[nwctwx]

Yes, I find myself praying that it doesn't head to TX now.

[NautiNurse]

Yes, I find myself praying that it doesn't head to TX now.

I believe Flyer will agree with you after reading those scenarios.

[Dog Gone]

The bottom line is that we don't know. It's a long ways out and it doesn't take even a minor variation from the "consensus track" to move landfall hundreds of miles.

I freely admit to being fascinated with these storms and how the forecast changes, often several times daily.

We can all make bold forecasts today, and we can all make forecasts tomorrow, but the chances of them being identical are not very likely if we're looking at any new observational data.

Yesterday, this was a Pensacola/Panama City storm. Today, it's a New Orleans/Mobile storm. Tomorrow it could be a Corpus Christi storm.

The only thing we know for sure is that it's going to be a Jamaica storm tomorrow.

Heck, maybe we'll be lucky and this ends being a Mexico storm.