[Robert A Cook PE]

Computer predictions (at this stage) with the very complex stagnant pressure/fronts conditions in that area of the storm ARE much, much more random than realistic.

Almost all of the time, strong fronts and pressure systems across the country "move" the hurricane after it hits land: with this one, the computer programs are doing the "legendary" butterfly wing flapping" of (almost) random motion as different models use different criteria.

So, the ones earlier this morning showed: stopping over Ark. and Texarkana area, stopping then going left (SW), stopping and going right (E-SE).

They don't know.

[AFPhys]

Several of the models have been predicting the dithering about for two days now. We'll see within a day or so, but as of right now, I would love to be able to register a "six-pack" bet with the "360º loop" programmers and see how confident they are in their programs.

We'll know soon who is right, but this
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p120i12.gif from NOAA shows that their model would bet on my side, not the loopers'.