Ceramics 
Brass,Copper,Lead,Charcoal 
Posted on 10/17/2005 7:59:53 AM PDT by Travis McGee
The October Newsletter The Leaves Won't Be The Only Thing To Fall! Enrico Orlandini Lasco Report 17 Oct, 2005
We're heading into that time of year where the word "crash" tends to command a bit more respect among market specialists, i.e., the months of October and/or November. Maybe it's just a coincidence, but I see an ominous cloud on the horizon. Actually, I see a large mass of clouds and they're as black as night. Anyone who's invested in the stock market over the last three or four years has little or nothing to show for it and, if you're still invested, you can't be feeling too comfortable right now. In short, a simple saving account would have been a better investment. Then again, when you buy into a market that's selling at 20 times earnings and paying a miniscule 1.75% dividend, what can you expect? Two weeks ago I warned my clients about the "probability", not the possibility, of a crash. What did I see that made me so worried that I would crawl out on a limb all by myself? Frankly, there were and still are any number of warning signals, and I would like to delve into some of them in the space provided below.
The first such warning sign comes from the market itself. Focus your attention on the following daily chart of the cash DJIA and follow along:
Lots of charts and analysis follows, HERE
Ceramics
Brass,Copper,Lead,Charcoal
Anyone know what Bob Brinker has to say about the market in his most recent newsletter?
-vm
BINGO!
I am sure that no matter how hard you look you will not find one that does not fit your opinion. I do see another round of stock devaluation, but I believe that it is going to be akin to 2000, not 1987. The P/E ratios of many of the tech companies (read Google) are just not realistic. Other industries are in much better shape.
Point well made. And remember the best time to be rich is in a depression. If you're a good guy, you can help others with charity or providing jobs. And if you're not, well, EVERYTHING is for sale at knockout prices.
Why is an advertisement to buy gold being treated as if it is "news"? Of course this guy thinks the sky is falling.
Is that a photo of Bob Prechter?
Old Travis aint playin with a full deck.
2003 was a wonderful year and the small caps only started pulling back in August.
His statement is amateurish poo!!
Nyaahhhhh..
But there is reason for pessimism about the market. We have had a cyclical bull market in a secular bear market for a good while now. Throw in interest rates, energy prices, and natural disasters and you have a perfect storm for a bear market. (Which is not the same thing as a crash).
I am slowly getting out of the market. In my trading portfolio I am selling when I hit sell criteria (stopped out of Zack's Rank >2) and not buying anything new. When it is all gone, I may start slowly buying again. I've also put $2000 into the Prudent Bear fund.
October has always been the best month to buy stocks!!
Could be, I never met the guy.
I've seen quite a few bear markets in my years in the markets, and I've made money in them, but I never claimed to predict them. The trick is to identify them. The rest is much the same as buying in a bull market.
My oil stocks have doubled and tripled in the past five years. Plus all the dividends....
How does this compare to gold?
If you are getting started now on the advice of people like Cramer, G_d help you. You're gonna get smoked just like the tech dummies during their frenzy period.
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