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Hurricane/TS Katrina Live Thread, Part II
NHC - NOAA ^ | 26 August 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 08/25/2005 11:51:53 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Katrina is emerging into the very warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico early this morning after making landfall in SE Florida, then tracking SW. Thus far, she is well ahead of schedule, leaving at least four fatalities in her wake, and well over 1 million without electricity.

The following links are self-updating.

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida

Images:


Key West Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Excellent South FL radar loop

Tampa Bay Long Range Radar Loop

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Florida East Coast Surf Reports Lots of great info here, including surf cams
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City

Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi
KEYWORDS: florida; hurricane; hurricanekatrina; katrina; livehurricanekatrina; tropical; weather
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To: nwctwx
Seriously..has Bastardi EVER been right?

sw

221 posted on 08/26/2005 9:08:20 AM PDT by spectre (Spectre's wife)
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To: spectre

"Seriously..has Bastardi EVER been right?"

When he says that the grocery stores will get cleaned out of bread and milk he's usually right. Doesn't mean anything actually happens though.


222 posted on 08/26/2005 9:09:58 AM PDT by Rebelbase ("Run Hillary Run" bumper stickers. Liberals place on rear bumper, conservatives put on front bumper)
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To: spectre

He likes to hype, but he knows his stuff.


223 posted on 08/26/2005 9:09:58 AM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: All

12z GFS says, "Uh Oh New Orleans:"

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/images/gfs_p06_072m.gif


224 posted on 08/26/2005 9:10:39 AM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: STARWISE

I'm here on Sugarloaf key, 17 miles north of Key West. We have sustained winds of 65-70 right now and some real heavy gusts to 80 or so. Power been on and off all morning. Katrina just upgraded to 100mph and virtually moving nowhere according to local radar.


225 posted on 08/26/2005 9:10:46 AM PDT by jsh3180
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To: NautiNurse
The NWS in Peachtree City has issued a Special Statement regarding Katrina; they're predicting at least five inches of rain from it north of a line from Columbus to Griffin to Athens (which crosses the state just south of Atlanta).

Of course, at this rate, we're gonna get hammered pretty good...

226 posted on 08/26/2005 9:11:54 AM PDT by mhking (The world needs a wake up call gentlemen...we're gonna phone it in.)
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To: nwctwx

That's pretty reassuring for those of us in Texas, and really bad news for somebody else.


227 posted on 08/26/2005 9:12:53 AM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: Dog Gone

wow!


228 posted on 08/26/2005 9:12:55 AM PDT by rwfromkansas (http://www.xanga.com/home.aspx?user=rwfromkansas)
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To: nwctwx
Bastardi is out of his damn mind...

I'll take a look at what folks with more sense say over on Hurricane City's boards and see what makes more sense...

229 posted on 08/26/2005 9:13:59 AM PDT by mhking (The world needs a wake up call gentlemen...we're gonna phone it in.)
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To: nwctwx

The GFS is suggesting goodbye to New Orleans if Katrina reaches Cat 4 like I suspect.


230 posted on 08/26/2005 9:14:21 AM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: mhking

I think this has at least Cat 4 written all over it. It just depends upon the cycles of the storm as to whether it's a Cat 4 when it hits land - but the SSTs in the entire NE Gulf are extremely warm.


231 posted on 08/26/2005 9:15:54 AM PDT by dirtboy (Drool overflowed my buffer...)
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To: silentknight

Most of the weatherboard action seems to be at http://www.storm2k.org/ with its tropical forums, but you have to be a registered member (which I am) to get to see the Tropics Talking board (where you can drown in all the data and arguments). Eastern will let guests in to view similar talk, and it is more condensed during the summertime (but during the winter WATCH OUT for the overload during storms!)

By the way, the links at the top of this thread are great and very useful.


232 posted on 08/26/2005 9:17:11 AM PDT by libtoken
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To: dirtboy

233 posted on 08/26/2005 9:17:49 AM PDT by mhking (The world needs a wake up call gentlemen...we're gonna phone it in.)
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To: mhking

And I think that chart is already obsolete. I think the strength sequence should be 2-3-4 - Katrina is already a two and is rapidly intensifying.


234 posted on 08/26/2005 9:18:46 AM PDT by dirtboy (Drool overflowed my buffer...)
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To: Dog Gone

Fortunately, the GFS is usually wrong with tropical systems.


235 posted on 08/26/2005 9:20:12 AM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: Ellesu

I didn't know if you were following along....


236 posted on 08/26/2005 9:21:46 AM PDT by LA Woman3
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To: dirtboy

I agree. I wouldn't discount a run at cat5 either, but those stroms are relatively rare.


237 posted on 08/26/2005 9:23:39 AM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: nwctwx; NautiNurse; All
Just watching the WFOR video "Massive Flooding In South Miami-Dade; Safety Tips" from the link I posted from the WFOR video link ... saying quite a bit of damage in Marathon... power lines, trees and stop signs down...urging people to stay in.

Note: You can't use Firefox to load those videos .. only Explorer.

Gulf Satellite

And Fidel's getting slammed ... again. Did anyone predict the storm would move this far south?

238 posted on 08/26/2005 9:25:01 AM PDT by STARWISE (GITMO IS TOO GOOD FOR THESE TRAITORS -- SEND THEM ALL TO EGYPT FOR QUESTIONING.)
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To: libtoken

Storm2k is good in the summer. We (easternuswx.com) just got going last yr, so we are still building a summer base. Winter is a mess, as our snow lovers outnumber hurricane watchers by a good margin. The meteorologist input on easternuswx.com is easily amongst the best on the net right now.


239 posted on 08/26/2005 9:25:41 AM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: All
More comprehensive List of WFOR Storm Video Reports - View with Explorer Only
240 posted on 08/26/2005 9:28:48 AM PDT by STARWISE (GITMO IS TOO GOOD FOR THESE TRAITORS -- SEND THEM ALL TO EGYPT FOR QUESTIONING.)
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