006 | Victor Davis Hanson

Posted on 02/13/2006 9:50:03 PM PST by Daralundy

Nothing is quite as surreal as the Islamic world’s fury at the liberal and innocuous Danes. How could anyone wish to burn their embassies and kill their citizens, when they have always offered all the politically correct, multicultural platitudes and welcomed in any and all from the Middle East?

Now the furor over the cartoons, coming on the heels of the bombings in Madrid and London, the French rioting, the murders in Holland, and the failed European negotiations with the Iranian theocracy have shaken Europe to its foundations.

If the most liberal and tolerant states in Europe such as Holland and Denmark have the most problems with Islamic radicals, then what does that say about the continent as a whole? Why were not the calculating jihadists singling out a more unapologetic Catholic Poland that has larger contingents in Iraq and is far prouder of its Christian roots?

Do the Europeans sense that the more open, free-wheeling and non-judgmental the culture, the more it is hated by the jihadists? If Europe as a whole is more pro-Palestinian than the United States, disapproved of Iraq, and yet is still hated as much, is magnanimity at last exposed as appeasement—earning only contempt from an emboldened enemy?

Don’t look, however, for any overt expression of alarm. It is too much to ask of the European Union for now to go on the record supporting the right of Danish free expression or to demand an embargo of Iran as it approaches nuclear autonomy. Instead, expect the European reaction to be far more subtle: the same old public utopian rhetoric, but in the shadows a newfound desire to galvanize against the threat of Islamic fascism.

Here is what we can probably anticipate. First, will come a radical departure from past immigration practices. Islam will be praised; the Middle East assured that Europe is tolerant—but very few newcomers from across the Mediterranean let in.

There will be continued public furor over the American efforts in Iraq, but far greater secret efforts to coordinate with the United States—in everything from isolating the Assad regime in Syria to rethinking missile defense. For the past three years the post-colonial Europeans have wished the Americans to learn their imperial lessons by failing in Iraq. Yet it may well be that many in private will now wish us to succeed, if only in the hopes that such Middle East democracies will be less likely in the future to turn loose their mobs to burn European embassies and threaten their citizens.

We won’t see much public condemnation of Hamas, but more likely quiet efforts to pull the plug slowly on subsidies for such terrorists. The Europeans praised Arafat, then learned that he was singularly corrupt. Nothing disturbs a European more than to be swindled and damned as immoral in the process. Subsidies to Jew-hating Hamas terrorists only ensure both.

Europe will still talk about bringing Turkey into the fold of the West, but de facto is horrified at the thought that millions of a religion that empowers so many to go berserk over a few cartoons might soon comprise the most populous nation of Europe. I doubt any European diplomat will invest any political capital at all in restarting in earnest Turkish/European Union talks.

We can also look forward to more bizarre pronouncements such as Jacques Chirac’s warning about the French nuclear deterrent. In point of fact, Europe has no real defenses against a 9/11-like attack. They know it. So do the terrorists.

Crash an airliner into the dome of St. Peter’s or knock down the Eiffel Tower tomorrow: Europe has no mechanism to hunt down the perpetrators in the Hindu Kush, the Bekka Valley, or the wilds of Iran—much less, like the United States, to hold a rogue regime responsible.

Frustrated by its lack of military resources, but cognizant of the classical need to warn an enemy that more is to be lost than won from starting a war, France is reduced to bluster about nuclear weapons—threats that probably are either not believed or welcomed by the jihadists. In lieu of a credible military, Europe will send more tiny contingents to Afghanistan, remind the world that Britain and France are nuclear, and somehow hurry up to construct a conventional deterrent where there is now none at all.

Finally, the Europeans who despised the unilateral and preemptory George Bush will start to grate at his new multilateral side even more. Be careful what you wish for, especially when an American leader may now not necessarily be such an easy target of caricature—or may not always do the dirty work of fighting jihadists from Pakistan to the Sunni Triangle.

Instead, by letting the Europeans take the lead with the Iranian negotiations, and keeping nearly silent about the cartoon hysteria, the United States essentially has told the Europeans, “Here is the sort of restrained sober and judicious global diplomacy that you so welcome.”

Because of slated troop withdrawals from European bases, and a new American weariness with the old anti-Americanism, some Europeans are beginning to recoil at the idea that they might well be on their own—and in a war against fanatical enemies that they have appeased and without rational friends that they have estranged.

In response, we may see less of the anti-American rhetoric and a return to the Cold War slogans of a “strong Atlantic Alliance” and “an essential Nato,” as nuclear jihadists replace the fear of 300 Soviet divisions.

