Posted on 11/29/2005 7:16:12 AM PST by SoFloFreeper
Storm #28 forms: Epsilon
If I hadn't seen it on the map I would know this was fiction.
The weather the last two days here in Central FL has been weird enough..thunderstorms and lightning in NOVEMBER!! YUCK!
No but given the large infiltration of Green extremists into the National Weather Service with their agenda to "prove that there is Global Warming and it is making for a really, really scary new type of hurricane season" [subtext - "leading to the GLOBAL SUPERSTORM - AND MAYBE, A UFO INVASION!!!" :-) ] I would not be at all surprised!
Looks like hurricane season is becoming more like football season (i.e. there is no off-season).
I knew that when we run out of names we use the Greek alphabet, but we had never gotten to that point.
It's remarkable that the very FIRST time we get that far at all, we get all the way to Epsilon.
Corrected 28th to 26th named storm
...Tropical storm epsilon...the 26th named storm of the 2005 Atlantic season...forms over the central Atlantic Ocean...
at 11 am AST...1500z...the center of tropical storm epsilon was located near latitude 31.6 north... longitude 50.4 west or about 845 miles...1360 km...east of Bermuda and about 1395 miles...2245 km... west of the Azores Islands.
Epsilon is moving toward the west near 8 mph...13 km/hr...and this general motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours
maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph... 75 km/hr...with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 200 miles...325 km from the center... especially to the north and west of the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb...29.32 inches.
Repeating the 11 am AST position...31.6 N... 50.4 W. Movement toward...west near 8 mph. Maximum sustained winds... 45 mph. Minimum central pressure... 993 mb.
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 5 PM AST.
Forecaster Stewart
$$
conventional satellite imagery...nearby ship and buoy observations ...And 29/0938z Quikscat satellite wind data indicate the large non-tropical low pressure system located about 730 nmi east of Bermuda has acquired enough convection near the center to be classified as tropical storm epsilon...the 26th named storm of the apparently never ending 2005 Atlantic hurricane season. The initial intensity of 45 kt is based on blend of 40-kt Quikscat winds in the northwest quadrant and a 29/0800z 996.0 mb...equal to approximately 55 kt... pressure report from buoy 41543 that was located about 90 nmi south of the center.
The initial motion estimate is 270/07 kt. Epsilon is expected to move generally westward for the next 24-36 hours around the southern periphery of a high-latitude ridge. After that...the cyclone is forecast to slow down and turn and northeastward as a deep-layer trough and associated frontal system currently over the eastern United States moves eastward and begins to turn epsilon back toward the east. By 96 hours... epsilon is expected to accelerate rapidly northeastward and become extratropical or possibly even become absorbed by the much larger extratropical low pressure system. The forecast track is similar to the NHC model consensus.
Epsilon is located over 25c SSTs... which is sufficiently warm enough to support at least minimal hurricane intensity. Although a banding eye-like feature during the past couple of hours... the low-level pressure and wind fields appear to more representative of slow developing subtropical cyclones. As such... intensification is expected to be slower than usual. However... if the deep convection continues to rapidly increase around the center... then more and earlier strengthening could occur than what is forecast. The official intensity forecast closely follows the SHIPS model and is higher than the GFDL model.
Forecaster Stewart
forecast positions and Max winds
initial 29/1500z 31.6n 50.4w 40 kt 12hr VT 30/0000z 31.7n 51.7w 50 kt 24hr VT 30/1200z 31.8n 53.4w 55 kt 36hr VT 01/0000z 32.0n 54.3w 60 kt 48hr VT 01/1200z 32.7n 53.7w 60 kt 72hr VT 02/1200z 33.5n 51.0w 55 kt 96hr VT 03/1200z 35.0n 45.5w 50 kt...becoming extratropical 120hr VT 04/1200z 37.0n 41.0w 45 kt...extratropical
$$
But the way this season has been, I won't be surprised if Gamma, Delta, and Epsilon are down the pike.
75 posted on 10/30/2005 11:44:27 AM PST by laz (Miami, FL (Cutler Ridge))
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However, I will not be responsible if TS Zeta, Eta, and Theta show up. ;)
Even if the NHS was hyping borderline storms, only four named storms had max wind speeds below 50 mph - so we'd still be in the Greek alphabet by now.
Storms are named as soon as they achieve Tropical Storm status. Unless they were guessing that a storm might have hit TS status without concrete data, I don't see how they could be "fudging" the numbers.
Я
Good! Now spell RUN!.........
You want weird, how about those same thunderstorms in Wisconsin at the end of November? Yesterday's pre-dawn squall took care of the couple inches of snow we got a few days prior.
This is Tropical Storm Edwards (we've already gone throgh Algore, Bubba, Gorelick and Dean).
The last two storms are notable because they began as non-tropical storms. They never formed from tropical depressions. They eventually developed tropical characteristics, and as soon as they did, they were named because they already had winds in excess of 39 mph.
If TS Zeta shows up, what do we call it?
Zig Zag Zell? Start the 2006 season early?
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