[jeffers]

Some of the models project Rita making a 360 around NO and then crossing back into the Gulf.

[AFPhys]

I've seen the 360º predictions on some of those models. I simply don't believe them. My : I believe they are acting like early "computer chess" programs which, in unclear positions, randomly moved their king back and forth. The lack of strong steering currents has hold of their logic now, but the GFS seems less prone to that. For that reason, I believe the GFS since more (not all) history supports that. (I certainly had to use "I believe" a whole bunch in that paragraph, didn't I? ...LOL)