Posted on 09/10/2005 2:31:49 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane Ophelia continues to churn off the off the coast of the Carolinas with a track that has confounded computer models and meteorologists for days. Hurricane watches are issued for much of the SC and NC coastline. Northern GA and southern VA coastal areas are currently within the three day cone of uncertainty. Check local NWS service for updates.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track Graphics, Satellite
Ophelia Track Forecast Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE U.S.
Myrtle Beach NWS Local Hurricane Statements
Wilmington NC NWS Local Hurricane Statements
Images:
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater WV Still Image
Morehead City Long Range Radar Loop
Wilmington NC Long Range Radar Loop
Charleston SC Long Range Radar Loop
Wakefield VA Radar
Morehead City Experimental Radar may experience delays or outages
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Ophelia Wind Field Graphic
Additional Resources:
Myrtle Beach Online
WECT-6 Wilmington News
WVEC-13 Hampton Roads/Norfolk
Hurricane City
Myrtle Beach Web Reports Surf & traffic cams
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
She says there's a weird sense of 'whatever' going on up there. They are putting off calling school out tomorrow, and news reports are saying "oh, scattered sections might lose power overnight" as if that's the extent of it. I guess after Isabel everyone's a little big for their britches.
ok
The pier at the Shearton Hotel at Atlantic Beach is gone.
I'm seeing gustier breezes in central NC.
And not one word of Ophelia on the networks.
NBC is in New Orleans.
Thanks for giving me the heads up. I was just about to turn the darned thing on and check out what the MSM was saying about Katrina. Better to just stay right here on this thread.
Swap out "Katrina" in my post and insert "Ophelia".
Statement as of 3:48 PM EDT on September 14, 2005 ... Coastal flood statement for minor coastal flooding at times of high tide beginning Thursday... Due to onshore winds from Hurricane Ophelia... and a prolonged swell up the mouth of the Chesapeake Bay... minor coastal flooding is expected to develop Thursday afternoon. Below are predicted storm tides (astronomical tide plus storm surge) in mean lower low water on Thursday for several locations along the tidal Potomac and western shore of the Chesapeake bay: Location: storm tide (mllw): Solomons island: 3.5-4.5 ft at 1216 PM Coltons point: 3.0-4.0 ft at 103 PM Chesapeake beach: 3.0 to 3.5 ft at 202 PM Annapolis usna: near 3.0 ft at 324 PM Bowley Bar middle river: 2.5-3.5 ft at 545 PM Alexandria: 4.0-5.0 ft at 642 PM Baltimore inner harbor: 2.5-3.5 ft at 503 PM High tides on Friday may also be a threat for minor coastal flooding. Please continue to monitor this product for later updates to this potential flooding situation.
Question.....how much foul weather can the outer banks take before they are lost to the sea? I'm on the west coast so my prayers are out for you guys in NC and surrounding areas in this slow moving storm.
Talked with my sister in Burgam - about 30 miles north of Wilmington. As of 30 minutes ago, still had power.
Googled for local media, could find none. Like streaming TV / radio. Anyone got something?
Fayetteville, NC. Its stopped raining and the sky is clearing off to the west. Its over.
Thanks for that photo and those reports. Looks like this little storm is causing some major damage anyway.
We got a little bit of rain in the Triangle - surely would have liked more rain. But those on the coast, I know, wish the rain would go away.
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 14/2005Z
B. 34 DEG 00 MIN N
77 DEG 20 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2899 M
D. NA
E. NA
F. 227 DEG 83 KT
G. 132 DEG 34 NM
H. 979 MB
I. 11 C/ 3108 M
J. 15 C/ 2899 M
K. 10 C/ NA
L. POORLY DEFINED
M. C50
N. 12345/7
O. 1/1 NM
P. NOAA3 2516A OPHELIA OB 28
MAX FL WIND 83 KT SE QUAD
NHC Public Advisory Updates are now being published every two hours, on the odd hours. Last update 7:00PM, next update 9:00PM ET.
The all day total was only 1 inch. It was slow and light for most of the day. Very little runoff, most soaked into the yard.
My wife's two friends from the Triangle area will check with her tonight so they can exchange stories. In-laws will run down to the mainland side of Holden's Beach in the next day or two to see how the weekend retreat came through.
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