Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

This thread has been locked, it will not receive new replies.
Locked on 09/23/2005 8:02:43 PM PDT by Admin Moderator, reason:

New Thread: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1490378/posts



Skip to comments.

Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part VI
NHC - NOAA ^ | 23 September 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 09/23/2005 9:39:06 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Dangerous Hurricane Rita is expected to make landfall in the northeast Gulf of Mexico within 24 hours. Tornados have spawned in Louisiana. Water is filling the Ninth Ward of New Orleans again. A bus carrying elderly evacuees was gutted by fire this morning outside Dallas, with multiple fatalities. Television crews have positioned their hurricane reporters throughout the region to attain maximum drama effects. Whoooooa.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track

Rita Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data Western Gulf of Mexico
Houston/Galveston/Beaumont/Lake Charles Wx Watches/Warnings
Jefferson Co TX NWS Weather
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Texas
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Louisiana
Hi Res Houston Flood Zone Map Slow load, great detail

Images:


Lake Charles Long Range Radar Still image, with loop link
Houston/Galveston Long Range Radar Still image, with loop link
Lake Charles Experimental Radar Outages and Delays May Occur

Storm Floater IR Loop
GOM WV Loop
GOM IR Still Image
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop

Streaming Video: (coverage may be intermittent)

KHOU-TV/DT Houston
KPRC-TV/DT Houston
KTRK-TV/DT Houston
KTRH-AM Houston
KPLC-TV/DT Lake Charles/Lafayette
KSLA-TV/DT Shreveport

Additional Resources:

FReeper Sign In Thread Check in to let us know whether you are staying, going, and when you get there
FReepers Offering Lodging To Rita Evacuees People and/or Pet Friendly FReepers Offering Shelter

KHOU Houston
KTRK ABC News Houston
KPLC Lake Charles Evac Routes, news
KFDM Beaumont/Port Arthur News, evac info
Hurricane City
Wxnation Houston
Galveston Webcams
Golden Triangle Weather Page Provides Galveston Weather, Warnings, Radar, etc.

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part V
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part IV
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part III
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm Rita
Tropical Depression 18


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: hurricane; rita; tropical
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 1,201-1,2201,221-1,2401,241-1,260 ... 3,241-3,248 next last
To: NautiNurse
Hurricane Rita Discussion Number 25

Statement as of 5:00 PM EDT on September 23, 2005

 
the weakening trend appears to have leveled off. It appears that the
eyewall replacement cycles have been the dominant factor...as
usual...in controlling the intensity fluctuations of Rita. Flight
level wind data from the reconnaissance aircraft indicate that
maximum winds are about 110 knots. Objective T-numbers have
increased a little suggesting stronger winds but I rather wait for
these numbers to persist. Only a slight weakening is forecast
before landfall due to shear and cooler ocean. This is not a very
significant change and in fact...Rita is still forecast to make
landfall as a category three hurricane.

 
The hurricane has been moving toward the northwest or 320 degrees at
about 10 knots during the past few hours. No significant change in
the steering pattern is expected before landfall. On this
track...the core of Rita should reach the Upper Texas/southwest
Louisiana coast Saturday morning. Thereafter...the steering
currents are foreast to collapse and a weakened Rita could
meander for a few days over northeast Texas/southwest Arkansas
producing torrential rains.

 
Forecaster Avila

 

 
forecast positions and Max winds

 
initial      23/2100z 28.2n  92.6w   110 kt
 12hr VT     24/0600z 29.2n  93.7w   105 kt
 24hr VT     24/1800z 30.8n  94.5w    65 kt...inland
 36hr VT     25/0600z 32.5n  94.5w    30 kt...inland
 48hr VT     25/1800z 33.5n  94.5w    25 kt...inland
 72hr VT     26/1800z 33.5n  94.5w    25 kt...inland
 96hr VT     27/1800z 33.5n  94.5w    25 kt...inland
120hr VT     28/1800z 33.5n  94.5w    25 kt...inland

 

 
$$

1,221 posted on 09/23/2005 1:47:48 PM PDT by steveegg ($3.00 a gallon is the price you pay for ANWR! Start drilling or stop whining! - HT Falcon4.0)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1005 | View Replies]

To: conservative in nyc; Leapfrog
What's the barometer at now? The 2:53 NWS reading at Sugar Land Regional Airport was 29.61 - about 1003 millibars. Winds out of the North at 22 MPH, gusting to 31.

Mine was steady at 29.79" (1009mb) until I went to bed after midnight. Today it's been dropping steadily:

Noon 29.75" (1007 mb)
1:30 p.m. 29.64" (1004 mb)
3:30 p.m. 29.56" (1001 mb)

1,222 posted on 09/23/2005 1:47:54 PM PDT by Tex_GOP_Cruz (Go away, Hurricane Rita! (Near NW side of Houston, TX))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1191 | View Replies]

To: AlleyCat48; alley cat

Are you any relation to alley cat? Maybe you changed computers and can't remember your old password?


