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Posted on 09/23/2005 9:39:06 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Dangerous Hurricane Rita is expected to make landfall in the northeast Gulf of Mexico within 24 hours. Tornados have spawned in Louisiana. Water is filling the Ninth Ward of New Orleans again. A bus carrying elderly evacuees was gutted by fire this morning outside Dallas, with multiple fatalities. Television crews have positioned their hurricane reporters throughout the region to attain maximum drama effects. Whoooooa.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Rita Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data Western Gulf of Mexico
Houston/Galveston/Beaumont/Lake Charles Wx Watches/Warnings
Jefferson Co TX NWS Weather
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Texas
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Louisiana
Hi Res Houston Flood Zone Map Slow load, great detail
Images:
Lake Charles Long Range Radar Still image, with loop link
Houston/Galveston Long Range Radar Still image, with loop link
Lake Charles Experimental Radar Outages and Delays May Occur
Storm Floater IR Loop
GOM WV Loop
GOM IR Still Image
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop
Streaming Video: (coverage may be intermittent)
KHOU-TV/DT Houston
KPRC-TV/DT Houston
KTRK-TV/DT Houston
KTRH-AM Houston
KPLC-TV/DT Lake Charles/Lafayette
KSLA-TV/DT Shreveport
Additional Resources:
FReeper Sign In Thread Check in to let us know whether you are staying, going, and when you get there
FReepers Offering Lodging To Rita Evacuees People and/or Pet Friendly FReepers Offering Shelter
KHOU Houston
KTRK ABC News Houston
KPLC Lake Charles Evac Routes, news
KFDM Beaumont/Port Arthur News, evac info
Hurricane City
Wxnation Houston
Galveston Webcams
Golden Triangle Weather Page Provides Galveston Weather, Warnings, Radar, etc.
Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Previous Threads:
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part V
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part IV
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part III
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm Rita
Tropical Depression 18
the weakening trend appears to have leveled off. It appears that the eyewall replacement cycles have been the dominant factor...as usual...in controlling the intensity fluctuations of Rita. Flight level wind data from the reconnaissance aircraft indicate that maximum winds are about 110 knots. Objective T-numbers have increased a little suggesting stronger winds but I rather wait for these numbers to persist. Only a slight weakening is forecast before landfall due to shear and cooler ocean. This is not a very significant change and in fact...Rita is still forecast to make landfall as a category three hurricane.
The hurricane has been moving toward the northwest or 320 degrees at about 10 knots during the past few hours. No significant change in the steering pattern is expected before landfall. On this track...the core of Rita should reach the Upper Texas/southwest Louisiana coast Saturday morning. Thereafter...the steering currents are foreast to collapse and a weakened Rita could meander for a few days over northeast Texas/southwest Arkansas producing torrential rains.
Forecaster Avila
forecast positions and Max winds
initial 23/2100z 28.2n 92.6w 110 kt 12hr VT 24/0600z 29.2n 93.7w 105 kt 24hr VT 24/1800z 30.8n 94.5w 65 kt...inland 36hr VT 25/0600z 32.5n 94.5w 30 kt...inland 48hr VT 25/1800z 33.5n 94.5w 25 kt...inland 72hr VT 26/1800z 33.5n 94.5w 25 kt...inland 96hr VT 27/1800z 33.5n 94.5w 25 kt...inland 120hr VT 28/1800z 33.5n 94.5w 25 kt...inland
$$
Mine was steady at 29.79" (1009mb) until I went to bed after midnight. Today it's been dropping steadily:
Noon 29.75" (1007 mb)
1:30 p.m. 29.64" (1004 mb)
3:30 p.m. 29.56" (1001 mb)
Are you any relation to alley cat? Maybe you changed computers and can't remember your old password?
That's what we wanna see / hear from an American city!
Sooner!
And, here, again, is the National Weather Service Experimental Long Range Radar Loop
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge/lix_N0Z_lp.shtml
hit refresh
Welcome to FREE REPUBLIC....
You are participating in the very best and fun thing on this site...
a LIVE thread!
Please take care of yourself...and let us know how you are after the hurricane passes through, ok?
LOL.
OK.
OU has so many Freshmen starters this year, they'll be back next year, but this year is definately a rebuilding year.
ouch!
That, sir, was a stupid comment.
And those fingers are too close to the triggers.
Their fingers are just where they should be since they are not shooting the guns.
Yes!!! I hope the Mayor repeats it and often.
Trick question. It implies that Wolf has the ability to think. I can see no evidence of that.
Yes -- the advisories come out at 5 PM, 11 PM, 5 AM, 11 AM Eastern and 0h, 6h, 12h, 18h Zulu time.
Stay safe.
I've been split between keeping an eye on this and NASCAR qualifying, so I couldn't tell you. The latest discussion (somewhere just above) should give you some more info.
Refresh my memory. At your Galveston Bay location:
1.) Are you on the mainland side or on the island?
2.) You mentioned previously that you were high enough that water drained back to the bay from your house you plan to shelter in. How much higher than sea level / bay level is that dwelling?
LOL! You, it would make pheasant season much more fun if I touch my lab Duke to shoot a 12 gauge.. Might have to work on that.
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