45 minutes after they left the house!
Posted on 08/25/2005 11:51:53 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Katrina is emerging into the very warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico early this morning after making landfall in SE Florida, then tracking SW. Thus far, she is well ahead of schedule, leaving at least four fatalities in her wake, and well over 1 million without electricity.
The following links are self-updating.
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida
Images:
Key West Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Tampa Bay Long Range Radar Loop
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Florida East Coast Surf Reports Lots of great info here, including surf cams
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
You're BAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAD!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
goodnight everyone - stay safe.........
Congratulations!
Heads up FL Gulf Coast FReepers: Katrina wasted no time regaining hurricane strength after emerging into the GOM.
WooHooo!!!
...Katrina regains hurricane status over the Gulf of Mexico...
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for all of the Florida Keys and Florida Bay from Dry Tortugas northward... along the East Coast of Florida from Florida City northward to Deerfield Beach... and along the Gulf Coast of Florida from south of Florida City westward and northward to Longboat Key. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours.
A tropical storm watch is in effect for portions of the Florida West Coast from north of Longboat Key to Anclote Key. A tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area... generally within 36 hours.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.
At 5 am EDT...0900z...the center of Hurricane Katrina was located near latitude 25.3 north... longitude 81.5 west or about 50 miles... 85 km... north-northeast of Key West Florida.
Katrina is moving toward the west near 5 mph... 7 km/hr... and this motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours... with a slight increase in forward speed.
Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph... 120 km/hr... with higher gusts. Katrina is a category one hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 25 miles... 35 km... from the center... and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 85 miles... 140 km.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb...29.15 inches.
Storm surge flooding of 3 to 5 feet above normal tide levels... can be expected along the West Coast of Florida in areas of onshore flow south of Venice... and in Florida Bay. Storm surge should continue to decrease this morning along the East Coast of Florida.
Katrina is expected to produce additional rainfall of 5 to 8 inches over extreme southern Florida and the Florida Keys. Isolated storm total amounts of 15 to 20 inches are possible.
Isolated tornadoes are possible today over southern Florida and the Florida Keys.
Repeating the 5 am EDT position...25.3 N... 81.5 W. Movement toward...west near 5 mph. Maximum sustained winds... 75 mph. Minimum central pressure... 987 mb.
Intermediate advisories will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 7 am EDT and 9 am EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 11 am EDT.
Forecaster Knabb
My only grandchild, Teegan, will turn 2 tomorrow, the 27th. Aren't they great?
Please check in with us when you can, FL Keys FRiends.
-----
Congrats ............. time for a little change.
Ivan-esque? 130 MPH? Cat 3? Before heading inland again..
Do you know if there is a mandatory evacuation on Longboat?
Congratulations, Grandma! Counting travel time to the hospital, Mom and baby couldn't have been in there more than an hour. LOL.
Due to the current westward movement of the storm, there is no mandatory evac for Longboat Key at this time.
Thanks!
I'm in IL right now. Just worried about our LBK house if Katrina decides to take a sharp right turn after she enters the Gulf.
I really appreciate this thread.
Thank you!
Very compact storm at this point--hurricane force winds only 20 miles out from center, tropcial storm winds out to 80 miles.
NautiNurse, aren't you in Navarre? We are (were) scheduled to head to PCB tomorrow morning, but looks like that plan is not operative...
Tampa Bay here. We do have a FReeper or two in Navarre.
Congratulations! :)
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