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Posted on 08/28/2005 2:38:16 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Extremely dangerous Hurricane Katrina is bearing down on the North Central Gulf of Mexico and New Orleans metro area. Thousands of people did not evacuate New Orleans. Outer bands of Katrina are reaching the Louisiana coast.
Due to the size and intensity of this storm, all interests in the North Gulf of Mexico should be in their safe locations.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida
Images:
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics
Live streaming:
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
WKRG-TV/DT Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Both are home for now.....
If she says Bye-Lox-ee again....I'm gonna shoot my TV with my sidehammer.
It's friggin Buh-Lux-ee
However....one could do worse
Good idea glock I'm going to do that right now. There are still many stuck out on I-10 and other roads trying to get out.
Very helpful recap--thank you!
She is one of the reasons we love the south and southerners. Beautiful, spiritually beautiful, people.
SOR is crude oil -- won't matter a bit in the short to medium term if we're way down on refinery capacity. The hit on the refineries could well be very serious for the next few months in the economy - gasoline prices will soar and that could indeed slow down the economy.
Will France pony up to rebuild the French Quarter? Will other Eurotrash ingrates send food and money? Don't hold your breath waiting...
Instant channel change when Greta comes on too, or "Natalee" is mentioned.
Basically what we have seen happen -- 1 PM 175 MPH winds 902 MB, Cloud tops have warmed since then, eyewall presentation became somewhat ragged (not much but it is there on the loops), Recon reported Open Eye to the SW, 7PM 160 MPH 904 MB.
Now if you watch the loops closely, the eye is becomeing symetrical again, cloud tops are cooling, and the opening is gone.
All just speculation I am passing along, but it is possible she may have just gone through an ERC. As I said earlier the next few hours will tell alot.
If the Next Vortex shows a closed eye and steady or lowering Pressure, then the theory may be correct. Let;s hope they are wrong.
That is some error, I think someone is gonna be fired.
Off topic,,is it morally wrong of me to have a bag of hershey's kisses that my husband does not know about just in case the power goes out. Do I have to share?
"But if you are trapped and can't leave, what is the difference if you know it is coming or not?"
I'm not sure whether you're asking about the historic Galveston storm or this one. But, either way, the difference would be keeping your wits about you and doing everything you can to keep yourself and your family as safe as possible, or making bad decisions due to panicking over all the doomsday prognostications, or giving up and getting drunk, waiting to die, due to all the aforementioned doomsday prognostications.
I don't think people really understood what a hurricane was, back in Galveston. We do now, which is for the better if you have no choice but to weather it. Storm surge and flooding will have worse effects than wind, for most people, but not all. A very solid, masonry or concrete, multistory structure with as few windows as possible would be the first thing I'd be searching for, right now. And I'd get into it, going to at least the third floor, but not the very top floor. Everything else would be secondary.
Cajungirl - I trust you're not in N.O. right now. I hope anyway. I think Shep is crazy being there.
Sadly, it's probably the best I can do out here, right now, here in the Great Basin.
they can still outdrive the storm's path and park somewhere
those poor folks stuck in cars on I-10 or US 90 in the lower parishes are in trouble
they'd better head for schools and libraries and courthouses...heavy buildings
earlier today, the forecast was for 30 miles east of NO. so the plot is steadily moving west all day. is it far enough west, the eastern eye wall will have a huge surge from the sea and the worst winds. how far west of NO would it have to go to to limit that? more then 7 miles I think.
Map of strategic petroleum reserve sites. I sure as hell hope the two in Louisiana aren't flooded or damaged. However, as has been said above, if we can't refine the SPR oil (should W. choose to release some crude) the SPR oil won't help much in the short run.
Get a grip. No refineries will be "lost". They'll have to shut down and re-start, which will take some amount of time. There are no refineries "in" New Orleans--they are all in smaller towns along the Mississippi River, in areas NOT below sea level (as New Orleans is), and protected by different levee systems.
KLFY-TV now reports there's a church at 223 Stone Avenue in Lafayette which has just opened its doors. They are asking the community to help them provide a hot breakfast tomorrow morning, because all they've got is cold cereal. They'd like to serve some scrambled eggs to the evacuees.
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