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BBC NEWS: Exit Poll Suggests Labour Victory
BBC News ^ | Thursday, 5 May, 2005

Posted on 05/05/2005 2:09:15 PM PDT by West Coast Conservative

Tony Blair is on course to win an historic third term for Labour but with a much reduced majority, according to a joint BBC/ITV exit poll.

The poll suggests Mr Blair's majority will be reduced from 160 to 66.

The findings - based on 13,000 voters from 320 polling stations in marginal seats - were announced as polls closed in the 2005 general election.

Counting is now underway with the first results of the night expected shortly after 2300 BST.

(Excerpt) Read more at news.bbc.co.uk ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; United Kingdom; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: blair; exitpolls; labour; ukelection; wariniraq; waronterror
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To: K4Harty
The P.M. is the elected leader of the party with a Parliamentary majority. If his caucus elected a new leader, the new guy would be the PM.

Blair and his Chancellor of the Exchequer have an unusual relationship. When Blair ran for the party leadership, Brown agreed not to run and to support Tony. In exchange, Tony promised to make Brown Chancellor (#2 in power in the Cabinet), to give him extraordinary powers and eventually to retire and pass the leadership over to Brown.

The conventional wisdom is that if Labour wins convincingly Blair will serve most of the term and then turn it over to Brown. But if the win is narrow or there is a loss that Blair would turn it over to Brown soon.

Remember, this is a country where people talk about the Constitution, but nothing is actually written down. :-)

21 posted on 05/05/2005 2:22:51 PM PDT by colorado tanker (The People Have Spoken)
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To: K4Harty

The DUmmies are happy; they think this result puts more pressure on Blair and 'third-way' MPs without giving power to the Tories.


22 posted on 05/05/2005 2:23:14 PM PDT by TFine80
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To: watsonfellow

What would Labour gain by replacing Blair? (sorry for the dumb question)

Thanks!


23 posted on 05/05/2005 2:23:37 PM PDT by roses of sharon
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To: nutmeg
BBC live coverage of UK election results on C-SPAN2 now...

Thanks for posting that. I just switched it on.

24 posted on 05/05/2005 2:23:48 PM PDT by KJC1
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To: watsonfellow
he is not quite the anti-American that many on this site portray him to be

Unfortunately from what I have read about him his favorite Americans are the Teddy Kennedy/John Kerry crowd.

I'd hardly call that good news if true.

25 posted on 05/05/2005 2:24:37 PM PDT by An Old Marine
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To: Guillermo

Thanks for sharing what you do know. I guess we'll learn together.


26 posted on 05/05/2005 2:26:06 PM PDT by Howlin (North Carolina, where beer kegs are registered and illegal aliens run free.)
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To: roses of sharon

He is very unpopular for running the country as his personal fiefdom, with concentration on PR rather than actual results.


27 posted on 05/05/2005 2:26:45 PM PDT by proxy_user
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To: rikkir
CBS reporting that although labour will hold majority, they have lost 100 of 160 seats.

This means that Labour's majority actually INCREASED by 100 seats.

28 posted on 05/05/2005 2:27:11 PM PDT by ambrose (....)
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To: Petronski; Grampa Dave; Dog Gone; Southack; BOBTHENAILER
Absolutely smashing ol boy!!! Here's a bulliten from MarketWatch.com from the Dow Jones boys over here on this side of the pond:

5:05pm 05/05/05

Exit poll: U.K. Labour win, with 66 seat majority

By Steve Goldstein

LONDON (MarketWatch) -- An exit poll released by the BBC and ITV shows U.K. Prime Minister Tony Blair's incumbent Labour Party winning with a 66 seat majority, a much smaller majority than his current majority in parliament. The result, if the exit poll proves acccurate, may put pressure on Blair to step aside in favor of Chancellor Gordon Brown. Keep yer pecker up, Petronski!!! (a bit of British lingo for ya there)(broad grin!)

29 posted on 05/05/2005 2:27:32 PM PDT by SierraWasp (The "Heritage Oaks" in the Sierra-Nevada Conservancy are full of parasitic GovernMental mistletoe!!!)
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To: ambrose

No, they had a 160 seat majority, and they lost 100 of those.


30 posted on 05/05/2005 2:29:25 PM PDT by keepingtrack
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To: proxy_user

OK, but specifically what does Labour want done, that Blair hasn't done?


31 posted on 05/05/2005 2:30:41 PM PDT by roses of sharon
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To: wardaddy

I join you in that sentiment. Tony's pro-American and anti-terror stances overrule his liberal tilt for me (I do hope he is not pro-abortion though...that would be my one major regret).

Supporting a non-Conservative truly is a tough decision to make and hold. But Tony earned it in my eyes.


32 posted on 05/05/2005 2:31:23 PM PDT by Donna Lee Nardo
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To: roses of sharon

Labour has made a hash of a lot of things, including taxation - we've had 66 separate tax rises since Labour came to power in 1997.

The voters are finally either tired of Labour or angry at Labour.

Regards, Ivan


33 posted on 05/05/2005 2:32:43 PM PDT by MadIvan (One blog to bring them all...and in the Darkness bind them: http://www.theringwraith.com/)
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To: TFine80

What do they know.. DU is full of 18-26 year olds and old fat hairy professors


34 posted on 05/05/2005 2:33:34 PM PDT by JFC ( President Bush, You are being prayed for along with our country daily, by millions of us.)
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To: West Coast Conservative
The poll suggests Mr Blair's majority will be reduced from 160 to 66.

From 160 to 66???

That's a lot

35 posted on 05/05/2005 2:34:32 PM PDT by Mo1 (Hey GOP ---- Not one Dime till Republicans grow a Spine !!)
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To: K4Harty

If Al Gore can win enough seats in the House of Florida he becomes king,meanwhile Clinton fiddles with women while Rome burns, soon Kerry's wife will end up like Sunny Von Bulow....this is all I know aout English politics ...except that they all eat bone marrow pie


36 posted on 05/05/2005 2:40:56 PM PDT by woofie (I am so not kidding.)
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To: Donna Lee Nardo

"Tony's pro-American and anti-terror stances overrule his liberal tilt for me (I do hope he is not pro-abortion though...that would be my one major regret).

Supporting a non-Conservative truly is a tough decision to make and hold. But Tony earned it in my eyes."

Abortion isn't the hot button issue in the UK that it is here. Not even the Conservative Party is nearly as conservative as Americans assume that word to mean. I've known American democrats who got into conversations with UK "conservatives" and found themselves to be more conservative on many issues than the Brits who call themselves conservatives. The reason American conservatives tend to like Blair despite his liberal social positions is that his social positions don't affect America, while his support for America obviously does. If you care about social issues in the UK, though, Blair is a liberal.


37 posted on 05/05/2005 2:42:45 PM PDT by VRWCisme
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To: West Coast Conservative
Saving so I can keep track.
38 posted on 05/05/2005 2:43:49 PM PDT by SheLion (Trying to make a life in the BLUE state of Maine!)
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To: West Coast Conservative
Saving so I can keep track.
39 posted on 05/05/2005 2:43:55 PM PDT by SheLion (Trying to make a life in the BLUE state of Maine!)
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To: West Coast Conservative
Saving so I can keep track.
40 posted on 05/05/2005 2:44:02 PM PDT by SheLion (Trying to make a life in the BLUE state of Maine!)
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