Hurricane Wilma Live Thread, Part III (TS Alpha gets honorable mention too)

NHC - NOAA ^ | 22 October 2005 | NHC - NOAA

[NautiNurse]

Hurricane Wilma slowly drifts toward the Southeast Gulf of Mexico after relentlessly pounding Cozumel and Cancun for more than 24 hours. Early reports indicate extensive wind and flood damage to Mexico's resort-studded Mayan Riviera. Mexican officials said about 20,000 tourists were at shelters and hotels on the mainland south of Cancun and an estimated 10,000-12,000 were in Cancun itself. About 50 hotels were evacuated.

In preparation for Hurricane Wilma's anticipated Florida landfall, a Hurricane Watch and mandatory evacuation have been issued for the Florida Keys and Florida Bay. Mandatory evacuations for Marco Island and much of Naples are in effect, as well as high surf advisories and high risk of rip currents along Florida's panhandle and Big Bend coasts. Bus services are available for Monroe Co. and other counties for residents who do not have transportation. Additional storm watches for the Florida peninsula are expected later today.

The 2005 hurricane season altered the record books again today with the formation of Tropical Storm Alpha south of Hispanola. Preliminary forecasts indicate TS Alpha will not affect the U.S. mainland.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 0500, 0800, 1100 etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 0500, 1100, 1700, 2300 ET
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track

Wilma Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE Florida
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Florida
Florida Department of Emergency Management

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop
Florida Radar/Sat Loop Caution: Broadband users only
Extra Large Miami Radar Broadband only
Extra Large Key West Radar Broadband only
Miami Long Range Radar Loop
Key West Long Range Radar Loop
Miami Experimental Radar Still Image
Key West Experimental Radar Still Image

Streaming Video:

WBBH-TV/WZVN-TV Ft. Myers (WMP): http://waterbc.wm.llnwd.net/waterbc_netvideo
WESH-TV/DT Orlando/Daytona Beach (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:24028.ram
WFTV-TV/DT Orlando (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:20361.ram
WKMG-TV/DT Orlando (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:23942.ram
WPBF-TV/DT West Palm Beach (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:24035.ram
WSVN-TV/DT Miami (WMP): http://216.242.118.140/windowsmedia/asx/wsvn_broadband.asx
WTVJ-TV/DT Miami: http://nbc6.feedroom.com/iframeset.jsp?ord=381015
WPLG-TV/DT Miami (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/8660/live/reflector:23941.ram
WFOR-TV/DT Miami (WMP): http://wfor.dayport.com/viewer/content/special.php?Art_ID=612&Format_ID=2&BitRate_ID=8&Contract_ID=2&Obj_ID={obj_id}
WTSP-TV/DT St. Petersburg/Tampa (WMP): mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_sep252004_1915_64623
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm

Additional Resources:

Pet Friendly Florida Shelter Info
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
CrownWeather.com

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Wilma Part II
Hurricane Wilma Live Thread
Tropical Storm Wilma
Tropical Depression #24

[Rte66]

OK, will do.

[sheikdetailfeather]

Hurricane vegetable soup..Fry onions and serloin ground beef in pan. Throw in all kinds of veggies. (Corn, peas, string beans, stewed tomatoes and various beans.) 3 cubes of beef bullion and 1-2 cans of V-8. Serve with corn muffins hot from the oven and butter. Yummy. Having some right now.

[not-alone]

This is unbelievable

AT 7 AM CDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED
INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN NEAR LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 87.0 WEST
At 7 PM CDT...0000z...the center of Hurricane Wilma was located near
latitude 21.6 north... longitude 87.0 west

[AGreatPer]

"I hope that holds true. But I wonder how many people never made it to the hotels."

That is true dirtboy. We won't know until someone can actually get into Cancun. And that is not about to happen tonight with normally a small creek cresting at 5 feet over the main road.

The problem is at a place called Chemax. Small town, little creek now big and can't get over it. The small bridge is wiped out. (Funny, because I remember the place where I didn't give the kids some money and they gave me the finger). Do I dare post that? Why not.

[tiredoflaundry]

LOL! Yes there are some darn nice frogs around! ;-)

[AFPhys]

Minor correction to the thread header:

"The 2005 hurricane season altered the record books again today with the formation of Tropical Storm Alpha Tropical Storm Algore south of Hispanola. Preliminary forecasts indicate TS Alpha TS ALGORE will not affect the U.S. mainland."

[dirtboy]

It's sad. A lot of the poorest folks are going to be in the worst jeopardy.

But it could have been worse.

Governor Blanco could have retired down there instead of running for higher office...

[Guenevere]

I hope all our Florida FRiends will post their respective locations in their taglines.

Ditto!..Done!

[laz]

I don't think 2 straight northeast moves totaling almost 10 miles is just a wobble. You called it.

I can see it on the visible floater. As soon as the eye reaches the coast, she starts angling off to the right a bit.

[GatorGirl]

My son played soccer in Bradenton, FL today and they play two more games tomorrow!

Just one heavy rainstorm. We were drenched and the boys loved it!

Tomorrow should be interesting.... ;-) GG

[onyx]

Thanks Guennie. Be safe my FRiend. You're likely in for a lot of rain, right?

[AGreatPer]

dirtboy, they handled this 100% better than Blanco did. She and Nagon should be in jail.

BTW, this is not over yet. Still haven't heard directly from my friends in Cancun. I have only had reports indirect from Medera.

Will let you know when I hear from direct people in Cancun.

[Guenevere]

Thanks!

I hope that's all we're in for....rain, I could manage (I hope!)

[laz]

Cancunkev is reporting again at: http://stormcarib.com/reports/2005/mexico.shtml

He's put up some photos of the devastation. Has heard reports of hotels with sand dunes in the lobby.

[mhking]

Say hello to Tropical Storm Alpha.

YYAAAAAAARRRRRRRGGGGGHHHHH!!!!!

(He said while running away screaming...)

[standingfirm]

hi, just got on again,
I'm in Sarasota.... watching and waiting....

Is someone in the know on who thinks this might re-strengthen significantly and blow up this way?

Course, it's conjecture at this stage.

Just wanted to check in.

[LBKQ]

Left Longboat on Wednesday. We put all the lanai furniture in the house, and hubby tied boat down on lift.
Glad we're not there.
Stay safe, Guennie. Are the 'kids' coming to your house?

[sheikdetailfeather]

Ch. 13 in Orlando says 50-55mph winds gusting to 75 for Orlando. Ch. 9 (WFTV) says 39 mph. The Weather Channel is scrolling the warnings now. Destructive wind 100 mph upon initial impact and no idea yet where that will be so people must prepare. Southern Brevard is to get hurricane force winds later in the day. The surge is not going to be much since the storm is moving fast. Everyone is to be preparing during the day Sunday as conditions deteriorate Sunday evening. Since the wind field is large everyone is told not pay attention to just the center of the storm.

[dirtboy]

So if Alpha or Beta gets bad enough to get its name retired, does that mean we make a change to the Greek alphabet?

[NautiNurse]

You are under a hurricane watch tonight. Prepare accordingly.

NHC forecast plot has Wilma strengthening into a Cat 3 again before landfall as a possible Cat 2.