Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III

NHC-NOAA ^ | 27 August 2005 | NHC-NOAA

[NautiNurse]

Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. Currently, the forecast models are converging upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. Throughout Friday, the official track forecasts moved west, as Hurricane Katrina delayed making the anticipated northwest turn.

The following links are self-updating.

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi

Images:

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:

WFOR-TV Miami: http://dayport.wm.llnwd.net/dayport_0025_live
WWL-TV New Orleans: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
HurricaneCity.com: http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
WTSP-TV Tampa: mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_jan032005_0856_78183
WKRG-TV Mobile mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_jul072005_1144_93320

Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[mewzilla]

Anybody seen any early storm surge projections?

For the NO area, from various cable nets, I've heard everything from 10 to 20 feet.

[NautiNurse]

Central Florida Hurricane Center has those views on their site.

[Ellesu]

Hurricane Betsy pics, etc. Anyone from BR remember Tex Carpenter (weatherman)on evening news saying go to bed folks, we are safe, etc., hurricane not coming near us. Later that night he was frantic saying get ready folks it's coming our way. People had gone to bed and Betsy woke them up.

http://www.hurricanecity.com/betsy.htm


http://www.st-bernard.la.us/emprep/betsy/betsy.htm

[LA Woman3]

They were talking on the radio how no one even knows if the Superdome can withstand a category 4 hurricane.....
Brilliant shelter choice!

[silentknight]

Found the base
http://goes.gsfc.nasa.gov/

[LincolnLover]

I was born and raised in New Orleans and wish I could pick up a live feed to watch Bob.

I'm very worried, both for family members still in town (one brother and his wife are coming here to Houston, the other I haven't gotten hold of yet today) and for the city itself.

[jslade]

Get the hell out of there. You have no idea what you're in for if you stay. It ain't worth it.

[snowsislander]

There looks like there is some weather moving into northern Lousiana and heading south. Has anybody commented on that, and would that have any effect on the track of the storm?

I don't know anything about how it might interact with the hurricane, but I imagine that for anyone who is trying to escape this storm that driving north into that southbound weather might not be the most troublefree way to escape.

[mewzilla]

Click here for WDSU's Causeway cam. Not looking very busy outbound at the moment.

[Howlin]

I found this for reference:

http://www.nola.com/hurricane/images/goingunder_jpg.jpg

[Ingtar]

The weather coming into Louisiana is the front that is supposed to pick this up and pull it north, isn't it?

[beyond the sea]

The spaghetti map looks like a rope. And New Orleans continues to party. ----

****

Time to turn out the lights.

[Ellesu]

And it will only get worse. Hope everyone stays put that doesn't need to get out.

[janetjanet998]

you can see a HUGE eye developing and the old little eye rotating around it now on the VIS shot..as well asthe long range key west radar(it just moved out of range of it)

[Types_with_Fist]

He said no... N.O. is going to get it Big Time... It will be on the East side of wall.

I had wondered about that. It's a large and growing storm so I guess if the surge is also to the east a good ways and Houma gets hit it could still be bad. I was thinking of Andrew, which went to the west of Morgan City and up the Atchafalaya Basin, so the surge wasn't as bad.

[mwp99]

I'm right across US 90 from sand in Long Beach.

[mewzilla]

New Orleans Websites

Site is for radio, tv, and media links :)

[rickylc]

holy cow, 700 mb, can that be right?

Do major hurricanes always have such low pressures?

[juzcuz]

We are going to vertical evac.

We have reservations at the Ramada on the I/10 Diamondhead. However, after seeing pictures of the devistation from the (posted above) damage done by Camille to that appartment building I'm now having second thoughts.

[LA Woman3]

Stiff competition for the Darwin Awards this year....