Hegel is looking mighty presidential, but something tells me he's passed his "sell by" date.
Posted on 01/13/2005 2:23:00 PM PST by tellw
LINCOLN, Neb. (AP) -- Four years from now, if some Harvard students' predictions turn true, Sen. Chuck Hagel will be preparing for his presidential inauguration.
That's according to a group of students tasked with researching this past presidential election and looking forward into the next election cycle.
Student authors Miriam Barhoush, Kevin Bourke, Amanda Coe and Paul Scott, predict Hagel will win the White House over Democratic Sen. Evan Bayh, of Indiana. Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney will be the Republican's running mate and Mark Warner, currently governor of Virginia, will be the Democratic counterpart.
The students wrote the paper for the course, "Driving Forces in American Politics," taught by David Gergen and Elaine Karmack at the John F. Kennedy School of Government. Karmack served in the Clinton White House and Gergen has worked for Nixon, Ford, Reagan and Clinton.
Hagel spokesman Mike Buttry called the exercise "interesting."
"We'll probably see a lot of projects like this over the next four years," Buttry said Monday.
Hagel has not said whether he'll run for president in 2008.
The students predicted Hagel will have to overcome his largest obstacle -- name recognition -- to win the nomination over Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist and Colorado Gov. Bill Owens.
These students say Hagel will win the primaries because he represents "the quintessential New Hampshire candidate (with) unquestioned credentials on defense and fiscal management."
Not all Republicans may back Hagel as nominee, the students cautioned.
"His reputation as a maverick could hurt him with rank-and-file Republicans who strongly support the current administration," the study read.
But Hagel could attract some middle-of-the-road voters, the students wrote.
"Hagel's straight talk will win over moderate voters and those who feel that our foreign policy warrants better management," they wrote.
Popular with moderate voters themselves, Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz. and current Secretary of State Colin Powell will endorse Hagel in the New Hampshire primary and he'll become "the anti-establishment candidate," the students wrote.
He'll even collect his nomination near his home state, they predict. The students suggest that the 2008 Republican convention will be held in Kansas City, Mo.
I like Cheney....
Hegel is looking mighty presidential, but something tells me he's passed his "sell by" date.
I only know very little about Romney. Do you think he is a player in 08?
Back to the books for these students.
Not happening.
Serves to prove how out of touch they are
with politics GOP. LOL.
He voted for the partial birth ban I think. He could be another Lieberman, though one that looks a heck of a lot better on TV. If the Dems nominate him instead of Dean it certainly is a win for conservatives, liberals wouldn't even be able to win their own party's nomination. :-)
SAY WHAT????
This is an interesting thing to look out for on the GOP side...the NH primary is first but the power center of the GOP has long since moved south and west. A Republican candidate who can win NH may not go over well in the South and the SC primary takes on more importance. It may be time for the GOP side at least to consider moving SC ahead of NH in the primary order.
An Associated Press story filed out of Lincoln, Neb. about Harvard college students predicting an election in 4 years?
There is absolutely nothing I can think of which would rationally account for the existence of this sentence.
Let's look at the last presidents.
2000- Governor Bush (2 terms)
1992- Governor Clinton (2 terms)
1988 VP Bush (1 Term)
1980 Governor Reagan (2 terms)
1976 Governor Carter (1 term)
1968 (Ex Senator and VP Nixon) 2 terms sorta
1964 VP Johnson (ex Senator)
I just think if you look at recent history, the only exception to the governors winning is VP's winning.
Cheney isn't running. Gore won't win. Quayle who? Got to be a Governor.
Impossible, since George Allen will be the Republican nominee in 2008 (and win).
I'll take Owens-Allen over Allen-Owens.
Two questions:
1) Since when has anybody at Harvard ever cared about a Republican candidate for President?
2) How is Chucky-boy going to manage a successful bid for the Presidency without winning the Republican nomination?
I wouldn't vote for Hagel in a million years ( as the War on Terror is my top political concern and Hagel is weak on Iraq), but you are being a bit of a idiot here.
NorCalRepub hasn't said a SINGLE thing on this thread that would indicate that he was a troll, a leftist, or a DU member. All he did was disagree with your opinion of a REpublican Presidential candidate to favor ANOTHER Republican Presidential candidate.
A little infighting is healthy on these boards. Hell, I've been raised a Republican since childhood (twice a Bush voter and an FR poster since May), but I've constantly got certain types on FR flaming me whenever I happen to disagree with them on an issue or two. For example, the last time I stuck up for gay rights in the U.S. (God forbid I should favor the rights of the individual to decide for themselves who they may love without interference from Big Government), I was mercifully flamed, termed a troll, etc-- all by people who translated "I disagree" into "I'm a threat to you".
There is much room for disagreement in a great party that supports both Bill Owens and Arnold Schwarzenegger, both Tom Tancredo and Arlen Specter (as loathsome as he is). Don't cry troll too much, or noone will listen or care when you blow the whistle on a REAL troll, aka socialist, communist, racist.
"His reputation as a maverick liberal." ...and Harvard educated students don't know anything BUT liberalism. Show them the "big, red map" and watch them squirm trying to explain why there is so little "blue".
"In fact, I think Bayh is more Republican than Hagel (LOL)"
What is a nice guy like Bayh doing in the Democrat party?
Maybe he isn't as intelligent as we think? "Tis a puzzlement!"
LOL, the only way you can run as President is if you win the primary. Hagel doesn't stand a chance, neither does McCain.
same for me. No way EVER.
He wouldn't even carry his own Nebraska for Prez.
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