Hurricane Dennis (Live Thread, Part V)

NHC-NOAA ^ | 10 July 2005 | NHC

[NautiNurse]

...Extremely dangerous Hurricane Dennis headed for the northern Gulf of Mexico coast...

Hurricane Dennis resources--the links are self-updating for handy reference:

NHC Hurricane Public Advisory Updates Currently published every two hours 1A, 3A, 5A, 7A, 9A, 11A, 1P...etc. ET.

Mobile AL Long Range Radar

Northwest Florida Long Range Extended Radar SE US Radar Low resolution still image for the bandwidth impared

NHC Hurricane Discussion Updates Published every 6 hours 5A, 11A, 5P, 11P ET

Eastern Gulf of Mexico Buoy Data

Gulf of Mexico IR Loop

Gulf of Mexico Visible Loop (Only works during daylight hours)

SE US Radar still image

Hurricane Track Forecast

Hurricane Model Projections

Television streams (All WMP - copy/paste the link into your player):

WKRG-TV/DT Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_jul072005_1144_93320
WFOR-TV/DT Miami (WMP) -
WSVN-TV/DT Miami (WMP) - mms://216.242.118.141/broadband
WBBH-TV/WZVN-TV Ft. Myers (WMP) - http://waterbc.wm.llnwd.net/waterbc_netvideo
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WMBB-TV/DT Panama City (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_jul072005_1144_93323
WTSP-TV/DT Tampa (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_jan032005_0856_78183
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) -

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[Bella]

It's been awhile since I've posted, but my health has deteriorated more, and I'm praying that everyone stays safe and hope that everyone who has to evacuate makes it out in time.

We're supposed to have temps in the high 80's later this week and the rain which will cause a problem here in PA for those living in low-lying areas. The last heavy rain we had caused arguments in places like Lowe's, Home Depot, etc for people trying to get sump-pumps for their homes and the fire companies were working overtime as you can imagine, but nothing close to what the people in your states have gone through.

[nwctwx]

It's definately possible we see an eye wall replacement before it comes ashore, and if it happens at the right time... winds COULD come down a bit, but I wouldn't count on it. The saving grace is the relatively small CDO with Dennis, hopefully the 140 winds will be confined to a small area.

[Flyer]

Aren't you supposed to be out putting the Coke/Beer/Medina cocktail on the yard this morning?

[Dog Gone]

That monster wave that came off Africa last week is about to enter the Caribbean. There's every indication that it's getting better organized and could become a depression later today or this evening.

We need a break.

[debg]

Safest place with the best weather I've lived was on Oahu. No major storms; no poisonous snakes. That said, I've been thru many hurricanes/typhoons in Miami, Guam and Okinawa.

[lainie]

There's every indication that it's getting better organized and could become a depression later today or this evening.

What!

[Tarpon]

IIRC that's the hurricane party apartment complex -- they showed the party people on TV before the storm, the party was on the 'safe second story'. Our house was about 5 miles from there. We weren't there, it was rented, but the house only suffered minor damage. Our house was inland behind the railroad tracks which were built on a sand dune that acted like a 20 foot high sand berm parallel to and all the way down the Mississippi coast.

I think all but one person at the hurricane party were never found.

[commish]

Air Force Recon just added this to thier message.

MAX FL WIND 131 KT NE QUAD 11:40:30 Z
SLP EXTRAPOLATED FROM 10,000FT
MESSAGE DELAYED..AIRCRAFT SYSTEM BOMBED 

The 140 MPH was extrapolated from thier other data as the sensors that were recording failed. Hopefully the extrapolation was right, but the pressure staying at 930 supports the earlier 145 MPH wind speed. I am surprised NHC lowered it without an actual windspeed reading, but if they have confidence int he extrapolated data who am I to argue.

[beyond the sea]

But how about Arizona or New Mexico?

There is no nature in Arizona and New Mexico.

;-)

[beyond the sea]

At the end of Cat 3.

[Dog Gone]

Aren't you supposed to be out putting the Coke/Beer/Medina cocktail on the yard this morning?

Quit giving away my recipe for hurricane repellant.

[lainie]

I wouldn't live in AZ or NM because of the way the politics ar turning, but then again.. I'm stuck in CA.

[beyond the sea]

Big difference between calm and 25 mph.

[ImaGraftedBranch]

I lived on Okinawa for 5 years. Had a home next to the seawall on the ocean outside of Gate 1 of Kadena. Had a typhoon of 190mph winds, and the home (made on a foundation of steel I-beams hydraulically pounded into the ground, and wals of 10-inch concrete) just laughed at it.

Ahhh, those were the days.

[blam]

Did you get rain? I've been so busy with hurricanes preps I haven't had time to keep up with anything else.

[FlJoePa]

Speaking of Camille and the damage it did, let's not forget Andrew and what IT did (other than raise my insurance rates).

I went down to Homestead with a friend to help out his parents one day and couldn't believe my eyes. Each block was indistinguishable from the next. There were no street signs left so you had no idea where you were. Every house in this neighborhood was literally toothpicks. It was so sad.

Since then, in some municipalities in FL they paint the name of the streets on the corners of the curbing so that when the street signs end up 20 miles away, you can still find your way around.

Also there was a mall (a FULL mall) - forget it's name that basically disappeared after the storm.

[dfwgator]

The only good news is that it appears Dennis may end up just east of Pensacola, that should spare it the full brunt of the storm.

[nwctwx]

I think it will end up coming in just east of Pensacola... which would be good for Mobile Bay, since winds will be offshore. But, like you said... tough to tell with the wobbles.

[sissyjane]

>>There is no nature in Arizona and New Mexico<<

Unless you like heat, sand and rattlesnakes...oh, and don't forget the scorpions. No thanks!!

[Ichneumon]

MAX FL WIND 131 KT NE QUAD 11:40:30 Z SLP EXTRAPOLATED FROM 10,000FT MESSAGE DELAYED..AIRCRAFT SYSTEM BOMBED
The 140 MPH was extrapolated from thier other data as the sensors that were recording failed. Hopefully the extrapolation was right, but the pressure staying at 930 supports the earlier 145 MPH wind speed. I am surprised NHC lowered it without an actual windspeed reading, but if they have confidence int he extrapolated data who am I to argue.

Ahem -- That's 131 *knots*, not 131 mph. 131 knots = 150.75 mph...