Posted on 08/25/2005 11:51:53 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Katrina is emerging into the very warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico early this morning after making landfall in SE Florida, then tracking SW. Thus far, she is well ahead of schedule, leaving at least four fatalities in her wake, and well over 1 million without electricity.
The following links are self-updating.
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida
Images:
Key West Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Tampa Bay Long Range Radar Loop
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Florida East Coast Surf Reports Lots of great info here, including surf cams
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Katrina emerging from SW Florida into the hot bath Gulf of Mexico
Good Lord, look at the wide spread.
Rain!
It'll have to move 50-60 miles west, for me to get any rain and we need rain badly!
y'all are welcome to the rain :)
Seriously though, hope you all are safe & dry. Best wishes and God bless.
I'm thinking I may need to do some laundry and other little storm prep chores (just because) while the weather is still clear.
We're you here earlier when the FNC reported that parts of the Miami area had already had over a foot of rain?
When was the last time anyone heard from rodguy911?
I didn't see him on any of the storm threads today or tonight.
...Center of Katrina emerges off the southwestern coast of Florida over the Gulf of Mexico... ...Heavy rains and tropical storm force winds continue over extreme southern Florida and the Florida Keys...
a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for all the Florida Keys and Florida Bay from Dry Tortugas northward...along the East Coast of Florida from Florida City northward to Deerfield Beach...and along the Gulf Coast of Florida from Longboat Key south and eastward to south of Florida City.
A tropical storm watch remains in effect for portions of the Florida West Coast from north of Longboat Key to Anclote Key. A tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area...generally within 36 hours.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.
At 3 am EDT...0700z...the center of Tropical Storm Katrina was located near latitude 25.3 north...longitude 81.3 west or about 45 miles south-southeast of Marco Island Florida...and about 60 miles north-northeast of Key West Florida.
Katrina is moving toward the west-southwest near 11 mph. A turn toward the west is expected later this morning.
Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph with higher gusts. Gradual re-strengthening is expected now that Katrina has emerged over the Gulf of Mexico... and Katrina could regain hurricane status later today.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 85 miles from the center.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 990 mb...29.23 inches.
Storm surge flooding of 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels... can be expected along the West Coast of Florida in areas of onshore flow south of Venice and in Florida Bay. Storm surge should gradually decrease this morning along the East Coast of Florida.
Katrina is expected to produce a significant heavy rainfall event over southern Florida and the Florida Keys. Total rainfall accumulations of 6 to 10 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 15 to 20 inches are possible.
Isolated tornadoes are possible today over extreme southern Florida and the Florida Keys.
Repeating the 3 am EDT position...25.3 N... 81.3 W. Movement toward...west-southwest near 11 mph. Maximum sustained winds... 70 mph. Minimum central pressure... 990 mb.
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 5 am EDT.
Forecaster Knabb
Last I heard on the Weather Channel, FPL ( Florida Power And Light ) reported 2.4 million people without power. Sounds like the Democrats.
What a storm projection. It looks more like a wild guess. I still don't believe the storm is going to take the sharp north turn they think it will.
Katrina is moving toward the west-southwest near 11 mph. A turn
toward the west is expected later this morning.
Now, help me here... where will that prediction hit?
Was laughing with another passenger on the flight home tonight about one of the tracks early this morning that showed a due west path across FL into the GOM, then a 90º sharp turn due north.
Katrina would have spilled her guts turning on a dime like that.
Yes - I heard that.........
I still have FNC on for background noise - and listening to the earlier taped reports are hilarious.......I mean really - 5 hour old hurricane updates .....LOL!!!!!!!
My husband made me turn off the tv --- so he can sleep, but the grandfather clock keeps waking him every half hour, so I am trying to type quietly.
Try the weather channel. I think they're less apt to repeat old updates...lol.
Talk to us - PLEASE........the 3 hours is about (or already) up!!!!!!!!!!
Hubby went to bed hours ago....he's gonna have a fit when he figures out how late I stayed up ....which he will be able to do with no trouble just by my reaction to him telling me I have to get up to go to PT :)
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