.... meanwhile aliens from other planets gaze at us in puzzlement.
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Posted on 08/26/2005 10:25:04 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. Currently, the forecast models are converging upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. Throughout Friday, the official track forecasts moved west, as Hurricane Katrina delayed making the anticipated northwest turn.
The following links are self-updating.
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Images:
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics
Live streaming:
WFOR-TV Miami: http://dayport.wm.llnwd.net/dayport_0025_live
WWL-TV New Orleans: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
HurricaneCity.com: http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
WTSP-TV Tampa: mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_jan032005_0856_78183
WKRG-TV Mobile mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_jul072005_1144_93320
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
http://www.wwltv.com/perl/common/video/wmPlayer.pl?title=beloint_wwltv&props=livenoad
wwl tv new orleans, live coverage.
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
yes over on that blog with alot of serious weather people -they are saying this is IT the perfect storm!big trouble!!
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 28/01:48:30Z B. 24 deg 56 min N 086 deg 12 min W C. 700 mb 2572 m D. NA kt E. NA deg nm F. 045 deg 104 kt G. 320 deg 030 nm H. 939 mb I. 10 C/ 3047 m J. 18 C/ 3045 m K. 15 C/ NA L. CLOSED WALL M. C30 N. 12345/ 7 O. 0.02 / 1 nm P. AF300 1512A KATRINA OB 09 MAX FL WIND 110 KT NE QUAD 00:18:10 Z EYEWALL STILL SOMEWHAT RAGGED
.... meanwhile aliens from other planets gaze at us in puzzlement.
Yes--thank you!
Well, under 20 minutes until the map gets updated at the National Hurricane Center. Fun fun fun. Not. If the track at 10 tomorrow morning looks evil, I am going to drive the family north to Alexandria.
A hurricane warning will be issued durring the next advisory that will include.
Morgan City to Miss/Al line
She honest to goodness said that on live TV?
She does sound like your typical naive goo-goo Leftist buffoon.
Are you in EBRP or Ascension? I have family in Ascension and they are staying.
No! Definitely not. Those terrorist "masterminds" are culturally in the 4th century. They are still obsessed with cutting off heads and slitting throats as a means to earning banging rights on 72 virgins. My experience is that what modern day Yankees think to be stupid Rednecks are really the backbone of what used to be known worldwide as "Yankee Ingenuity." When the chips are down, a Redneck with duct tape will always come through for you.
Hurricane Katrina Advisory Number 19
Statement as of 10:00 PM CDT on August 27, 2005
...Dangerous Hurricane Katrina threatens the north central Gulf
Coast...a Hurricane Warning issued...
at 10 PM CDT...0300z...a Hurricane Warning has been issued for the
north central Gulf Coast from Morgan City Louisiana eastward to the
Alabama/Florida border...including the city of New Orleans and Lake
Pontchartrain. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions
are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours.
Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to
completion.
Also at 10 PM CDT...0300z...a Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane
Watch have been issued from the Alabama/Florida border eastward to
Destin Florida...and from west of Morgan City to Intracoastal City
Louisiana. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm
conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24
hours. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are
possible within the watch area...generally within 36 hours.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.
At 10 PM CDT...0300z...the center of Hurricane Katrina was located
by an Air Force reconnaissance plane near latitude 25.0
north...longitude 86.2 west or about 335 miles south-southeast of
the mouth of the Mississippi River.
Katrina is moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph. A gradual
turn to the northwest should begin on Sunday.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 115 mph with higher gusts.
Katrina is a category three hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale.
Strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours...and Katrina
could become a category four hurricane on Sunday.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 45 miles from the
center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up
to 160 miles.
Latest minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force plane was
939 mb...27.73 inches.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 15 to 20 feet above normal tide
levels...locally as high as 25 feet along with large and dangerous
battering waves...can be expected near and to the east of where the
center makes landfall.
Heavy rains from Katrina should begin to affect the central Gulf
Coast Sunday evening. Rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches...with
isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches...are possible along the path
of Katrina. The hurricane is still expected to produce additional
rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches over extreme western Cuba...and 1
to 3 inches of rainfall is expected over the Yucatan Peninsula.
Repeating the 10 PM CDT position...25.0 N... 86.2 W. Movement
toward...west-northwest near 7 mph. Maximum sustained winds...115
mph. Minimum central pressure... 939 mb.
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane
Center at 1 am CDT followed by the next complete advisory at 4 am
CDT.
Forecaster Avila
What are you now???
...Dangerous Hurricane Katrina threatens the north central Gulf Coast...a Hurricane Warning issued...
at 10 PM CDT...0300z...a Hurricane Warning has been issued for the north central Gulf Coast from Morgan City Louisiana eastward to the Alabama/Florida border...including the city of New Orleans and Lake Pontchartrain. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.
Also at 10 PM CDT...0300z...a Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch have been issued from the Alabama/Florida border eastward to Destin Florida...and from west of Morgan City to Intracoastal City Louisiana. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area...generally within 36 hours.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.
At 10 PM CDT...0300z...the center of Hurricane Katrina was located by an Air Force reconnaissance plane near latitude 25.0 north...longitude 86.2 west or about 335 miles south-southeast of the mouth of the Mississippi River.
Katrina is moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph. A gradual turn to the northwest should begin on Sunday.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 115 mph with higher gusts. Katrina is a category three hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours...and Katrina could become a category four hurricane on Sunday.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 45 miles from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 160 miles.
Latest minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force plane was 939 mb...27.73 inches.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 15 to 20 feet above normal tide levels...locally as high as 25 feet along with large and dangerous battering waves...can be expected near and to the east of where the center makes landfall.
Heavy rains from Katrina should begin to affect the central Gulf Coast Sunday evening. Rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches...with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches...are possible along the path of Katrina. The hurricane is still expected to produce additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches over extreme western Cuba...and 1 to 3 inches of rainfall is expected over the Yucatan Peninsula.
Repeating the 10 PM CDT position...25.0 N... 86.2 W. Movement toward...west-northwest near 7 mph. Maximum sustained winds...115 mph. Minimum central pressure... 939 mb.
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 1 am CDT followed by the next complete advisory at 4 am CDT.
Forecaster Avila
update..115MPH..939MB moving WNW at 7 MPH..hurricane warning now issued
I am in Ascension. I am staying if the track stays east of us slightly. If it heads to the west, I am toast. I am more worried about trees falling onto the house than anything else. Have some 80 foot trees about 50 feet from the house. Not very comforting. A 75 mile an hour wind might bring em down. So better safe than sorry. If it's dicey at all, I am going.
Sorry. Overtired. I meant "where" are you now??
Out in Sorrento, in the woods though. Bayou Conway runs through my back yard.
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