Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III

NHC-NOAA ^ | 27 August 2005 | NHC-NOAA

[NautiNurse]

Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. Currently, the forecast models are converging upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. Throughout Friday, the official track forecasts moved west, as Hurricane Katrina delayed making the anticipated northwest turn.

The following links are self-updating.

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi

Images:

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:

WFOR-TV Miami: http://dayport.wm.llnwd.net/dayport_0025_live
WWL-TV New Orleans: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
HurricaneCity.com: http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
WTSP-TV Tampa: mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_jan032005_0856_78183
WKRG-TV Mobile mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_jul072005_1144_93320

Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[trillabodilla]

Snakes and Turtles KNOW SOMETHING.

This means more to me than all the scientific forecasting.

:-0

[Dog]

Ma'am what is the latest on the hurricane?

[Torie]

[janetjanet998]

most people didn;t know this..
i will repeat what a said a few hours ago..the models and NHC track have been dead on this year within 72 hours...and NOAA aircraft have been flying around the gulf collecting extra data to put into the models...all the models are tighly clusted as well of the ensemble(sp?) runs...
LOOK HOW HUGE IT IS NOW http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconusir.html

[beyond the sea]

I'd rather be watching this Katrina about now. Much more benign.

***

http://www.starswelove.com/scriptsphp/showimg.php?imageid=19315

[dogbyte12]

Nah, I am in Sorrento. I should be pretty good here. Fingers crossed.

[beyond the sea]

Complaints about pumps not working and not enough generators to pump the water out, and that was a TS.

Right............ slightly different this time.

[NautiNurse]

Coastal animals have been seen leaving in droves. The feds are stepping up to move along the heretofore suggested evac of NO.

Everything is pointing to a direct NO strike by a major Cat 4 hurricane.

It's ugly.

[beyond the sea]

check out post # 1269 .................. warmer water ahead.

[mhking]

Did you convince your family to evacuate?

Yeah - pretty much everybody is going to bail to various points.

[meyer]

Wow - they're all converging close to NO. Given the amount of energy here, a near miss is as bad as a hit.

[mhking]

Should I leave the other links in the new thread too, or sub this for those?

Leave 'em for now - give me a little bit of time to play with. I know HurricaneCity went live earlier today.

[ZOTnot]

Yes they do.

They knew about the tsunami last year also. Herds of elephants headed for the hills....

[CajunConservative]

It is not going to be pretty. I just pray that these folks understand what is heading their way and leave. I live in the southwestern part of the state but as soon as I heard that the storm was expected to cross into the Gulf, I started making preparations and taking care of things in order to get out if necessary.

I at least live where there are enough back ways north to get out of danger without being stuck in traffic, NO doesn't have that many options.

[Guenevere]

This is true.
...they've done it here (Florida) before an evacuation.

[janetjanet998]

buoy 85 miles from the center is reporting sustained winds to 63 MPH and wind gust to 76 MPH with 30.5 foot waves

[meyer]

janetjanet998, where are you? Is your info from a public source or inside information?

[NautiNurse]

It's Buoy 42003 The bouy links are at the top of the thread.

[LA Woman3]

I guess we were lucky there wasn't a football game this weekend!

[AnAmericanMother]

Tulane is shut down.

The university is now closed due to the approach of Hurricane Katrina.