Posted on 07/16/2005 1:33:53 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricanes Emily and Dennis are the strongest July storms in recorded history for the Atlantic hurricane basin...
Hurricane Emily resources--the links are self-updating for handy reference:
NHC Hurricane Public Advisory Updates Currently published every three hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, 5P, etc. ET.
NHC Hurricane Discussion Updates Published every 6 hours 5A, 11A, 5P, 11P ET
Storm Floater IR Loop Little boxes at top of image: lat/lon, and Trop Fcst Pts--click 'em.
Caribbean Visible Loop (Only works during daylight hours)
Storm Floater Sat Both loop and latest image
Jamaica Weather Has a few still radar images
Cancun Radar Very Slow Load
Another Cancun Radar another Very Slow Load
Emily Forecast Track Archive Loop Great for reviewing the NHC 3 day and 5 day historic track positions
Global Satellite Imagery Amazing view of the world (Broadband)
Water Vapor SatelliteAnother colorful loop for broadband
Central Florida Hurricane Center offers a variety of info
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure |
Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (weak) |
75 - 95 mph 65 - 82 kts 33 - 42 m/s |
> 28.94 in. Hg > 980.0 mb > 97.7 kPa |
4.0 - 5.0 ft. 1.2 - 1.5 m |
minimal damage to vegetation |
| 2 (moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts 43 - 49 m/s |
28.50 - 28.93 in. Hg 965.1 - 979.7 mb 96.2 - 97.7 kPa |
6.0 - 8.0 ft. 1.8 - 2.4 m |
moderate damage to houses |
| 3 (strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 113 kts 50 - 58 m/s |
27.91 - 28.49 in. Hg 945.1 - 964.8 mb 96.2 - 97.7 kPa |
9.0 - 12.0 ft. 2.7 - 3.7 m |
extensive damage to small buildings |
| 4 (very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 114 - 135 kts 59 - 69 m/s |
27.17 - 27.90 in. Hg 920.1 - 944.8 mb 91.7 - 94.2 kPa |
13.0 - 18.0 ft. 3.9 - 5.5 m |
extreme structural damage |
| 5 (devastating) |
> 155 mph > 135 kts > 70 m/s |
< 27.17 in Hg < 920.1 mb < 91.7 kPa |
> 18.0 ft > 5.5 m |
catastrophic building failures possible |
If she should decide to visit BV , what time do yall guestimate? Before or after 5pm Tuesday? (just trying to plan my week:')
LOL...after 5pm Tuesday is my guess.
The last one I went thru came in at dark too. I hated that. Alicia (been awhile huh?)
When was Alicia?
The most vivid in my mind are Carla, Beulah, Allen, and Gilbert. Ran from 3 of those and rode Allen out in CC.
I was in Houston. 1982.
The last few frames looks like she is taking a left hook.
HURRICANE EMILY MOVING
THROUGH THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
Hurricane Local Statement National Weather Service Brownsville TX 545 AM CDT Mon Jul 18 2005
... Hurricane Emily Moving Through The Yucatan Peninsula...
... A Hurricane Watch Is In Effect For The Texas Gulf Coast From Baffin Bay To Brownsville...
... Areas Affected... This Statement Recommends Actions To Be Taken By Residents Across The Deep South Texas And The Lower Texas Coastline Which Includes The Following Counties: Cameron... Willacy And Kenedy.
... Watch And Warning Information... As Of 500 AM CDT... Emergency Officials Have Made No Evacuation Recommendation For Cameron... Willacy... And Kenedy Counties. This Includes The City Of South Padre Island... Port Isabel... And Port Mansfield. County And City Officials Will Continue To Monitor The Progress Of Emily.
... Storm Information... At 400 AM CDT... The Center Of Hurricane Emily Was Located Near Latitude 20.6 North... Longitude 88.0 West Approximately 70 Miles West Of Cozumel.
... Movement... Emily Is Moving West Northwest At 18 Mph And This Motion Is Expected To Continue Through Tonight. Given This Track... Emily Is Expected To Make Landfall Around Midnight Tuesday Night Approximately 100 Miles South Of Brownsville... Or 50 Miles North Of La Pesca.
... Winds... Maximum Sustained Winds With Hurricane Emily Were Near 110 Mph. Additional Weakening Of The Hurricane Is Expected As Emily Moves Through Through The Yucatan This Morning. Emily Is Then Forecasted To Strengthen Shortly After It Moves Into The Gulf Of Mexico Tonight.
... Storm Surge And Tides... Tides Are Expected To Run 1 Foot Above Mean Lower Low Water. Given The Current Track Of Emily... Storm Surge Is Expected To Be 2 To 4 Feet.
... Winds Impacts... Winds Are Expected Increase Along The Coast And Over The Coastal Waters On Tuesday. Winds Gusts To Near 50 Knots Are Expected Over Coastal Sections Tuesday Evening.
... Rip Currents And Marine Conditions... The Risk Of Rip Currents Will Be High On Tuesday As Emily Approaches. Waves Will Increase To 10 To 14 Feet Offshore On Tuesday With Waves Up To 18 Feet Possible Tuesday Night. Waves Will Begin To Subside On Wednesday.
... Rainfall... Rainfall Amounts Of 3 To 5 Inches Are Expected Over Deep South Texas With Hurricane Emily. Isolated Amounts To 10 Inches Are Possible. All Residents Should Be Aware Of The Danger Posed By Flooding Rains. Never Drive Into Water Of Unknown Depth. Remember... Turn Around Don't Drown.
The Next Hurricane Local Statement Will Be Issued Around 800 AM.
What are you looking at?
Alicia was spawned in the southern gulf in '83. It was the short period of time to landfall that caught most Houstonians unprepared, not to mention the close to 18 hours she stalled on the Galveston coast.TS Alison dumped a lot of water that caused death and destruction from rising water, freeways and underpasses left many autos completely submerged.
Oh yeah! I ran from that one too! I was living near Victoria at that time. Thanks for the memory jog, eastforker.
"I'm fairly sure we're in for stormy weather because ants are attempting to invade our home"
Chemical warfare is justifed.
It's been really quiet since I've been in the valley. One that went through the strip and then that really weak TS a couple of years ago about all for me.
I have been thur my 1st hail storm and WHITE CHRISTMAS since I've been down here though.
thanks
LOL. Allergies prevent my use of chemicals anymore than I must. I vaccum them up instead. They don't seem to survive the windstorm nor the trip thru the filter. Live ants go in, dead ants come out.
There are houses now but we used to have an empty field behind our house. You could tell when something up. Rats, snakes and rabbits would come visiting.
I use bleach. They don't seem to like it. I was thinking last night though that if she looks "promising" I should go get some screen to keep out flies and mosquitos if we have to open soors.
bookmark for morning update
Wouldn't removing some wood and opening screened windows be easier?
Hubby has his welder/generator ready for use should the power fail.
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