Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Oil prices could hit $80 within two years
Daily Star ^ | March 04, 2005 | Paul Cochrane

Posted on 03/04/2005 6:26:18 AM PST by Crackingham

Prices of crude oil could rise to as high as $80 a barrel within the next two years although such a price band would not last long, OPEC's acting secretary general was quoted as saying Thursday. "I can affirm that the price of a barrel of crude oil rising to $80 in the near future is a weak possibility," Adnan Shehab al-Dine told Kuwait's Al-Qabas newspaper.

"But I cannot rule out (the possibility) of oil prices rising to $80 a barrel within the next two years," he said.

"If the oil price rises to this level for one reason or another - for example, interruption of supplies from a producing nation by 1 to 2 million barrels a day - it is not expected to continue for long," he said.

Shehab al-Dine said a price rise to between $50 to $60 a barrel for a period of two years or more will inevitably boost investments to increase supplies and lead to a drop in demand, eventually reducing prices.

World oil prices were mixed on Thursday after reaching four-month highs in New York and London the previous day amid a rise in U.S. crude stocks and jitters over increased global demand.

The crude oil closed in New York at just over $53.05 a barrel for the second day, the highest closing level since Oct. 26.

In London, the price of Brent North Sea crude oil for delivery in April rose $0.08 to $51.30 a barrel on Thursday, after earlier reaching a new four-month high of $51.50.

"The continued upward trend in crude prices is a reflection of market perception that has changed in the last few weeks," London-based Barclays Capital analyst Kevin Norrish said.

"The market is very sensitive to any kind of supply disruptions at the moment."

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) was to meet in Isfahan, Iran on March 16, when it was expected to maintain its current production level of 27 million barrels a day.

"OPEC certainly won't cut production, the question is whether they will agree to increase production," Barclays Capital's Norrish said.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Extended News; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: energyprices; oil
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 41-6061-8081-100101-120 next last
To: Nowhere Man

The primary source of methanol is natural gas. The primary source of fertilizer to grow crops to produce ethanol is natural gas. There is no free lunch when it comes to energy sources.


61 posted on 03/04/2005 9:50:23 AM PST by Final Authority
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 51 | View Replies]

To: Lewite

Your Merc will really like the new diesel coming in 2006...Low sulfur, higher cetane.


62 posted on 03/04/2005 10:26:12 AM PST by Eric in the Ozarks
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 48 | View Replies]

To: starfish923

That is a bizarre comment. So you think that it is not simple? I'm sorry, but it is.


63 posted on 03/04/2005 10:31:42 AM PST by Double Tap
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 47 | View Replies]

To: Crackingham

Nonsense. Look at the futures contract prices. People who actually have money to lose on this are betting the prices are going down over the next several years.


64 posted on 03/04/2005 10:34:39 AM PST by tortoise (All these moments lost in time, like tears in the rain.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Crackingham

My 2005 bicycle commuting season just started this week.


65 posted on 03/04/2005 10:36:00 AM PST by RobRoy (Child support and maintenence (alimony) are what we used to call indentured slavery)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Einigkeit_Recht_Freiheit

This is a supply-and-demand problem. The Dems and eco-fascists don't want the U.S. to drill for our own oil so we have to pay the sheiks for it. Open up production and the price will go down.


66 posted on 03/04/2005 10:36:26 AM PST by 12 Gauge Mossberg (I Approved This Posting - Paid For By Mossberg, Inc.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: MacDorcha; Crackingham
OK, drill Alaska. By the time the price-gouging hits us like that, we'll have our own supply.

Let's suppose that a lot of oil was found by drilling in ANWAR. That might help our balance of payments problem, but it's not clear to me that it would reduce the price of gas and other petroleum products to the individual user. Since oil is a fungible commodity, it has a price that is determined by world markets. Oil companies drilling in ANWAR are not going to just give away the oil to the U.S. They are going to sell it to the highest bidder.

Unless enough oil was found to significantly increase world supplies, it's not clear to me that the price of gas would drop very much if we had ANWAR oil.

67 posted on 03/04/2005 10:42:40 AM PST by wideminded
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: ARCADIA

Under Clinton the federal government locked up quite a few mineral reserves including coal and oil and those resources remain locked up.


68 posted on 03/04/2005 11:48:15 AM PST by rottweiller_inc
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: Einigkeit_Recht_Freiheit

If speculators are driving the price based on futures then it's no longer a matter of supply and demand but a matter of speculating on future prices where neither supply nor demand is known.


