Hurricane Ophelia Live Thread, Part II (Update: Ophelia expected to remain Cat 1 storm)

NHC - NOAA ^ | 10 Spetember 2005 | NHC - NOAA

[NautiNurse]

Hurricane Ophelia continues to churn off the off the coast of the Carolinas with a track that has confounded computer models and meteorologists for days. Hurricane watches are issued for much of the SC and NC coastline. Northern GA and southern VA coastal areas are currently within the three day cone of uncertainty. Check local NWS service for updates.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track Graphics, Satellite
Ophelia Track Forecast Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE U.S.
Myrtle Beach NWS Local Hurricane Statements
Wilmington NC NWS Local Hurricane Statements

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater WV Still Image
Morehead City Long Range Radar Loop
Wilmington NC Long Range Radar Loop
Charleston SC Long Range Radar Loop
Wakefield VA Radar
Morehead City Experimental Radar may experience delays or outages
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Ophelia Wind Field Graphic

Additional Resources:

Myrtle Beach Online
WECT-6 Wilmington News
WVEC-13 Hampton Roads/Norfolk
Hurricane City
Myrtle Beach Web Reports Surf & traffic cams

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[Howlin]

Emerald Isle is catching hell right now and probably will all day and night. Not good.

[Constitution Day]

Tropical Storm / Hurricane OPHELIA No/Res

The hurricane is now up for auction on eBay.
100% of the final sale price will support American Red Cross.

[varina davis]

Thanks Howlin -- and others who responded. Appreciate it.

[Howlin]

SEEMS I HAVE THIS STORM THAT WON'T GO AWAY! It is a Hurricane WANT a BE, But it's not sure. Because it's been hanging around my front door so long! I THINK I CAN eBay it! So here's your chance to own your very own HURRICANE / TROPICAL STORM.

LOCAL PICK - UP ONLY I'm sure she will still be here!



PROBLEMS! OPHELIA needs a home! It has some wind, And a lot of rain! It does not run away, and will hang around your house! Winning bidder to pick up OPHELIA at location. Note if OPHELIA "DOES" decide to move winning bidder must track and remove all traces of OPHELIA and transport her their home town!

High Bidder to pick up and remove OPHELIA! Payment by Pay-Pal only. Payment must be made at end of this auction!

PLEASE CHECK OUT THE GREAT INDIAN CHIEF I HAVE LISTED FOR THE AMERICAN RED CROSS!

NOTE: You can also see a picture of her on THE WEATHER CHANNEL! I'm sure she will STILL BE HERE! AT MY FRONT DOOR!

OK having a little fun here! But this is for the American Red Cross for the folks who got hit so hard in the gulf! So if you bid on OPHELIA, I will send you a mystery gift as well, Just to say THANK YOU FOR HELPING! With FREE SHIPPING!

Thank You for Stopping By

And enjoy the auction

SHE IS STILL HERE! I even took a picture of the beach with Ophelia in the back ground! The winning bidder COULD use a large VACCUUM to pick this thing up!

[disraeligears]

I don't know how to post an article, but somebody ought to put this thread in Breaking News with the addition that Ophelia is expected to be a Catagory 2 when it hits the Atlantic Beach/Shackleford Banks area. Everybody seems to be treating this storm ho-hum, but it may turn out to be a real pain, especially flooding in the Eastern part of the state. Those folks have had alot to deal with with Floyd Isabel and Alex (no debit cards either!!!!!!!)

[jamz]

Fortunately...the place we stay isn't beach front and one of those large hills on the feeder roads that lead down to Ocean drive...around mile marker 16-17 I believe. It'll be safe...couple of shingles...but just doubting being able to go down there due to emergency workers, power, commercial availability. Plus the fishing is going to SUCK!!!111eleventydammit!!

[Constitution Day]

Cute, huh? :)

[SE Mom]

LOL...you been out in that salt-laden air too long??? ;)

[Howlin]

Very. I always wish I had that sense of humor.


How'd you find that?

[CedarDave]

Airlie Road closed; it's near the ICCW; trees down, water up.

Hurry! Man the school buses!

[Constitution Day]

People were auctioning off items to benefit charities after Katrina, and I just decided to look to see what was going on today.

[Constitution Day]

I know what you mean re: Eastern part of the state.

I live between Rocky Mount & Tarboro.

[ContemptofCourt]

Per the NHC:

Landfall is "The intersection of the surface center of a tropical cyclone with a coastline. Because the strongest winds in a tropical cyclone are not located precisely at the center, it is possible for a cyclone's strongest winds to be experienced over land even if landfall does not occur. Similarly, it is possible for a tropical cyclone to make landfall and have its strongest winds remain over the water. Compare direct hit, indirect hit, and strike."

[Howlin]

Heads up!

This storm is INTENSIFYING and may be a CAT 2 at landfall, which is right now predicted somewhere around Atlantic Beach tonight.

North Carolina Governor Warns About Ophelia- Wed-Fri Event
CNN

Posted on 09/14/2005 2:55:23 PM EDT by libtoken

Snips from the NC Governor who was on CNN:

He hears this storm will enter Carteret County about 8 pm and finally leave the Outer Banks sometime on Friday.

Because of the slowness, the expected storm surge will be worse, 9-11 feet rather than the 5-7 predicted, and it will be 9 inches of rain east of I=95.

If you flooded in Isabel, in Alex, this will be worse. He said there are 61 shelters open, and the National Guard has been activated, but they can't come rescue you until Ophelia leaves and the winds die down. He wanted everyone who has been issued a mandatory or voluntary evacuation notice and is still waiting for the hurricane to come to go to the shelters now.

He said the barrier islands will be hit both ways, as the storm surge pushes water over and up rivers and sounds, then as the storm leaves the surge water will be pushed back out the other way and overrun the islands.

FEMA has sent an advance team, but they won't be able to start making assessments and bringing in the aid to where it is needed until Ophelia leaves on Friday.

Plus:

To: Howlin

Howlin: I don't know how to post an article, but somebody ought to put it in breaking news that Ophelia is expected to be a Catagory 2 when it hits the Atlantic Beach/Shackleford Banks area. Everybody seems to be treating this storm ho-hum, but it may turn out to be a real pain, especially flooding in the Eastern part of the state. Those folks have had alot to deal with with Floyd Isabel and Alex (no debit cards either!!!!!!!)

11 posted on 09/14/2005 3:22:38 PM EDT by disraeligears

[CajunConservative]

Prayers sent your way. This storm has been something else.

[FReepaholic]

NN, here's a link that you might consider adding to your hurricane threads (but I'm hoping you don't have any more threads):

WeatherUnderground Computer Models

Here's the link to their general hurricane page

[dennis1x]

hey...whats the source for "expected to become Cat 2 storm"?

[bonfire]

Be careful, gf. And if you have to evacuate, take the computer!

[Howlin]

We've got nothing except overcast skies. And a few rain drops here and there.

[Howlin]

That's what the stations around here are saying.......that it is still intensifying.