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Posted on 09/23/2005 9:39:06 AM PDT by NautiNurse
You can do better? Storms change that's why they call it "fore"casting. Rita spun up faster and worse than Katrina. She had favorable shear and water temps up until yesterday mid day. She had all the markings of another catastrophic hurricane.
Also, even if she hits as only a Category 2 she's pushing a Category 5 induced storm surge. There's no where for the water to go but inland. The threat from hurricanes has always been from storm surge and inland flooding. Floyd was a 2 (corect me if I"m wrong on that) when it hit North Carolina and dozens drowned due to severe flooding.
"Over-reaction" is something arm-chair quarterbacks spwe about when they are dissapointed about wind speeds and body counts.
Hmmm. I don't see Dr. Frank as a drama queen at all. Actually, he seems to always go out of his way to be matter of fact about how dangerous these storms can be and to not let your guard down.
new placemark.
I voted #3. It was that or OPEC. But if I voted OPEC then I'd have to also vote Congress but that wasn't a choice. But can you believe there are actually people who think President Bush is responsible?
Wise words bump
We call 'em telephone bugs cause they say hello and hang up.
Ahhh...love bugs! Good Lord...natures way of making you scrape your window and the front of your car!
Man! Those little buggers are everywhere down there this time of year!!!
"How in the world can all the forecasters be so wrong? Supposedly a catastrophic storm! Millions evacuated! If this thing fizzles, who in their right mind would ever listen to the "hurricane" experts again?"
I don't think it will fizzle, but is now down to a Cat 3. And I don't blame the forecasters so much. Predicting the future is not easy...not even with supercomputers. However, I do agree with the "who...would ever lister to...experts again?" I think that was the same problem before Katrina. Every storm is the "Storm of the Century", and things may be bad, but nothing like Katrina damage. Everyone was too complacent before Katrina and now everyone has swung the other way...maybe too far.
every little bit helps.
Depends on the part of MI. In SE MI, it's not that rare to see snow flurries in October (although it doesn't stick till December, usually).
Now the UP is an entirely different story!
Yep. It might even be weakening early enough to not carry a surge that's well above what the category would suggest (I wouldn't count on it though).
The sats will show the cloud cover over the eyewall when present. It does not mean that there isn't an eye. What you see in the sat pics is from a very high elevation. Take a look at the doppler loops, and you'll see that the eye is still very much there.
Still praying--for MIGHTY angels!
"fizzle" is not a word I would apply to this. its weakening somewhat.
Thanks, the eye is as plain as day on that one image. :/
Just came home to hear the wonderful FNC announcement -- CAT 3 --- weakening. CAT 111 - 130 mph. Sure beats the CAT 4 & 5 stuff.
I remember those when I lived in Picayune back in the 70s. They would cover the whole front of your car.
Train derailment in N.O. . .
per scanner
That is the question. I'm pretty sure, speaking for myself, that if I had evacuated my home and sat on a highway for umpteen hours and then find out that it was all for naught...next time, I would stay put. And probably drown or get blown to bits!
I was/am naive about hurricane forecasting. I thought it was more precise. I am very thankful that the worse case scenario isn't going to happen. I hope all the experts were mistaken and Rita turns into a TS and bothers nobody.
The msm covers every event as if it was the last "similar" event.They are clueless.
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