Posted on 07/06/2005 2:57:36 PM PDT by NautiNurse
LOL. Thanks for that report, it helped me. :)
No problem. I'll just serve as translator...for a nominal fee, of course.
what catagory are they expecting out of this?
The highest they have predicted so far is a 3...this is EXTREMELY early for a Cat 3, but they are possible all the time. Last year Alex became a Cat 3 in June.
Since it is going up through the Caribbean and into the Gulf of Mexico, it will be a very STRONG hurricane, but really any intensity this side of Cat 5 is really possible.
I'm in Huntsville. We're getting the rain from Cindy now and if Dennis stays on its projected path we'll get the rain from it as well.
Well, actually, that would be the ideal solution except for the inevitable discussion about what "nominal" is.
fascinating scenarios
It may go far enough north now to stay on track to cross north of Jamaica for some reason. Why, I don't know. The steering would surely steer it more west, but I am not a met.
Yes, I find myself praying that it doesn't head to TX now.
I believe Flyer will agree with you after reading those scenarios.
It will be interesting to see what happens in relation to Jamaica. Storms seem to have a way of wrapping themselves around the Island without going over it. Ivan was a good example last yr, it was headed right towards a landfall, then bobbled west just enough to miss.
The overall motion is still WNW over the past several hours, any NW jog might be just that. Also, when the center began to get really wrapped in this convection earlier, it 'appeared' to move NW, when it was really just the convection re-aligning itself. Something to watch.
Nominal is whatever I think the service is worth, with a 5% discount for my "favorite" clients.
If it heads to Texas, it can go to Brownsville and just sling a few inches of rain our way. 165 mph winds I don't need.
I freely admit to being fascinated with these storms and how the forecast changes, often several times daily.
We can all make bold forecasts today, and we can all make forecasts tomorrow, but the chances of them being identical are not very likely if we're looking at any new observational data.
Yesterday, this was a Pensacola/Panama City storm. Today, it's a New Orleans/Mobile storm. Tomorrow it could be a Corpus Christi storm.
The only thing we know for sure is that it's going to be a Jamaica storm tomorrow.
Heck, maybe we'll be lucky and this ends being a Mexico storm.
They said "Denace the Menace" on CBS tonight. We will be hearing that all over the news because no doubt other networks, stations etc. had that on and picked it up if they haven't already.
I'm the same way.
I heard "Dennis the Menace" on FNC fairly early this afternoon.
I admit if I were covering a hurricane, it would be tempting to get all excited as well. There is something in a journalist that loves a big story.
I think anything east of a Lake Charles landfall we'd not notice except that the cracks in the soil were still expanding, but at least we'd still have air conditioning.
I don't think we're going to want anything close to a direct hit from this storm. 100 miles away, minimum.
I'm suggesting blam's house since he has practice with this.
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