1,223 posted on 09/23/2005 1:48:01 PM PDT by ladyjane
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 190 | View Replies]

To: JFC
The Mayor of Houston just said.. unlike in Katrina, Texas will not blame FEMA on problems. The Feds are here as back up.

That's what we wanna see / hear from an American city!

1,224 posted on 09/23/2005 1:48:06 PM PDT by aBootes
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1200 | View Replies]

To: jbstrick

Sooner!


1,225 posted on 09/23/2005 1:48:08 PM PDT by Rte66 (SW Houston - Meyerland)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1217 | View Replies]

To: steveegg

And, here, again, is the National Weather Service Experimental Long Range Radar Loop

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge/lix_N0Z_lp.shtml

hit refresh


1,226 posted on 09/23/2005 1:48:22 PM PDT by bwteim (Begin With The End In Mind)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1201 | View Replies]

To: greene66

Welcome to FREE REPUBLIC....

You are participating in the very best and fun thing on this site...

a LIVE thread!

Please take care of yourself...and let us know how you are after the hurricane passes through, ok?


1,227 posted on 09/23/2005 1:48:32 PM PDT by Txsleuth (Arlington, Texas--future home of the Dallas Cowboys!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 934 | View Replies]

To: james_f_hall

LOL.

OK.


1,228 posted on 09/23/2005 1:48:38 PM PDT by fanfan (" The liberal party is not corrupt " Prime Minister Paul Martin)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1123 | View Replies]

To: jbstrick

OU has so many Freshmen starters this year, they'll be back next year, but this year is definately a rebuilding year.


1,229 posted on 09/23/2005 1:48:55 PM PDT by dfwgator (Flower Mound, TX)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1217 | View Replies]

To: aBootes
Texas will not blame FEMA on problems. The Feds are here as back up.

ouch!

1,230 posted on 09/23/2005 1:49:11 PM PDT by ladyjane
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1224 | View Replies]

To: CharlesWayneCT
I can only hope they aren't loaded.

That, sir, was a stupid comment.

And those fingers are too close to the triggers.

Their fingers are just where they should be since they are not shooting the guns.

1,231 posted on 09/23/2005 1:49:21 PM PDT by TheMom (My husband and children rock! I am like a rock . . . round and thick.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 850 | View Replies]

To: steveegg
Is it just my imagination, or does the latest radar loop appear as if Rita is going to make landfall east of Port Arthur?
1,232 posted on 09/23/2005 1:49:22 PM PDT by AntiGuv (™)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1201 | View Replies]

To: JFC

Yes!!! I hope the Mayor repeats it and often.


1,233 posted on 09/23/2005 1:49:24 PM PDT by BlueAngel (Katy, Texas (just west of Houston))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1200 | View Replies]

To: Txsleuth
What did Wolf think would happen to these patients w/o their oxygen?

Trick question. It implies that Wolf has the ability to think. I can see no evidence of that.

1,234 posted on 09/23/2005 1:49:27 PM PDT by Ditto ( No trees were killed in sending this message, but billions of electrons were inconvenienced.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1141 | View Replies]

To: John Jamieson

Yes -- the advisories come out at 5 PM, 11 PM, 5 AM, 11 AM Eastern and 0h, 6h, 12h, 18h Zulu time.


1,235 posted on 09/23/2005 1:49:43 PM PDT by scrabblehack
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1204 | View Replies]

To: jpsb

Stay safe.


1,236 posted on 09/23/2005 1:50:14 PM PDT by SouthTexas (Refugio County)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1198 | View Replies]

To: SE Mom

I've been split between keeping an eye on this and NASCAR qualifying, so I couldn't tell you. The latest discussion (somewhere just above) should give you some more info.


1,237 posted on 09/23/2005 1:50:28 PM PDT by steveegg ($3.00 a gallon is the price you pay for ANWR! Start drilling or stop whining! - HT Falcon4.0)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1219 | View Replies]

To: jpsb

Refresh my memory. At your Galveston Bay location:

1.) Are you on the mainland side or on the island?
2.) You mentioned previously that you were high enough that water drained back to the bay from your house you plan to shelter in. How much higher than sea level / bay level is that dwelling?


1,238 posted on 09/23/2005 1:51:26 PM PDT by KC Burke (Men of intemperate minds can never be free....)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1198 | View Replies]

To: Eaker
She loads her own. She doesn't use much powder at all. You should see her with her tiny ear muffs and glasses!

LOL! You, it would make pheasant season much more fun if I touch my lab Duke to shoot a 12 gauge.. Might have to work on that.

1,239 posted on 09/23/2005 1:51:27 PM PDT by redgolum ("God is dead" -- Nietzsche. "Nietzsche is dead" -- God.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1188 | View Replies]

To: Txsleuth
You are participating in the very best and fun thing on this site... a LIVE thread!

The live threads are my favorites.
1,240 posted on 09/23/2005 1:51:36 PM PDT by looney tune
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1227 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 1,201-1,2201,221-1,2401,241-1,260 ... 3,241-3,248 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson