----Everybody was sure CAT 4 Lili was going to wipe out New Orleans, then it weakened to CAT 1 just before landfall and didn't wind up doing much.----
CAT 2. And it did PLENTY from where I sat.
-Dan
Posted on 08/25/2005 11:51:53 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Katrina is emerging into the very warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico early this morning after making landfall in SE Florida, then tracking SW. Thus far, she is well ahead of schedule, leaving at least four fatalities in her wake, and well over 1 million without electricity.
The following links are self-updating.
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida
Images:
Key West Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Tampa Bay Long Range Radar Loop
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Florida East Coast Surf Reports Lots of great info here, including surf cams
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Heard about the pet friendly shelter this evening. Sounds like a good idea. Hope it works.
I'm pulling together another live thread. Will have it ready within the hour.
Well, I'm off to bed, might hit some yard sales in the AM, isn't is wonderful we won't have the weekend we were expecting.
Nighters! Have a great time yard saling. Sweet relief we dodged another one.
CAT 2. And it did PLENTY from where I sat.
-Dan
My sister's house got quite a bit of damage from Lili in Lafayette. She actually had more damage from Lili than she did from Andrew.
5 hours ago (don't they watch the weather channel?).........
NEW YORK, Aug. 26 (Xinhuanet) -- Oil prices slipped from record levels Friday as Hurricane Katrina failed to disrupt oil and gas activities in the US Gulf of Mexico.
Light sweet crude for delivery in October, New York's main contract, fell 1.36 dollars to close at 66.13 dollars per barrel, after briefly trading as high as 67.95 dollars. The slip in prices came as Hurricane Katrina, despite making landfall in Florida, has not affected US Gulf oil production as much as had been feared.
Oil hit a record closing price on Thursday of 67.49 dollars, and briefly touched a record of 68 dollars late Wednesday on the New York Mercantile Exchange -- the highest point since it was first traded in 1983, amid concerns that Hurricane Katrina could damage or close US refineries in the Gulf of Mexico.
Shell and BP both said Thursday they would evacuate some non-essential personnel from their eastern Gulf of Mexico operations over the next two days ahead of the possible arrival of Katrina, but output has so far remained unaffected.
Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan suggested Friday he is not particularly worried by the rise of crude-oil prices so far.
"The flexibility of our market-driven economy has allowed us, thus far, to weather reasonably well the steep rise in spot and futures prices for crude oil and natural gas that we have experienced over the past two years," Greenspan stressed. Enditem
Thanks again NN for all your efforts. Here is a link with all kinds of good images and info. Not sure if there is anything not already posted here but it's an excellent source.
http://www.crownweather.com/tropical.html#AL12
Thanks. Just read the "what if" scenario about Ivan hitting NO. My, that is beyond frightening. Lots of prayers for folks whereever this thing is going.
The NWS called up Gov. Foster that night screaming for him to evacuate the city. It was much too late for that, of course.
-Dan
I remember it turned at the last minute. It was aiming right at Lake Charles and I evacuated because I was taking care of my disabled father at the time. It was an interesting trip. I had my two dogs too and it was a long hot ordeal.
I kept telling my sister that she needed to get out of town and stay with family up north and she was stubborn. When her house was hit by a tornado she wished she had listened to me. If it would have hit full on Cat 5 it would have been catastrophic.
Perhaps Louisiana should have had Robert Byrd as their Senator instead of West Virginia. At least they would have had the evac highway capacity
I look at the highway map of the area, and they are just basicly hosed in an evac scenario, with a whole city having to move out over I-10 and I-55
Whoo-Hoo!
PING!
Morning tracks indicate NO strike. Smart people would at least have the wife and kids in the car RIGHT NOW heading for relatives or friends inland while papa finishes final preparations for the house before bugging out himself. Evac routes will be jammed by mid-day, if the past is any indication
Hopefully people remembered to gas up. Expect everybody else to have the same idea, and for the pumps to be dry by noon
"The NAM has been everwhere, and now it's looking like it's converging on that region (though, it might show a Cuba strike next run)."
Wow! An unofficial official un-endorsement.
Thanks,
mc
:>))
Did all of that yesterday, filled up gas cans too, Butane etc. plenty of supplies. Just not sure if we should stay in BR or leave before the traffic gets bad. Waiting for next advisory, nervously waiting.
I would leave now, just to get out of the crowded evac area. Once you're 100 miles inland, you have a lot more options, which includes hanging out at a mall and/or taking in a movie till this evening's revised forecast. Once you're well inland, the traffic won't be so bad
If you wait until noon, then you'll likely be stuck in traffic all day
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