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Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part III
NHC - NOAA ^ | 21 September 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 09/21/2005 4:19:11 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Extremely dangerous and large Category Five Hurricane Rita is churning westward across the Gulf of Mexico toward Texas. Air Force Reconnaissance indicated the central pressure has dropped to 904mb, making Rita the fifth most intense hurricane ever in the Atlantic Basin.

Hurricane and Tropical Storm Watches have been issued from Northern Mexico through the South Louisiana coastline. Galveston TX used school buses to evacuate residents. Mandatory and voluntary evacuations are in effect along the Texas coastline.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track

Rita Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data Western Gulf of Mexico
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Texas
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Louisiana

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
GOM WV Loop
GOM IR Still Image
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop

Streaming Video: (coverage may be intermittent)

KHOU-TV/DT Houston: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_khou
WWLTV NOLA

Additional Resources:

FReeper Sign In Thread Check in to let us know whether you are staying, going, and when you get there
FReepers Offering Lodging To Rita Evacuees People and/or Pet Friendly FReepers Offering Shelter

Coastal TX Evacuation Maps
KHOU Houston
KTRK ABC News Houston
Hurricane City
Wxnation Houston
Galveston Webcams
Golden Triangle Weather Page Provides Galveston Weather, Warnings, Radar, etc.

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm Rita
Tropical Depression 18



TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: hurricane; hurricanerita; rita; ruhroh; tropical; weather
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To: steveegg
while the last at-sea intensity forecast is 7 pm Thursday

Aha. Thanks for the correction steve.

981 posted on 09/21/2005 8:24:41 PM PDT by glock rocks (Bring back dirndl !!!)
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To: Types_with_Fist

The problem with the storm being slow, is that the longer it sits over the gulf, the more the storm surge. The latest track has it closer to Houston. This puppy has the potential to do far more damage to the national economy that Katrina, as it moves into the oil production, import and refining heart of the nation, among other things.


982 posted on 09/21/2005 8:25:07 PM PDT by Torie
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To: dawn53
since New Orleans is already pretty much trashed and evacuated and will have to be rebuilt anyway, better it to be hit

Do you like to stand in the path of machinegun fire?

983 posted on 09/21/2005 8:25:13 PM PDT by steve86 (@)
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To: glock rocks

Somneone should post a ZOT thread with that info!


984 posted on 09/21/2005 8:25:17 PM PDT by spycatcher
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To: gpapa

Thank ya! I'm about to go to bed before I go off and eat some massive food. I quit smoking a month ago and I get these nasty urges...


985 posted on 09/21/2005 8:26:19 PM PDT by duffthor (Is it fishing time yet?)
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To: mlbford2

So they hope...


986 posted on 09/21/2005 8:26:19 PM PDT by Sprite518
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To: MOgirl

Excellent advice!


987 posted on 09/21/2005 8:26:29 PM PDT by Frank_2001
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To: Torie

The latest track will put Galveston and Houston in the right eye wall. Worse possible wind & surge..


988 posted on 09/21/2005 8:26:43 PM PDT by AntiGuv (™)
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To: Brad's Gramma; TheMom; humblegunner; LadyX; El Gato; sinkspur

From what I can make out...it seems to me that we are all staying put...

Although, I haven't seen El Gato, TheMom,LadyX, or humblegunner on the thread tonight...

I was calling everyone in to stop a spitting match that was going on for a while...but I think that Flyer took care of it all by himself...

I hope that El Gato is making sure that Miss Victoria is safe and sound...

I was quizzing some native Metroplex freepers this afternoon to see if they knew if Marine Creek Lake has a habit of flooding...because my daughter's house, with my newest granddaughter, Chase, has that lake as a backyard...

Sinkspur said he'd been here 50 years and it hadn't flooded, so I feel better...just battening down lawn chairs and kiddie toys outside for the wind and rain that we are supposed to get.


989 posted on 09/21/2005 8:26:54 PM PDT by Txsleuth (Arlington, Texas--future home of the Dallas Cowboys!)
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To: getmeouttaPalmBeachCounty_FL

We don't. Mostly we get out or we weather it.


990 posted on 09/21/2005 8:27:42 PM PDT by Spktyr (Overwhelmingly superior firepower and the willingness to use it is the only proven peace solution.)
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To: glock rocks
The NWS is saying this beast will make landfall with sustained winds of 155 mph.

Was wondering when someone was going to notice that detail.

991 posted on 09/21/2005 8:28:02 PM PDT by NautiNurse (The task before us is enormous, but so is the heart of America.)
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To: mlbford2
"they are reporting here in Houston it will slow to stong cat3 by landfall"

That's not a good message to send, since it's based on wishful thinking. The BEST forecast I'm hearing from the various sources is for a "4" storm then. I hope they're not repeating that too often since some may opt to stay if it's 'only' a 3.

992 posted on 09/21/2005 8:28:10 PM PDT by alancarp (Will hack code for oil)
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To: NautiNurse

The only reason for this not to make landfall as a Cat 5 is luck.


993 posted on 09/21/2005 8:28:56 PM PDT by AntiGuv (™)
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To: glock rocks

The Deepwater Millenium, A Huge drilling ship, is now reporting 45+ winds...

She's currently south of Pascagoula ...


994 posted on 09/21/2005 8:29:37 PM PDT by tcrlaf
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To: AntiGuv
Andrew and Charley strengthened right before landfall. It's not a given that a storm will weaken going into landfall. High-profile Ivan and Katrina did, so it seems a few people are taking that as some kind of rule. It's not.

No it's not but there does seem to be a tendency for western and northern Gulf canes to weaken a tad before landfall.

995 posted on 09/21/2005 8:29:48 PM PDT by groanup (shred for Ian)
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To: Brad's Gramma

Staying BG, just about complete on preperations, we are in the woods so not to worried about surface winds, otoh tornados could be a problem. 5 dogs two cats and my brothers two birds along with my shop and tools and 2 boats. Looks like we will be on the dirty side. Will check in after the storm via son in Portland since I am sure all land lines will be down and all we have is dialup service.


996 posted on 09/21/2005 8:30:17 PM PDT by eastforker (Under Cover FReeper going dark(too much 24))
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To: Txsleuth
Sinkspur said he'd been here 50 years and it hadn't flooded, so I feel better...

Marine Creek Lake flows into Marine Creek, so the spillway will dump any excess water into the Creek. Marine Creek might very well flood if we get a foot of rain in 24 hours.

997 posted on 09/21/2005 8:30:42 PM PDT by sinkspur (Just west of DFW Airport. We can take in four or five and two dogs.)
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To: Spktyr

So what are your plans?


998 posted on 09/21/2005 8:30:53 PM PDT by getmeouttaPalmBeachCounty_FL (Undocumented border patrol agent.)
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To: spycatcher
"I just saw on another forum that Dr Albert Sherwinski who is an expert in "chaos cloud" theory is predicting Rita will explode to Cat O' 9 overnight and become a permanent feature on Earth just like the red dot on Jupiter!"

LOL!

999 posted on 09/21/2005 8:30:59 PM PDT by Hound of the Baskervilles
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To: steveegg

"I'd be worried if she stays at 9 mph at landfall. It's just too early to read a lot into it at this point."

It looks like it will be at sea for at least 36 more hours. If the eye wall replacement weakens it overnight it will have all day tomorrow and night to rebuild over the warm water of the gulf.


1,000 posted on 09/21/2005 8:31:01 PM PDT by fishntex (Something is actually happening Reg)
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