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Locked on 10/24/2005 2:24:18 AM PDT by Jim Robinson, reason:
New thread: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/1508056/posts |
Posted on 10/22/2005 1:25:10 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane Wilma slowly drifts toward the Southeast Gulf of Mexico after relentlessly pounding Cozumel and Cancun for more than 24 hours. Early reports indicate extensive wind and flood damage to Mexico's resort-studded Mayan Riviera. Mexican officials said about 20,000 tourists were at shelters and hotels on the mainland south of Cancun and an estimated 10,000-12,000 were in Cancun itself. About 50 hotels were evacuated.
In preparation for Hurricane Wilma's anticipated Florida landfall, a Hurricane Watch and mandatory evacuation have been issued for the Florida Keys and Florida Bay. Mandatory evacuations for Marco Island and much of Naples are in effect, as well as high surf advisories and high risk of rip currents along Florida's panhandle and Big Bend coasts. Bus services are available for Monroe Co. and other counties for residents who do not have transportation. Additional storm watches for the Florida peninsula are expected later today.
The 2005 hurricane season altered the record books again today with the formation of Tropical Storm Alpha south of Hispanola. Preliminary forecasts indicate TS Alpha will not affect the U.S. mainland.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 0500, 0800, 1100 etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 0500, 1100, 1700, 2300 ET
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Wilma Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE Florida
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Florida
Florida Department of Emergency Management
Images:
Storm Floater IR Loop
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop
Florida Radar/Sat Loop Caution: Broadband users only
Extra Large Miami Radar Broadband only
Extra Large Key West Radar Broadband only
Miami Long Range Radar Loop
Key West Long Range Radar Loop
Miami Experimental Radar Still Image
Key West Experimental Radar Still Image
Streaming Video:
WBBH-TV/WZVN-TV Ft. Myers (WMP): http://waterbc.wm.llnwd.net/waterbc_netvideo
WESH-TV/DT Orlando/Daytona Beach (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:24028.ram
WFTV-TV/DT Orlando (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:20361.ram
WKMG-TV/DT Orlando (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:23942.ram
WPBF-TV/DT West Palm Beach (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:24035.ram
WSVN-TV/DT Miami (WMP): http://216.242.118.140/windowsmedia/asx/wsvn_broadband.asx
WTVJ-TV/DT Miami: http://nbc6.feedroom.com/iframeset.jsp?ord=381015
WPLG-TV/DT Miami (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/8660/live/reflector:23941.ram
WFOR-TV/DT Miami (WMP): http://wfor.dayport.com/viewer/content/special.php?Art_ID=612&Format_ID=2&BitRate_ID=8&Contract_ID=2&Obj_ID={obj_id}
WTSP-TV/DT St. Petersburg/Tampa (WMP): mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_sep252004_1915_64623
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
Additional Resources:
Pet Friendly Florida Shelter Info
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
CrownWeather.com
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Previous Threads:
Hurricane Wilma Part II
Hurricane Wilma Live Thread
Tropical Storm Wilma
Tropical Depression #24
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Key West Nexrad is showing 105 knot inbound winds and 94 knots outbound. The windfield is huge too, greater than 50 knots in an annulus thicker than Lake Okeechobee is wide.
Good morning. Up early or late?
Good morning, tired. I have been watching Orlando Salinas getting blown around and the drunks passing by on the street.
A little bit of both, Had about 3 hours sleep!
LOL...... I just saw "Orlie" sporting the Sheppie hat on backwards" look!
A band is just exiting your area. Take a look at these and you'll see what I mean:
http://www.intellicast.com/Local/USLocalWide.asp?loc=kbyx&seg=LocalWeather&prodgrp=RadarImagery&product=BaseReflectivity&prodnav=none
http://www.intellicast.com/Local/USLocalWide.asp?loc=kbyx&seg=LocalWeather&prodgrp=NEXRADimagery&product=RadialVelocity&prodnav=none
4 pm position update (if it's any more accurate than the 2 am one :-)
CZC MIATCEAT4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE WILMA TROPICAL CYCLONE POSITION ESTIMATE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 AT 4 AM EDT...0800Z... THE CENTER OF THE LARGE EYE OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.6 WEST OR ABOUT 75 MILES NORTHWEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA AND ABOUT 80 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NAPLES FLORIDA. SOMBRERO KEY LIGHTHOUSE...OFF MARATHON...RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 79 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 89 MPH AT AN ELEVATION OF 159 FEET. FORECASTER PASCH
Hey everyone. I figured I'd join this thread considering I can't sleep. I'm here in SW Orlando and the heavy rains are starting to pick up again...tornados may hit the area in about an hour. So much for sleep anytime soon.
Looks like another 2 hours until the eye officially hits land.
According to the NexRAD chart winds are below 50MPH and the wall is wobbly. I The top of the cloud are sheared off at from the north winds and the storm has lost it's punch.
I just hope the storm serge is less that 4 feet and Wilma peters out.
The news lady just said the storm was in the Atlantic and the winds were 120MPH. TWIT!
Hi, rodguy. I thought maybe you would stay in Minnesota. Guess not. Stay safe.
High tide at Naples is at 5:39am today at 2.6'. next saturday high tide is at 3.8'. Right now that extra foot of room is looking good.
The 0200 and 0300 EST plots extrapolate to landfall 3 miles south of Marco Island. I think the thing that has impressed me most about this storm is how consistent the NHC projections have been and how well they have matched reality. I think the largest deviation I've seen so far has been about 7 miles before landfall on the Yucatan. From a regional view and higher, seven or eight projections might as well all be one track.
It's a bit more than 2 hours (the eye's that wide, and official landfall is when the center of circulation crosses the shore), but close enough for our purposes.
Mornin'. Stay safe (or at least safer than these idiots standing out in the storm :-)
see post 1608. the forecast 90hrs ago had it within 1 min lat/long of forecasted point now.!!
The current Nexrad SRV pane shows max inbound winds at 91 knots, same as max outbounds.
Pass that over here, where it'll be safe, and don't get fooled by the colors, which top out at 50 knots either way.
This storm is at Cat 4 levels, and by all accounts to date, still intensifying.
Hey you...winds just woke me up here too.
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