69 posted on 03/04/2005 11:55:15 AM PST by rottweiller_inc
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: Eric in the Ozarks

I read in the Star magazine about the new deisel, it is amazing. Fast and thrifty. I am retired and could never afford a new one. But I am so happy with my 1981.


70 posted on 03/04/2005 12:56:41 PM PST by Lewite (Praise YAHWEH and Proclaim His Wonderful Name, His Son Yahshua Messiah is coming soon!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 62 | View Replies]

To: Tumbleweed_Connection

You wrote 60 words without saying much of anything. Give me some clear arguments to respond to and I am happy to do so.


71 posted on 03/04/2005 1:03:00 PM PST by Einigkeit_Recht_Freiheit (Patriotism: you love your own people first; Nationalism, you hate people other than your own first.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 60 | View Replies]

To: 12 Gauge Mossberg; rottweiller_inc

At $50 a barrel there is no production on-line that is not producing. It takes 10 years to bring oil in the ground to the market and I stand by my original statement regarding the consequences and appropriate response to the scenario.

Providing from the supply side is a necessity, but reducing demand through increased efficiency is equally needed. It is a common ground for the ( sei-reasonable) eco-facists and the realists to meet. Without recognizing that increased efficiency is a necessity, the United States will, in fairly short order, lose its economic advantage over China and India.


72 posted on 03/04/2005 1:06:20 PM PST by Einigkeit_Recht_Freiheit (Patriotism: you love your own people first; Nationalism, you hate people other than your own first.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 66 | View Replies]

To: RayChuang88; Lewite

VW Jetta TDI (turbo Diesel) YR 2000

45 MPG

Oh Yeh!


73 posted on 03/04/2005 1:09:19 PM PST by roaddog727 (The marginal propensity to save is 1 minus the marginal propensity to consume.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 57 | View Replies]

To: Lewite
A 24 year old car that looks good, runs well, starts everyday. What else could a guy want ?
Years ago, I bought a well-used 1962 Volvo sedan after an idiot ran into my Chevy and destroyed it. The owner said he'd bought it new and had been down to Mexico and Central America a couple of times. His son had taken it from Des Moines to college in the east and drove it all over, including Nova Scotia and the Maritime Provinces. It had two new front fenders, a valve job and 150,000 miles.
I bought it and drove it five years and 100,000 miles before I got hit on the same street in Windsor Heights, IA. The Volvo was pushed into the car in front, so both ends were totaled. I called the original owner and told him what'd happened. He confessed that the car actually had 250,000 on it when he'd sold it to me.
The engine and 4 speed transmission were salvaged and went into a Model T street machine which is still running, last I heard. 350,000 miles on the original mains and rods...incredible !
74 posted on 03/04/2005 1:17:55 PM PST by Eric in the Ozarks
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 70 | View Replies]

To: Einigkeit_Recht_Freiheit

With which party do you affiliate?


75 posted on 03/04/2005 1:21:26 PM PST by Tumbleweed_Connection (www.whatyoucrave.com)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 71 | View Replies]

To: Crackingham

Winter will be over and prices will fall.


76 posted on 03/04/2005 1:21:34 PM PST by bert (Peace is only halftime !)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: roaddog727
But alas, no power in the higher rev ranges.

What VW needs to do is put in the PD130 engine rated at 134 bhp into the new VW Jetta and Golf coming out in a few months. I believe that this engine will be available in California once the US switches to low-sulfur motor fuels in September 2006.

77 posted on 03/04/2005 1:44:39 PM PST by RayChuang88
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 73 | View Replies]

To: wideminded

Unless enough oil was found to significantly increase world supplies, it's not clear to me that the price of gas would drop very much if we had ANWAR oil.

From my understanding, ANWAR would make the mid-east look like second fiddle. Rumors about it being so abundant that in certain areas oil literally seeps out of the ground, making wildlife a laughable note at best.


78 posted on 03/04/2005 1:52:36 PM PST by MacDorcha (When I say "democratic" I don't mean "Athenian Mob Rule")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 67 | View Replies]

To: RayChuang88

"But alas, no power in the higher rev ranges"

True enough. But I no longer am a mad power freak.

I'm happy enough to get to where I'm going at a good clip and inexpensively, even if I can't go from 0-60 in 4.0 secs.


79 posted on 03/04/2005 1:54:50 PM PST by roaddog727 (The marginal propensity to save is 1 minus the marginal propensity to consume.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 77 | View Replies]

To: roaddog727
Maybe you just hum
She's real fine,
my 409.
80 posted on 03/04/2005 2:01:22 PM PST by Eric in the Ozarks
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 79 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 41-6061-8081-100101-120 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson