[AFPhys]

I've seen the 360º predictions on some of those models. I simply don't believe them. My : I believe they are acting like early "computer chess" programs which, in unclear positions, randomly moved their king back and forth. The lack of strong steering currents has hold of their logic now, but the GFS seems less prone to that. For that reason, I believe the GFS since more (not all) history supports that. (I certainly had to use "I believe" a whole bunch in that paragraph, didn't I? ...LOL)

[jeffers]

LOL...I hope you're right.

[Robert A Cook PE]

Computer predictions (at this stage) with the very complex stagnant pressure/fronts conditions in that area of the storm ARE much, much more random than realistic.

Almost all of the time, strong fronts and pressure systems across the country "move" the hurricane after it hits land: with this one, the computer programs are doing the "legendary" butterfly wing flapping" of (almost) random motion as different models use different criteria.

So, the ones earlier this morning showed: stopping over Ark. and Texarkana area, stopping then going left (SW), stopping and going right (E-SE).

They don't know.