So now Europe is being thrust right into the middle of the so-called war against Islamic fascism. Once threatened, it will either react with a newly acquired Churchillian maturity to protect its civilization, or cave, in hopes that even more Chamberlain-type appeasement will satisfy the Islamists.

It should be a fascinating spring ahead.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; Foreign Affairs; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: europe; vdh; victordavishanson; wot
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-8081-91 next last
To: Noachian
I hope we don't have to spill more American blood to pull socialist Europe's butt out of the fire one more time.

A part of me NEVER again wants an ounce of blood spilled for those countries that mock us and resisted us since WWII. We should only help people who fight like true warriors against the evil of Islam. For all other countries, we should only take their beautiful women in as refugees (sorry, I just had to have a bit of fun). Let the weak men of these nations fend for themselves.

21 posted on 02/13/2006 10:21:13 PM PST by liberty2004
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: lafroste; TheCrusader
Socialism and liberalism are no match for islam, but Christianity is. Wow. What a powerful though

I second that, a powerful statement!

22 posted on 02/13/2006 10:23:24 PM PST by liberty2004
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 20 | View Replies]

To: mumps
Right wing Europeans are typically to the left of the average Democrat just to put it into prospective...
23 posted on 02/13/2006 10:25:07 PM PST by DB (©)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: Hypervigilant

They need to be reminded. Here is a cartoon that kind of sums it up that everybody can understand. Well, except maybe for the stuck on stupid types. http://kokonutpundits.blogspot.com/2006/02/cartoon-that-everybody-can-understand.html


24 posted on 02/13/2006 10:28:23 PM PST by kokonut
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Daralundy

Do the Europeans sense that the more open, free-wheeling and non-judgmental the culture, the more it is hated by the jihadists? If Europe as a whole is more pro-Palestinian than the United States, disapproved of Iraq, and yet is still hated as much, is magnanimity at last exposed as appeasement—earning only contempt from an emboldened enemy?

___________________

Most excellent!


25 posted on 02/13/2006 10:31:09 PM PST by chasio649
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Daralundy
For the past three years the post-colonial Europeans have wished the Americans to learn their imperial lessons by failing in Iraq.

Correct. The motivation there was that the U.S. be humbled in counterpoint to the fall of the Soviet Union, so that the world would return to the sort of balance of power in which states with no investment in military power would enjoy disproportionate political influence without giving up the social benefits that they had managed to gather. The underlying assumption was that the Islamist threat was magnified on the part of Washington for imperialist purposes and was no real threat to Europe. That assumption turned out to be incorrect.

The threat always was real, but it becomes more alarming as Iran pursues nuclear weapons in complete disregard of every internationalist device the Europeans can bring to bear - negotiation, outright bribery, disapprobrium, sanction. Those were the weapons of a civilization enlightened beyond the necessities of crude killing. The enlightenment was incorrect as well.

Unfortunately the reflex of the intellectual culture that still prevails in European politics is first to deny the threat and second to deflect blame to ideological opponents. We have already seen a full measure of this in the European media. It won't do - the Islamists don't need to be a majority of the immigrants, even, they simply need the critical mass that they have already attained. It is too late, I think, for the ones who endlessly temporize and theorize to learn better; it is not yet too late for the ones who already know better to take charge.

26 posted on 02/13/2006 10:31:45 PM PST by Billthedrill
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Hypervigilant
They'll attack islamo-fascism with unparalled zeal, just to show the world that they are NOT eunuchs.

No, they won't, because the ARE eunuchs. Just my guess of course.

27 posted on 02/13/2006 10:33:52 PM PST by glorgau
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Psycho_Bunny

I'm torn on this.
I'm 38. My first memory of international affairs is of the Iranian hostage crisis and ever since then I've seen islamofascist lunacy and violence all over the planet. I'm absolutely sick of it and want to see it come to a head before I die.

But on the other hand, if it happens it's going to be so terrible..
___________________

I am 40, i know what you mean. I could puff out my chest and say i am ready for a showdown...but i'm afraid to think of what that would mean to totally rid this world of a suicide cult....i'm too old to be drafted so i just hope things work out and we stay strong and defiant.


28 posted on 02/13/2006 10:37:34 PM PST by chasio649
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: Hypervigilant

"He worries me. Some say he's the AC."

He's not going to get nearly as far as Hitler got. Iran is not an economic power and even less so a military power. Take out oil and they produce nothing.

I'll be surprised if he lives another 5 years.


29 posted on 02/13/2006 10:40:17 PM PST by DB (©)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: TheCrusader
"When (and if) they do, Islam is finished in Europe, forever. Socialism and liberalism are no match for islam, but Christianity is."

Dream on, Crusader! However, we (the US) can't allow a mooslim takeover of France- They have nukes!

30 posted on 02/13/2006 10:44:40 PM PST by de Buillion (The French have always been there when they needed us.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: TheCrusader

"I wish this were true. Europe's 'foundation' is the Christian faith, which they haven't come back to yet. When (and if) they do, Islam is finished in Europe, forever. Socialism and liberalism are no match for islam, but Christianity is."

Now that comment above is profound wisdom. They will come back to Christ and this foe will be defeated.


31 posted on 02/13/2006 10:45:45 PM PST by iThinkBig
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: liberty2004

"A part of me NEVER again wants an ounce of blood spilled for those countries that mock us and resisted us since WWII. We should only help people who fight like true warriors against the evil of Islam. For all other countries, we should only take their beautiful women in as refugees (sorry, I just had to have a bit of fun). Let the weak men of these nations fend for themselves."

I hear ya. We won't let them twist and die. As Americans, we are taught that sacrificing our lives saving others from tyranny is well, what makes us Americans.


32 posted on 02/13/2006 10:48:43 PM PST by iThinkBig
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: mumps

I read in a story on yahoo, that Jyllands Posten created trouble in the sixties as well by attacking Khrutsjef (sp?). The paper was known for a heavy anti-communism stance.


33 posted on 02/13/2006 11:07:28 PM PST by Eurotwit (WI)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: Daralundy
From the article:

Instead, by letting the Europeans take the lead with the Iranian negotiations, and keeping nearly silent about the cartoon hysteria, the United States essentially has told the Europeans, “Here is the sort of restrained sober and judicious global diplomacy that you so welcome.”

Bingo! This guy is tee-rific.

34 posted on 02/13/2006 11:15:02 PM PST by Cobra64
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: iThinkBig
For all other countries, we should only take their beautiful women in as refugees (sorry, I just had to have a bit of fun).

Sorry, as much as I'd love to take in their beautiful women, I'm already taken. No additional beautiful women for me.

Cheers!

35 posted on 02/13/2006 11:17:37 PM PST by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 32 | View Replies]

To: claudiustg

They're here, too. There are 25 mosques in the area of Mobile AL alone.


36 posted on 02/13/2006 11:23:23 PM PST by karnage
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Daralundy

Bump for read


37 posted on 02/13/2006 11:24:56 PM PST by moehoward
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Psycho_Bunny

Conservatives under Rome had it a lot worse than we do.


38 posted on 02/13/2006 11:27:51 PM PST by Windsong (Jesus Saves, but Buddha makes incremental backups)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: Psycho_Bunny
I think you have said the blunt truth. That was Churchill's view - and it's mine.

I have to say from the UK - this article seems about right. Sometimes history does not unfold and one expects.

Who would have thought 10 cartoons in a Danish paper would begin to galvanize a lethargic Europe.

But don't expect too much - not yet anyway. there is a change in mood music Turkey hopefully is now out of the EU question and there will be some other benefits.

but folks - don't expect many Europeans to like you or Bush - you are not going to be thanked for policing the globe and sending your young men to fight for our interests as well as yours.

There is much I love about Europe, the landscape and a general civility - but it is an old man and suffering from arthritis. He cannot change direction easily and living is suffering from mild dementia - disorientated to the present and living in the past.

But dear FRiends be gentle, if we fall a band of good men and women will go down too. And they will go down fighting.

the next few years will be crucial. the window of opportunity is closing (No it isn't closed!).

prayers and encouragement for the remnant rather than blanket condemnation is what we need.

kind regards.
39 posted on 02/14/2006 12:44:26 AM PST by vimto (Life isn't a dry run)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: vimto

We're going to end up in this together, again. I've sworn up and down (on this site and in front of my peers) I'd never lift a finger for france or germany for any reason, and that I'd give up my commission before I'd serve to protect either of those thankless whore-countries.

But what happens to franco-germania will happen to Britain, Spain, Italy and probably Poland, whom I actually do feel loyalty towards as fairly reliable allies. If this hits the fan like we think it will over the next five years I'll probably end up eating my words. Damn, I hope I at least get stationed in Italy!

So, long answer/comment to your eloquent post, my guess is we're going to be there for you militarily (if it ever gets to that), but its going to be a long, lonely time before we get our asses in gear. Just like the 1938-1942 time frame. I hope you know how to keep your powder dry.


40 posted on 02/14/2006 1:16:31 AM PST by church16 (“People sleep peaceably in their beds at night only because rough men stand ready to do violence...")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 39 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-8081-91 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson