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Posted on 09/23/2005 9:39:06 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Dangerous Hurricane Rita is expected to make landfall in the northeast Gulf of Mexico within 24 hours. Tornados have spawned in Louisiana. Water is filling the Ninth Ward of New Orleans again. A bus carrying elderly evacuees was gutted by fire this morning outside Dallas, with multiple fatalities. Television crews have positioned their hurricane reporters throughout the region to attain maximum drama effects. Whoooooa.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Rita Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data Western Gulf of Mexico
Houston/Galveston/Beaumont/Lake Charles Wx Watches/Warnings
Jefferson Co TX NWS Weather
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Texas
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Louisiana
Hi Res Houston Flood Zone Map Slow load, great detail
Images:
Lake Charles Long Range Radar Still image, with loop link
Houston/Galveston Long Range Radar Still image, with loop link
Lake Charles Experimental Radar Outages and Delays May Occur
Storm Floater IR Loop
GOM WV Loop
GOM IR Still Image
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop
Streaming Video: (coverage may be intermittent)
KHOU-TV/DT Houston
KPRC-TV/DT Houston
KTRK-TV/DT Houston
KTRH-AM Houston
KPLC-TV/DT Lake Charles/Lafayette
KSLA-TV/DT Shreveport
Additional Resources:
FReeper Sign In Thread Check in to let us know whether you are staying, going, and when you get there
FReepers Offering Lodging To Rita Evacuees People and/or Pet Friendly FReepers Offering Shelter
KHOU Houston
KTRK ABC News Houston
KPLC Lake Charles Evac Routes, news
KFDM Beaumont/Port Arthur News, evac info
Hurricane City
Wxnation Houston
Galveston Webcams
Golden Triangle Weather Page Provides Galveston Weather, Warnings, Radar, etc.
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Previous Threads:
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part V
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part IV
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part III
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm Rita
Tropical Depression 18
...Core of dangerous Hurricane Rita expected to make landfall near daybreak Saturday...
At 4 PM CDT...2100z...the Hurricane Warning south of Sargent Texas has been downgraded to Tropical Storm Warning. A Hurricane Warning is now in effect from Sargent Texas to Morgan City Louisiana. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for the southeastern coast of Louisiana east of Morgan City to the mouth of the Pearl River including metropolitan New Orleans and Lake Pontchartrain ...And from south of Sargent to port Arkansas. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.
At 4 PM CDT...2100z...the center of Hurricane Rita was located near latitude 28.2 north...longitude 92.6 west or about 155 miles east-southeast of Galveston Texas and about 140 miles southeast of Port Arthur Texas.
Rita is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph. On this track...the core of Hurricane Rita will make landfall along the southwest Louisiana and Upper Texas coasts near daybreak Saturday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 125 mph...205 km/hr...with higher gusts. Rita is a strong category three hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are possible before landfall...but Rita is still expected to come ashore as a dangerous category three hurricane.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 85 miles...140 km... from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205 miles...335 km. Hurricane force winds are expected to spread inland as far as 100 miles near the path of Rita. An elevated station at Marsh Island Louisiana recently reported sustained winds of 59 mph with gusts to 78 mph.
Minimum central pressure reported by a NOAA hurricane hunter aircraft was 930 mb...27.46 inches.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 15 feet above normal tide levels... locally up to 20 feet at head of bays and nearby rivers...with large and dangerous battering waves...can be expected near and to the east of where the center makes landfall. Tides are currently running about 2 feet above normal along the Louisiana...Mississippi and Alabama coasts in the areas affected by Katrina. Tides in those areas will increase to 4 to 6 feet and be accompanied by large waves...and residents there could experience coastal flooding. Large swells generated by Rita will likely affect most portions of the Gulf Coast.
Rita is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 8 to 12 inches...with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches over southeastern Texas and southwestern Louisiana as it moves inland. Rainfall amounts of 3 to 5 inches are possible over southeastern Louisiana including metropolitan New Orleans with isolated heavier amounts possible. Since Rita is forecast to slow down significantly after making landfall...total accumulations locally in excess of 25 inches are possible over the next several days across eastern Texas into western Louisiana.
Isolated tornadoes are possible today over portions of southeastern Texas...southern Louisiana including southern Mississippi and Alabama.
Repeating the 4 PM CDT position...28.2 N... 92.6 W. Movement toward...northwest near 12 mph. Maximum sustained winds...125 mph. Minimum central pressure... 930 mb.
Intermediate advisories will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 6 PM CDT and 8 PM CDT followed by the next complete advisory at 10 PM CDT.
Forecaster Avila
$$
Yep. There's a lot more graft in levee projects than there would be in private developers building new homes west of the city on higher ground.
Mmmm, licking my lips thinking about all the speckled trout we used to catch at Rollover when they were running! Thank you to your grandfather!
"Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P"
That's really bothering me. Is that MSM math?
Leapfrog, this is no longer the case. Call if I can be of more help ... ;-)
Good God...is there any chance of your leaving safely NOW?
It's reading 979mb, so with your official reading of 1,003mb I'm 24 points off, low. Thanks!
Stay safe.
The adults are clearly in charge here - even the Democrats here tend to be more adults than elsewhere.
Mayor: "Nobody asked for this storm, but it's coming.... ... let's deal with this with the same grace... same efficiency with which we dealt with the last great hurricane in this country."
to get back to you...the harbor is rated for a cat 3 hurricane, and the ships were too late to leave port....since the crew has to be mobilized...there were some pretty solid ropes on those ships...I bet it works out
She's a chubby little twit, isn't she. (No offense to chubby people who are NOT also twits.)
I am amazed at this UNITED FRONT. Texas should be showing the Country what is going on.
Courtney Zavala says the Gulf is really getting serious!
No Way!!!
Keep your own libs.
We have enough!
:-)
Did you put you name on Howlin's list of people in the hurricane's path....???
so that...if you can give a phone # or something to someone you trust...so that if we don't hear from you, we will have some way to check and see if you are alright..or get you help if you need it???
"OU doesn't play this weekend at all."
I hope they beat the spread. The funny thing is most OU fans will still gripe about the offensive play calling of Chuck Long... Or as we like to call him, Chuck "Third and" Long.
Boomer!
We are, but the MSM will never show it. If they did, their whole carefully crafted images of Katrina would collapse.
I've been out for a few hours...when I came home I heard Janice Dean (FOX) mention there are indications it might re-strengthen prior to landfall. (She's not prone to hysteria from what I've seen)
Have you seen anything to indicate this as a possibility?
ROFL!
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